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Old 03-06-2019, 09:21 PM
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Bill Gregory
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Location: Flower Mound, Texas
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And, I understand what Philly is doing. It seems every other year is a great one for Harper, though his 2017 season was limited by an injury that kept him to 111 games.

Still, think of floor and ceiling. Yeah, he's been a bit of a prick ("that's a clown story, brah". I hear that kind of a thing come out of his mouth, and I want to punch him). But he's only 26, and should be maturing more. Hopefully, for his sake. Philly fans won't put up with crap. Anyway, realistically, his floor? Near .400 OBP or higher. .500 SLG or higher. 30 + home runs a year for the next decade, assuming health.

Ceiling? Oh, my. He might never have another 2015 year, but is it unreasonable for us to think he could hit .290-.310, hit 40 + home runs, walk 125 times, drive in 100 + every year for the next five years, with somewhat similar production in his early 30s?

I say no. And the Phillies are smart to gamble that he's going to hit closer to his ceiling than his floor. Even without that monster season, he's a 143 OPS + player the last two years. That power is going to play in Philly, and if he comes anywhere near his power potential, he could hit 50 out of the park. He's got that potential upside. The ball just flies off his bat.

It will be interesting to see just how good he is. God help the rest of baseball if he and Trout are ever 3-4 in the heart of that lineup. /shudder.
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