I think it is helpful that the number of candidates has been reduced from ten to eight. I've said in the past that it requires collusion to vote someone in per this process -- especially when the ballot is balanced with many relatively worthy candidates. It should also help that Garvey and Parker will get no support imo.
Dick Allen recently missed by one vote and Vic Harris by two. That might indicate they are more likely -- but sometimes the support just disappears, e.g., Bill Dahlen a few years ago.
I expect that all on this ballot, except Parker and Garvey, will eventually be inducted, unless they get LaRussa/Reinsdorf/Baines-type support.
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