[todeen]

Originally Posted by Exhibitman

There are some inferential mathematical studies of the success rates of certain 'social influencer' breakers at finding significant insert cards that conclude that the likelihood of them actually finding the cards they found at random is practically zero.... we as collectors are asking questions that I never, ever thought I would consider when I started collecting Topps cards in the last Ice Age. Used to pick up a pack every morning on my way to school in Bedrock.

Originally Posted by packs

The last comment on that thread is the most telling and probably explains a lot of what is being seen as shady. If you buy a case of product you only need to open the first or second boxes of the product to predict where the hits are.

I don't think that the issue is with breakers making hits. They order enough cases to hit impressive inserts. But when one breaker (Backyard Breaks) hits two or three of the most expensive cards of the most significant players in a single year, out of different product, it becomes apparent that they are being fed the best cases. Because statistically, they should have one or zero in a year.

I would think that Fanatics could further heighten demand by making these cards available to the general public. The reason being, I would never enter a break. And because I know I will never hit the best 1/1 because the system is rigged, I choose not to buy boxes. I will buy singles of what I want only.