From one of the math geniuses on Blowout.
Probability of any sort of play-in game: 56.25%
Two-way tie for the second WC spots: 25%
Three-way tie for the two WC spots: 12.5%
Three-way tie for the second WC spot: 12.5%
Four way tie for the two WC spots: 6.25%
This gives no consideration to today's matchups.
New York -155
Seattle -180
Boston -210
Toronto -420
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