![]() |
Rea
Should be a frantic weekend of bidding. If everyone isn’t already tapped out.
I’m not crazy about the revised format. Better? I guess so. I’m not staying up to 5 am or midnight for that matter. Why can’t the hard stop be at 5pm or 9pm. Still forces east coasters to stay up late. I still don’t understand a business model where you voluntarily lose a percentage of your bidders due to sleep. It’s like a car dealership that has no hours past 5, or a barber shop that closes on the weekend. Or a stupid Sunday night baseball game that starts at 8pm. |
I am doing stuff during the day. I wouldn't want an auction ending at 5pm on Saturday or Sunday or any midday for that matter. Could they hard close at 12am, sure, that would be great. But as it is, it isn't as bad as it used to be. Now most bidders don't go to sleep at extended bidding and get up in the morning to keep bidding. Now that is crazy. (have to throw a card in)
http://luckeycards.com/pr321goudeyruth.jpg |
Rea
There’s no perfect solution that will make everyone happy. A hard close eliminates extended bidding which is not good for consignors or bidders. I like the format and like Sunday ending.
|
Quote:
|
Quote:
|
They are trying and I give them great credit for that. And they are a top notch operation through and through. But if 98% of your intended audience is awake at 9pm and only 70% are awake at midnight [just pulling numbers out of my . .pocket . . . for argument's sake], I still don't understand the logic. Yes, there is a max bid etc., but if you did a hard stop at 9pm EST seems to me there would be a feeding frenzy in the last hour with a lot more potential bidders (who are wide awake).
|
Quote:
|
Maybe I'm missing something but the best solution in my opinion is to let each lot independently close if no bid is received after 10 minutes.
|
Future developments in neuroscience will allow the auction houses to determine how much each bidder is willing to pay for each lot and automatically award the cards to the appropriate "bidders" without the need for actually running the auction. It's possible there are some drawbacks to this future, but I for one welcome the end of the how-best-to-end-an-auction discussion.
|
Quote:
By the way is REA a hard close at Sunday midnight? |
Quote:
I'm sick of the same threads about how terrible certain eBay sellers are. if you hate a seller don't do business with them. |
Quote:
|
Quote:
Personally, I think the best format is lot by lot and at a reasonable time. |
Quote:
morning of Monday, May 7, 2018) under any circumstances except for a complete service disruption or act of God." |
Then you get outbid on one you are going for, won't go higher, and your second choice just closed. I agree I like lot by lot ending the best but there is no perfect ending.
Quote:
|
I have my reasonable bids in for 3 items. Probably overbid on one - oh, well, its REA, lets fork out little extra dough. Going to bed regular time, get a good night sleep, wake up and see how it played out. However, I am not looking to fill that long time hole in my collection with a card that comes along once every few years. Good luck to all !
|
Quote:
Personally, as a buyer, I think Heritage's per-lot extended bidding is great/best, although I think it probably is not ideal for sellers. Regardless, Sunday will be very very fun (and most definitely frustrating) |
Seems to me that in last couple of years most auction houses see light to moderate action in the weeks leading up to the close and then many people who wait to the last 48 hours to get serious. If that holds true with REA prices will be sky high and consignors will be mighty pleased.
|
Quote:
If you have a problem with the auction closing process of any particular auction company, don't bid. Done and done. It's simple... |
Trust me, no one has analyzed our intended market more than us. We are comfortable the way the auction currently ends, and we're glad that it's effected positive change by bringing at least five other auction houses to change their timings with the goal of eliminating 4 AM and 5 AM closings. When we switched the ending method in 2016, it was a revolutionary move, and it had to be done in a way that accomplished what we wanted (more bidders awake) and what the bidders wanted (a reasonable hour).
