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-   -   Was Sasaki Over-Hyped? (http://www.net54baseball.com/showthread.php?t=359681)

clydepepper 03-30-2025 09:03 AM

Was Sasaki Over-Hyped?
 
I know he's only 23 and has had a lot 'placed in front of him', but ML hitters can hit ANY fastball -and until he proves he can control it, his so-called super breaking stuff won't be as much a factor.

Dodgers are still 4-0 - UGH!


.

Peter_Spaeth 03-30-2025 09:10 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by clydepepper (Post 2506452)
I know he's only 23 and has had a lot 'placed in front of him', but ML hitters can hit ANY fastball -and until he proves he can control it, his so-called super breaking stuff won't be as much a factor.

Dodgers are still 4-0 - UGH!


.

He had surreal control in Japan. Look at his numbers.

jayshum 03-30-2025 10:19 AM

If I remember correctly, Yamamoto's early starts last year weren't the greatest, but he eventually settled in and had decent results overall for the season.

I was actually at the Dodgers game on Saturday and saw Sasaki's start. His control was definitely lacking, but talking to a number of Dodger fans sitting around me, no one was giving up on him after just 2 starts. Also, what were his spring training numbers like? Was his control better then?

sbfinley 03-30-2025 11:17 AM

Way too early to make assumptions. Nothing from his abbreviated 2024 season or his limited spring training appearances suggests an issue with control. IMO yesterday’s start is probably more of an outlier than an expectation. I’ve read the Dodgers spent some time this spring tweaking his mechanics and most of his misses Saturday were to his arm side so I wonder if he was trying to over adjust. Anywho… I think he’ll be fine.

Peter_Spaeth 03-30-2025 12:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sbfinley (Post 2506481)
Way too early to make assumptions. Nothing from his abbreviated 2024 season or his limited spring training appearances suggests an issue with control. IMO yesterday’s start is probably more of an outlier than an expectation. I’ve read the Dodgers spent some time this spring tweaking his mechanics and most of his misses Saturday were to his arm side so I wonder if he was trying to over adjust. Anywho… I think he’ll be fine.

Two games mean nothing in baseball. And maybe he was just nervous/too amped up from his first US start. His strikeout to walk ratio in Japan was off the charts. I suspect at least in that respect he will settle down. Whether he's truly Cy Young material, we'll have to wait a while to know.

BobbyStrawberry 03-30-2025 02:49 PM

I watched the game on TV. Certainly looked like nerves to me. 2 or 3 more starts like this and I would start to get concerned.

bk400 03-30-2025 05:23 PM

He definitely looks like a head case out there. He's lucky he's got Dave Roberts managing him. If it were some guy like Tony La Russa, I think Sasaki would be toast.

Peter_Spaeth 03-30-2025 08:21 PM

He's a 23 year old in a completely foreign setting in a new league with all new teammates. After 2 games people want to write him off? Come on.

jayshum 03-30-2025 09:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Peter_Spaeth (Post 2506623)
He's a 23 year old in a completely foreign setting in a new league with all new teammates. After 2 games people want to write him off? Come on.

Agreed. I'm sure 29 other teams would be happy to take him off the Dodgers hands if offered the chance.

bk400 03-30-2025 11:08 PM

To be clear, I'm not writing him off. I'm just saying that Dave Roberts is the right guy to be managing a talented, young pitcher in his second game in a foreign land, who is probably feeling the pressure of a nation on his shoulders.

Can you imagine if Roberts left him in and he gets shelled for 8 runs?

packs 03-31-2025 07:57 AM

I think the days of feeling the pressure of the nation are long gone. Ichiro was the definitive I can play here player and Matsui and Ohtani have only further cemented that idea.

bk400 03-31-2025 08:10 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by packs (Post 2506675)
I think the days of feeling the pressure of the nation are long gone. Ichiro was the definitive I can play here player and Matsui and Ohtani have only further cemented that idea.

I'd agree with you. But that may not be how Sasaki feels about it.

Aquarian Sports Cards 03-31-2025 01:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by packs (Post 2506675)
I think the days of feeling the pressure of the nation are long gone. Ichiro was the definitive I can play here player and Matsui and Ohtani have only further cemented that idea.

Hideo Nomo might have something to say about this.

packs 03-31-2025 01:51 PM

I thought of Nomo but I don't think he convinced anyone that Japanese players "belonged". He had an incredible rookie season but he lacked staying power and I remember a lot of people thinking his delivery was a gimmick that served him well only initially.

Not to say he wasn't good. I just think Ichiro was still the defining player from Japan who convinced MLB that Japanese players could not only do well upon arrival, but sustain a very high level of play.

Nomo was certainly the first, but I consider him in the same pool as Daisuke and Yu Darvish. Decent success but not in the same class as Ichiro and Matsui, though of course infinitely better than Irabu, Kei Igawa, Fukudome, etc.

Peter_Spaeth 03-31-2025 02:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by bk400 (Post 2506682)
I'd agree with you. But that may not be how Sasaki feels about it.

It's hard to underestimate how much this kid has been hyped as a generational pitcher. Sure he feels enormous pressure to succeed.

