Quote:
Originally Posted by perezfan
I would tend to agree with this. Anytime people outside of the hobby (any hobby- not just cards) are hearing about it and giving advice, the opportunity has likely already come and gone. I think we are in a bubble that's going to burst sooner rather than later.
Maybe if they actually start playing baseball in July, it will sustain interest and card prices for a while longer. But as actual jobs are lost and federal/state government benefits subside, the euphoria is likely to come back down to earth.
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This is pretty much the opposite of what I've experienced. Whenever I mention lately how I've gotten involved in the hobby again, everyone I know (from various walks of life) looks at me like they haven't thought of baseball cards since they were little kids.
And while there's been a decent move in a lot of prices since the shutdown began, I don't think much besides '80s basketball has been even close to bubble-like yet. Other than some exceptions like the ridiculously high-end Trout and Brady rookies, and I'm not sure how much of that is the rarity of those cards. I actually found an old SCD from April '92 the other day and was surprised how most post war vintage (around grade EX/EX-MT or lower) is selling today for the same prices as 28 years ago. The only people laughing to the bank from years ago with those are the ones who have had around PSA 8 or higher material (or the '52 T Mantle).
It has a different feel than the junk wax boom. That made sports cards a total fad for a few years, while this might be more lasting collectibles interest in general. I hope, anyway