
05-30-2024, 02:17 PM
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Charles Jackson
Member
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Join Date: Oct 2021
Location: Virginia
Posts: 1,901
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Quote:
Originally Posted by carlsonjok
From a statistical perspective, it is highly unlikely that his batting average in the missing games is significantly different than that of the games we do have records for. My stats is a bit rusty since I haven’t used it since studying for my Lean Six Sigma Green Belt last year, but if we assume we only have details on 50% of his at bats, a sample size of 2526 yields a margin of error of 2.57% at a 99% confidence level. To put it in more colloquial terms, there is a 99% chance Gibson’s real batting average is within plus or minus .026 of the known average of .373
I am undoubtedly oversimplifying the math a bit here, so it is a darn shame we don’t have a credentialed data scientist around here to help.
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Interesting statistical analysis. Maybe Snowman can verify?
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