Quote:
Originally Posted by Peter_Spaeth
I don't know what you are talking about, but the next 76 at bats easily could have yielded a quite different strike out number for Cobb against Ruth. Not like some inevitable percentage is established by 7 strike outs in just 76 at bats, which easily could have been 5, or 9. I'll let Travis supply the technical explanation but I am trusting my gut here.
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He's saying the same thing as you. The statistical distribution of striking out or not is a binomial event (meaning it's either true or false). The p-value gives you the likelihood of getting a 7 Strikeout sample from 76 at bats given his "true" Strikeout rate of 5.6% or whatever it was stated above.
I didn't run the test myself, just going off my gut/experience, but 0.16 passes the smell test.