Quote:
Originally Posted by terjung
Without commenting on the authenticity of the autograph, it should be noted that the "more likely than not" is the threshold accepted for experts in trial. It can be dolled up in more flowery language like "within a reasonable degree of certainty," but it all boils down to "at least 51% sure." Now, that can certainly be higher than that (as I personally like to be 100% convinced that I am correct before testifying to an opinion), but the "at least" 51% is the magic threshold. So, I suspect that if autograph experts were to be pressed in litigation, it'd boil down to the same degree of certainty. After all, it is only their opinion. It is up to the marketplace (or a jury) to determine if that opinion carries any weight.
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To me that's apples to oranges. I don't think 51 percent cuts it for authenticating a million dollar item. I'd prefer an authenticator apply a reasonable doubt standard. I very much doubt any collector would be satisfied with a 51 percent standard.
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Last edited by Peter_Spaeth; 10-13-2021 at 11:51 AM.
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