Quote:
Originally Posted by howard38
You're still making a fundamental error though. You can't simply double his road stats to get an approximation because that assumes he made the same number of starts at home & away every year. It works out in 1965 & 1966 but in 1963 doubling his road stats gives him 46 starts for the season when, in fact, he made only 40 starts combined which knocks down his expected wins to about 24. You also have to consider that there was only one Cy Young award per season at that time so in addition to Dick Ellsworth he'd also have to contend w/24 game winner Whitey Ford.
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True. I figured it was generally fairly even, or that it might give Koufax a slight bump even as you mentioned.
Camilo Pascual was likely better than Ford in 1963, with a record of 21-9 2.46 ERA and league leading 202k. Neither of them was as good as "road" Koufax or Ellsworth in 1963 though I don't think.
Sam McDowall was likely the best in the AL in 1965 but at 17-11 he would fall short even conceding his league best ERA of 2.18 and league best strikeouts of 325.
I would still give the Cy to the "road" Koufax in 1963 and 1966. 1962 and 1964 forget it. 1965 still a Koufax/Marichal toss up, though advanced metrics choose Marichal in 1965 over even the actual Koufax.