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Old 12-13-2019, 08:30 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by rats60 View Post
JAWS
Keith Hernandez First Base (19th):
60.4 career WAR / 41.3 7yr-peak WAR / 50.8 JAWS
Don Mattingly First Base (39th):
42.4 career WAR / 35.7 7yr-peak WAR / 39.1 JAWS
Average HOF 1B (out of 21):
66.8 career WAR / 42.7 7yr-peak WAR / 54.8 JAWS

Keith Hernandez was clearly better than Don Mattingly using advanced metrics. Actually, even at their peaks Hernandez was better. His WAR7 (taking only the players top 7 seasons) has Hernandez ahead 41.3 to 35.7. Even if you break it down further, Mattingly only had 4 seasons of 5 or more WAR which is All Star level, 7.2, 6.5, 6.3, 5.1. Hernandez had 5 seasons, 7.6, 6.7, 6.3, 5.5, 5.1. So, even Mattingly's best seasons are at best a push with Hernandez's best seasons. Mattingly is worthy of HOF in my opinion, but I would put Hernandez in first.

I don't really care about WAR. Hernandez had a longer career without injury. Mattingly put up higher numbers in a shorter career and there's no way you'll ever convince me the prototype for Albert Pujols wasn't better than Keith Hernandez.
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