View Single Post
  #64  
Old 06-15-2016, 09:25 PM
nat's Avatar
nat nat is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2016
Posts: 961
Default

Post season records, for the most part, don't tell you very much. There just aren't enough games to be able to sort the signal from the noise. There's a lot of luck in baseball, and it takes lots of games to be able to figure out what is the effect of luck and what is really under the player's control. If you want to take them into consideration, combine them with regular season performance.

Raw WAR numbers don't help here, since they could reflect differences in the number of innings pitched (and we're only interested in one game). But something like WAR/games started might be helpful.

WaJo has 0.23 WAR per start.
Matty has 0.17 WAR per start.

I'll take Johnson.

Matty was great and all, but he tends to be over rated. He wasn't as good of a pitcher as Pete Alexander: they had identical ERA+s, Pete pitched 400 more innings, and has a significant lead in WAR. And both Matty and Alexander are a big step behind WaJo.
Reply With Quote