My thoughts
The T206 to 1991 Topps analogy doesn't hold water imo because 91 Topps have virtually no value - All T,D and E cards do. That value would be potentially enhanced by grading (not so for 1991 Topps). I don't think you are going to get a more exact answer than has already been given. I think looking at total graded pop numbers for the various sets you are looking to compare is a good working model for relative scarcity.
Ryan - AWESOME cards as always! Thanks for posting. I know you are looking for additional Pirate cards - I think it would be safe to say you have a Chance!
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