Last year's Super Bowl ended at 10:14 PM EST. Last year's World Series Game 7 ended at 11:58 PM EST. We view REA as the Super Bowl or Game 7 of auctions, and I know a lot of collectors feel the same way. Many people are happy to stay up to watch these events to their conclusion, and those that aren't just read about them in the morning. If there's a "have-to-have" item, we offer numerous options to ensure that a bidder does not need to be glued to his computer or even awake to pursue it. The auction can be accessed from almost anywhere thanks to modern technology. There's no need to plug into a landline or boot up a PC just to place a bid. I see Heritage cited a lot--the earliest you can win an item in their catalog auctions is 11:30 PM EST--and that's if there are no bids during extended bidding. If there's competition dragging out the 30 minute clock, it could go several hours. In last fall auction, we processed more than 800 bids in the final 30 minutes...that's more than 26 bids a minute, or an average of one bid every two seconds approximately. To date in this auction, we've processed 25,589 bids in the three weeks we've been open. That's about 51 bids an hour, day and night, all day, every day, for three weeks. Those are real, concrete, not made up "frenzy" statistics. There are other auction houses dragging auctions out until 4 AM with bids coming in every 13 minutes. Those are the auctions that should be looked at and made to consider serious change to modernize things. This auction we have collectors from the US, Canada, Australia, UK, France, Spain, Saudi Arabia, UAE, Hong Kong, South Korea, China, Malaysia, and Singapore involved in the bidding. That's a lot of time zones, each of which presents a different perceived advantage or disadvantage. We have farmers who are up at 3 AM and prefer the old method better, and we have factory workers who will getting off the line at 10 PM and love the new method. There will never be a perfect time for everyone. I want to be sure that there is no misinformation spread or misunderstandings about how this auction will close. It is the same way that all of our auctions since October 2016 have closed. The deadline for initial bids is Noon EST Sunday. The auction will continue for several hours beyond that. We utilize a 15 minute rule, but the truth is that it never even gets remotely close to running out on our auction. After 6 PM EST, we can close it at any time. There will be at least one Fair Warning email sent out in advance of the close with specific timing information based on the activity we are monitoring. Beyond that, there will be no notice. The auctions utilizing this method have closed between 11:30 PM EST and 11:58 PM EST. There is no guarantee this will be the case this auction but those are data points to consider. In the event that we cannot or do not shut it down manually, the auction will close automatically at Midnight EST. That has never happened. Good luck to everyone participating this weekend, whether you're awake at the end or not. ;) Brian |
Hey Brian,
Is there a way to get a fair warning text sent to my phone like the outbid alerts? Im sure I'm in the minority for people that do not have their emails go to their phone. Jc |
Great email Brian. REA is no question the super bowl of auctions and I would gladly stay up until 4am+ for your auctions- a midnight ending is simply the cherry on top of an amazing event. I am one who mentioned I like the way Heritage closes, and I do, but who cares - your auctions are second to none and I am just happy to participate. Sunday can’t get here soon enough
Ryan Hotchkiss |
The one point that no one has brought up is how my wife and mother are both going to hate me because REA decided to host the last day of bidding on MOTHERS DAY!!! Thanks Brian, I'll start prepping the couch now... :D
|
Quote:
Mothers Day is on the 13th |
+1
Quote:
|
Quote:
|
REA Close
Quote:
|
Quote:
|
Quote:
|
Quote:
I could not disagree more, the lots ending one by one with a hard close see much more spirited bidding(unless it's a somewhat commodity type of lot) and usually result in higher price than the ones that close at 5am with only 1 or 2 bids past the initial closing. The lot by lot forces competition, which many bidders want to avoid and stay up all night to try and bid at the last second. Having ran and more importantly bid in 100's of auctions, it almost always costs me more on an item when I confront another bidder and we get into a bidding war for 30 minutes to an hour when the lot is closing with 10 or 15 or 30 minute bid windows, instead of one of us "sniping" the item at 5:00 am when the other was probably the high bidder and went to bed. The last scenario is what costs consignor's money. Invariably auctions that close lot by lot, see the items get to their market value much quicker than one that last all night, as the bidders know that they have to get their bids in and compete to win, which in turn results in higher prices to the consignor. Scott |
For me it is simple, I always go to bed early, since I don't want to catch late night auction madness and bid more than I am comfortable with. My final bids are locked and loaded, so let the chips fall where they may.
|
Brian - what are your thoughts on offering a sniping service?
|
Not sure you can set a snipe without a definite ending time.
