Personal opinion -
As the aging baby boomer collectors pass, there may be a slight boost in prewar in the market but I would not foresee a crash in values. That said, I do not see long term gains exceeding inflation but stability in those values with the occasional couple year blips of ups or downs like history always shows.
Personally, I would be more concerned about shrink in the vintage 50s-60's as the ungraded held quantities are likely vast and those will appear at greater numbers during liquidation of estates. Also, prewar has a miniscule handful of people holding childhood cards of players they watched. The baby boomer generation is core for demand of childhood heroes at the specific moment in that group. The market has much more volume of assets and the growing collectors may very likely not absorb that volume without a value leveling.
Ultra-modern currently is seeing a crash due to overproduction and the shrinking numbers not picking up the slack with growth after the pandemic. We are sitting quite firmly in the second junkwax (and junkslab) era.
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- Justin D.
Player collecting - Lance Parrish, Jim Davenport, John Norlander.
Successful B/S/T with - Highstep74, Northviewcats, pencil1974, T2069bk, tjenkins, wilkiebaby11, baez578, Bocabirdman, maddux31, Leon, Just-Collect, bigfish, quinnsryche...and a whole bunch more, I stopped keeping track, lol.
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