Quote:
Originally Posted by Peter_Spaeth
Hypothetical.
As a rookie, a guy next year sets records or is close in every meaningful modern metric. It's universally acclaimed as the greatest pitching season ever. He then quits baseball or dies. Is he the best pitcher ever?
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He might be, but we wouldn't have enough data to say that with confidence. We'd probably want something like 600-800 innings worth of work for variance to even out. And even then, someone could still have gotten lucky over that sample size, it's just significantly less likely.