[Runscott]

Here in Seattle, we've been analyzing the hell out of the upcoming super bowl. I hate to waste all that thinking, so here are my thoughts. What are yours?

I think Manning starts the game running and throwing 10-15 yard timing plays - non-Welker receivers in the slot. Seattle will be obvious: heavy on the line to contain the run-game and make Manning throw fast. Seattle also concentrates on holding up the receivers at the line. If the refs let them play, and Manning isn't perfect, Seattle edges them out. Unless Manning is completely flat, Denver still gets 5 scores (23 or 27 points).

Seattle needs a couple of game-changing plays (Harvin or Tate TD return, pick 6) because their offense never gets rolling. They get it, but Manning still gets one last chance, needing a touchdown and coming up short on the final drive.

I'm still not betting any money on this game.

Edited to add: If Lynch gets rolling, it's a blow-out.