Aquarian Sports Cards 03-31-2025 02:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by packs (Post 2506821)
I thought of Nomo but I don't think he convinced anyone that Japanese players "belonged". He had an incredible rookie season but he lacked staying power and I remember a lot of people thinking his delivery was a gimmick that served him well only initially.

Not to say he wasn't good. I just think Ichiro was still the defining player from Japan who convinced MLB that Japanese players could not only do well upon arrival, but sustain a very high level of play.

Nomo was certainly the first, but I consider him in the same pool as Daisuke and Yu Darvish. Decent success but not in the same class as Ichiro and Matsui, though of course infinitely better than Irabu, Kei Igawa, Fukudome, etc.

I would argue that Nomo's 3 or 4 All-Star caliber years, ROY award, two top 5 Cy Young finishes, setting the record for K's in a player's first three seasons, Leasing each league in K's, and two no hitters definitely made MLB think, yeah we need to keep a closer eye on Japan. Without Nomo (and also the groundbreaking work done to get him to the US which is a fascinating story) the pipeline might not have opened up regardless of the talent. It might still have been thought of as inferior talent OR nobody might've spotted the loophole that led to the formation of the modern posting rules. If Nomo had tanked I won't say we wouldn't have Japanese players in the majors today, but it would've set the movement back a decade or more possibly costing the MLB the next generations of Japanese players like Matsui, Ichiro, and others.

While Nomo wasn't the impact player that Ichiro and Ohtani were/are, he was great enough to start the flow of talent.

Peter_Spaeth 03-31-2025 02:45 PM

Nomo was definitely a big deal.

packs 03-31-2025 03:00 PM

Nomo will always be influential but I said Ichiro was the definitive “I belong here” player from Japan. Nomo's peak was brief despite his incredible rookie season and a slew of less effective players followed up in the years between his debut and Ichiro’s.

This is in context of having a nation on your shoulders, An idea I don’t think has really been on people’s minds since Ichiro so thoroughly dominated MLB play. The idea of playing with a nation on your shoulders would suggest that people aren’t sure you can hack it. I don’t think anyone has had that sentiment since Ichiro. I can definitely understand the pressure an individual puts on themself though and how it may feel like that to them.

Aquarian Sports Cards 03-31-2025 05:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by packs (Post 2506840)
but I said Ichiro was the definitive “I belong here” player from Japan.

This is in context of having a nation on your shoulders

I'm aware of what you said and I disagree, it's OK. But Nomo ABSOLUTELY had the pressure of the nation on his shoulders, perhaps more than any other player in history since he was the first "real" Japanese major leaguer, as Murakami was still under Japanese control when he played and was not allowed to stay in MLB.

Nomo-Mania was MASSIVE in Japan, and not insignificant here. If he had failed I think there's a real chance you never even see Ichiro and the other late 90's Japanese influx.

packs 03-31-2025 06:36 PM

There’s a 19 year old playing for Stanford now named Rintaro Sasaki who is a lot like Nomo. He was the number 1 high school player in Japan but chose to skip NPB and instead enroll in a Division 1 school here.

Peter_Spaeth 04-05-2025 05:56 PM

1 run in 4 innings today, 3 hits.

BobbyStrawberry 04-05-2025 06:37 PM

I watched the game - his first inning was REALLY bad. He was lucky to give up only 1. He got some favorable calls on balls too, but overall he was much better

bk400 05-19-2025 04:12 AM

I think he's a bust.

jayshum 05-19-2025 08:30 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by bk400 (Post 2516682)
I think he's a bust.

I think 8 starts is a little soon to call him a bust. He certainly hasn't put up the numbers that he did in Japan, but he wouldn't be the first Japanese pitcher to struggle in MLB before turning into a successful pitcher. I'm not surprised that he's also currently injured as adjusting to a different number of days between starts and a different baseball can cause problems to the shoulder and elbow.

packs 05-19-2025 11:29 AM

Baltimore's 35 year old rookie from Japan Tomoyuki Sugano has been pretty good so far. He's 4-3 with a 3.08 ERA and an ERA+ of 124.

Aquarian Sports Cards 05-19-2025 03:48 PM

He's 23, I think there's a little time before we write him off.

packs 05-19-2025 04:30 PM

He's also making less than a million for the season so it's not like he's an albatross signing either.

I think he just has to pitch more. When I think of the pitchers who have come over recently, Senga and Shota were 30 already and were All Stars. Kuroda was 33. I have fond memories of him on the Yankees.

Nomo, Daisuke, Tanaka and Darvish were all 25/26 and Ohtani was 23 but they all threw a lot more innings in Japan before they came over than Sasaki had.

bk400 05-19-2025 04:49 PM

I think the Dodgers should have him spend half a season or more in Triple A. Take him out of the spotlight. For me, the ultimate armchair quarterback who once clocked a 72 mph heater at a carnival, I think it is mental.

Peter_Spaeth 05-24-2025 09:14 AM

Baseball is such a hard game. I remember three years ago hearing an interview on NPR I think it was with a baseball expert who had seen him pitch and was raving that the kid was unlike any pitcher he had ever seen. I went to ebay and bought his Japanese RC lol. His K to BB ratio was astonishing his first couple of seasons.


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