Quote:
Originally Posted by Hankphenom
Of course they all make mistakes, and the good ones are the first to admit it. What's your line of work, are you 100% perfect? But try selling your autographs these days without authentication from one of the big boys. I dare you. The market speaks much louder than anecdotes or anybody's guess about percentages they get wrong one way or the other.
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Fair and potentially dispositive point about the market speaking. I'm more of a buyer than a seller as a general matter, so I'm trying to get a sense for the likelihood that I'm buying a fake. If the error rate is indeed 30%, as another poster suggested, that is relevant. I suppose I would never know whether it was a fake, unless there was some exposure event like there was around the T206s or the 1994 Calbee Ichiros. But for me, it is worth considering the odds.
As for my line of work, suffice it to say that it is one where a 30% error rate puts me out of it.