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Current state of the hobby-Modern cards
What is YOUR opinion of the current state of the hobby when it comes to modern cards? With the current economy, how is it at card shows? eBay? Etc?
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I have never seen more activity in the hobby in 40 years. I go to card shows all over the country, and there are more people at shows than ever. I believe there are more participants in the hobby today than ever before, including the covid boom.
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PSA subs and wait times should be a pretty good barometer.
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I certainly agree with that. We need more kids collecting, not for money, but for fun whether it be player collectors, set collectors or just for fun!!
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The good news/the bad news
Kids are very involved in this hobby in the DFW area
Come to any trade day/night in the DFW area at the local card stores and you will see a LOT of kids and I mean people like me over the age of 40 are well in the minority. And for those who are asking, my LCS does it's trade day/night from 3 or 4 to 6 on Saturdays which would not interfere with a lot of plans The bad news is some of the kids collect and some are in it only for the $$$$. Worries me as what will happen 20 years from now when those kids return after the 3 C's (Cars, Cuties and College) and did not really collect as kids. Rich Comments about the new unopened world, well that's even more complicated |
From what I see at the local card stores, I'd echo the comments that there seems to be a lot of interest from kids in modern cards. I get the sense that a lot of kids like ripping packs. The boxes of packs move quickly, but the slabbed cards in the case seem to just sit there from week to week.
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It is great to see young kids in the hobby. My personal experience is they couldn't care less about the cards and are all about if they just made money or not. I purchased a couple hundred factory auto and patch cards to go along with a ton of Twins cards. I am in Twins country. I would but together lots of 10 cards with 1 auto and 1 patch card in each lot. I sat up at 3 different Farmers markets selling produce. I bought the cards to give to the kids being drug to the market by their parents/grandparents. The first couple weeks all the kids wanted them. Then when I would see the same kid again they would say they didn't want any because they are not worth anything. |
I recently walked the floor of the West Coast National (Renamed from the Burbank Card Show) in Ontario. I saw several young men, and entire families, wheeling and dealing everywhere - trading/buying/selling. Several dealers had piles of cash to entice the seller and I saw a lot of people being paid in cash.
Every dealer I stopped and chatted with tried to get me to sell, or send to their auction, etc, some or all of my vintage cards. I do sell a few now and then, but mainly just buy and add to my collection. It seems the demand for 1969 and earlier is endless. Definitely more demand than supply. It's much easier with the modern cards - just like the treasury department and money - just make more to meet the demand! Heck, who doesn't like the new remake of the Challenger and Camaro, however, if you owned an original like I did, it's just not the same! |
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A few random thoughts regarding modern and ultra-modern ... Too many cards that aren't worth subbing are getting submitted. Even if the card gets a 10, it won't sell for the fee. Way too much crap out there. People only want 10s on bigger card, like a Pujols/Ichiro RC ... get a PSA 9 and call it a day. It's the same friggin card and there is only a perceived difference in condition. I set up on occasion at a small firehouse show. Buyers want to pay 50-80% of comps, but when they want to sell, they want full price. Stick with vintage and raw modern |
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At a small monthly card show we have here in the bay area I've watched TCG's completely take over. About 2 years ago they would take up about 10percent of the space, the last show it was over half. I think TCG's are or have already overtaken sports cards in popularity.
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Trading Card Games?
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My 14-year-old son mixes it up -- he'll buy singles of his favorite teams/players, then occasionally buy a box hoping to make a hit. He usually pulls something he knows he can sell on eBay to make his money back ... then do it all over again next time. No interest in vintage yet -- but I didn't at his age either.
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I'm personally amazed how well things are holding up for ultra-modern releases considering the cost of the buy-in.
It's been gambling for a long time. Hell, you can't economically put together a base set from packs for at least 10-15 years. There's the hardcore boutique products that bring many 100s to 1000s per box as a suggested retail price. No matter what one thinks of this state of the hobby, it exists and it's thriving. Myself, I'm out here buying singles. I don't have the appetite for the gamble at the buy-in price. |
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It is not a unitary market. A 1983 Fleer is way different than a 1996 pinnacle is way different than a 2020 panini. I’ve been doing well selling 1980-1998 cards on eBay.
