Quote:
Originally Posted by ctownboy
I don't think Jeter will make it.
Currently he is 952 Hits away from tying Rose for the All Time record. He would have to average 159 Hits each of the next six years to tie Rose.
If you look at the All Time Hit leaders, a lot of them performed well in their late 30's but they seem to have hit a wall at 40.
Jeter suffered an ankle injury last Fall and he may or may not start the season on the DL because he is still recovering from that injury.
If Jeter were to get 180 Hits in each of the next two years then he would need to only average 148 Hits the next four years. Problem is, Father Time hits ALL players at some point.
If Jeter misses time at the start of this year and then starts having nagging injuries which either keeps him out of the line up because he is on the DL or his Manager keeps him out of some Games just to give him some rest then it is likely he wont get 180 the next two years or average 148 the following four years.
It is also entirely possible that the Yankees decline to a point where continuing to play through injuries and rehab just isn't worth it to Jeter.
David
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If he was around 3800 now, id say hed have a SHOT...you have to remember, Rose was getting 200, 200, 200, 200, 200, 200....with NO down years...Roses prime vs Jeter prime isnt comparable... Id be shocked in 3 years, if Jeter is 1. still playing, and if so, he gets more than 120 hits that year