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Net54baseball.com Forums - View Single Post - 1952 Rosen Mantle SGC 9.5 Final Price – Too high, too low, just right?
Thread: 1952 Rosen Mantle SGC 9.5 Final Price – Too high, too low, just right?
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  #192  
Old 09-06-2022, 04:07 PM
Johnny630 Johnny630 is offline
Johnny MaZilli
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Join Date: Nov 2015
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Tyruscobb View Post
$12.5M compounded at just 8% (conservative estimate), over five years, equals $18,366,600.96. This is almost a 47% return.

$12.5M compounded at 10% (average historical return), over five years, equals $20,131,375. This is over a 61% return.

I know it's impossible to predict the card market, let alone the stock market, but I just don't see this card appreciating more than 61% in 5 years - making it a great investment.

The card will probably appreciate overtime, but I think the biggest upside is already baked into the cake.

I know this analysis is probably moot. The person who purchased the card probably has enough money that the investment analysis doesn't matter. I mean, what is $12.5M to a billionaire.
I've been thinking this for the past 5 years and have been dead wrong every year that passes. Just because it doesn't make sense doesn't mean it's not so. This card has a Cult Like Following. Sure I think 5's and lower have topped out for the next few years however the higher ends it's not coming down. I accept it for what it is.
Last edited by Johnny630; 09-06-2022 at 04:07 PM.
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