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As others have said, part of it is increased popularity of pokeyman and all that garbage. Also more kids wheeling and dealing trying to make a buck. Vintage prices seem steady, although perhaps some recent moderate lift in blue-chip cards? I haven't tried to sell anything substantial in many months. On the buy side, prices seem pretty flat.
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What troubles me about the TCG cards issued since the mid-1990's is that they weren't considered absolute garbage when issued. Everybody including kids knew about card values by then. As a result there's not been much of a destruction factor. The rarities these days are therefore the manufactured rarities which I consider to be "artificial" somehow. :( |
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i notice that the chase cards for modern that go for 10-50 bucks for the current year people bid on ebay on but the next year they drop and keep dropping besides the ohtanis and witts....on to the next year chase.
in the old sets we all loved every card in a set...now its just certain subsets...the level of love is much thinner..i just dont see 18 year olds today paying big money to build these subsets in their 40s and older when they have more money i do see that with pokemom cards that are played with and certain cards to them are like the 1950s mantles that we couldnt afford in are youth but some of us can and do pay. I can see certain pokemon cards that are $ 1000 or so now to buy that kids cant afford but will be paying much more than than 30 years later as they are cards of their youth and lore that that were playing with and not just chasing for a sub set for one year than on to the next |
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:) |
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I was simply making the point that my/our experience back in the day was very much different than the experience/behaviour of present day kids (or kids since the late 1980's). We happily bought and collected bubble gum cards with no thought as to their value (primarily because there was no value). We did it simply because we liked baseball and the cards looked, smelled and felt cool. You can't say that my statement was incorrect because we would have paid attention to the value had there been any. We simply didn't. I said only that. Case closed. ;) |
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You're arguing that our behaviour would have been different had we known about values. Maybe so. But that's beside the point I was making. :) |
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the value for a lot of these cards as kids was in trade to each other..
you really think many of these movie cards have much value..yeah there will be a website selling some but usually unopened packs...but kids in the past really loved their baseball cards and enjoyed the stats and watching the players every day etc and have grown up and can afford to buy cards of the past... .movies come and go i am going to assume howard the duck raw cards dont have the same 'value' back then or now.. card were treated differently past v present. |
It's only a focus group of two kids
But my soon to be 12-year-old great nephew was over for a few minutes so I had him look at the cards I've picked up recently. He loved looking at them especially the ones from 1967 Topps. There is always hope! And they aren't Seaver or Carew rookies either, just cards like Curt Simmons and the Swoboda/Kranepool dual card.
Since his birthday was this month he ended up with those cards and a few modern stars and his friend loved a PSA4 1953 Del Crandell and ended up with that for his birthday last month. Get those kids into vintage early! I also had a box of used sleeves and some new top loaders to give him Regards Rich |
People who speak in broad generalities are always wrong...
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But since 1990 or so anyway the amount of product has exploded with several releases per year. And with all the manufactured scarcities, building a master set is generally impossible. In fact even defining a master set is difficult. Is a Jersey card with a red fabric an altogether different card than one with a white fabric? And Patch cards are all completely different of course. Moreover since when is every autograph exactly the same? Therefore concentrating on certain specific subsets ends up being the viable fallback option for many/most collectors. Other fans resort to collecting only certain players although that to me seems bizarre for an adult anyway. It strikes me as hero worship. :( |
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yeah i agree with you..its odd putting a sub set together in thats not numbered...heck even some of the numbered cards have several poses variations beyond the color borders etc.. i collect the 35th annivesary autos /25 for most years not but it sucks there are no stats on on the back..the /25 not autos do have the pictures on the back.. |
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https://hosting.photobucket.com/85c5...73d8d673de.jpg https://hosting.photobucket.com/85c5...d8b52046fe.jpg https://hosting.photobucket.com/85c5...dafe9d2804.png https://hosting.photobucket.com/85c5...6ca45276c7.png Since the two sergei Samsonov cards are relatively similar, I'll be open to trading one off if and when I get a couple more! :cool: |
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