|
Quote:
|
Quote:
|
Rea
Scott,
While I certainly respect your viewpoint, my experience has been somewhat different. I enjoy jumping to other lots when I’ve bern bested on others and the lot by lot closing basically eliminates a majority of that option. Also, if you closely watch REA’s recent bids option, you will certainly notice the flood of bids that pour in every minute the final 2/3 hours, that easily exceed “lot by lot” bidding in virtually any auction after the deadline for initial bids. For example, I bid on nearly 100 lots in Heritage’s last auction and 80%+ of those lots NEVER got another hit after the 11:00 30-minute countdown. Thus, I could not go back on any of them after losing out on several key lots by 11:45/12:00. Lots of potential bids Consignors never got to realize. To each his own I guess...everyone will have their own perspective. As BIGFISH so eloquently stated, there is no perfect auction close formula to choose. Hope all is well my good friend, and I’ll see you in Cleveland! Best Regards, Joe T. |
Quote:
|
I hear ya
Quote:
If I get outbid on something late I want to come back and spread that money around to other items. The scenario above restricts that option for me. I believe REA has limited the “unpleasant “ variables as much as they can to balance happy bidders and happy consignors. |
Quote:
Best to all, Larry PS: Ok, I got it. You get outbid on one lot, and you have several others you can spend those $$$ on! |
I think there is a different right answer for different bidders. If you have qualifying bids in on thirty lots but can only afford five, then the “everything closes at once” format works better because you can move the money around. If you have only one or two lots you really want, then the “lot by lot” closing method works better since you can have your war, be done, and go to sleep.
|
Every auction house will tell you how great their system is. Yet I can’t think of a another line of business out there that functions in a way where auctions close at midnight or after. Christie’s sells 500M paintings. Silly I guess that they don’t close these sales at modnogjt.
|
Rea
Quote:
We are all alittle nuts about buying this stuff. Steve, if you really want something in the auction i suggest you do this Sunday so you’re ready to bid. 1. Go to church 2. Walk the dog 3. Polish the pewter Then stay up and win the item you’re interested in. You can sleep in on Monday. |
Quote:
|
Joe,
Your experience with Heritage is what I was talking about in terms of lots getting to retail quicker than the all-night bidding, the vast majority of those that never got another hit after the 11:00 hour were probably already full priced or the next increment would have placed them over market. On the one lot that I won in Heritage(two auctions ago), Myself and another bidder began battling at the start of the extended bidding when I came in to place what I would hope would be the winning bid at 10:59 and played ping-pong for nearly an hour, more than doubling the price of the item from when we started, I am sure you can guess what it was :) If that would have been a 4-5am auction, I would not have bid until I got the final notice or warning and chances are he was not around to bid as there would not have been one bid since he was the high bid before the extended bidding, thus no reason for him to even think he might get outbid. The premise of an auction and especially a successful one for the consignor is to create a bidding war and that can only be done when all of the qualified and interested bidders are front and center and battling it out. Thus a higher sales price, the more bids the higher the price. As others have said, there is no 100% answer and you just have to plan each auction around the bidding parameters. |
Quote:
|
Quote:
|
Quote:
|
Quote:
|
Rea
Scott - sound reasoning but remember one minor fact. Who’s to say if cards are AT or NEAR retail, someone won’t place another bid? I’m sure both you and I have surpsssrd retail cost many times to capture a lot we really wanted. Thus, more bids/$$$$ for the Consignor and an opportunity to win another lot.
|
Quote:
Ricky Y |
Quote:
also, I’m sure you know this because you seem so familiar with Christies and the like, but for those who don’t, in your apples to oranges comparison of $500 million art auctions to REA and others, most of the bidders hire agents to do their bidding, paying them one or two percent of what they spend to handle their bidding. so the time of the auctions are pretty much irrelevant in terms of convenience for the buyers. |
I think the worst aspect of the auction is the fact that initial bids are cutoff at 9 am pst on the final day. That seems way too early as a bidder who often visits an auction website the final day. The late close doesnt bother me. If you want to go to bed early just put in your max bid before you do so.
|
Quote:
I missed some stuff I wanted to bid on during the Fall auction because I didn’t realize the initial bidding session would end so early here in AZ. I learned my lesson and put all my initial bids in early this time around. |
Now that's something they may hate you for
Quote:
|
This happened to me!
Quote:
It was actually a day not a week! I thought it closed on Sunday and it had closed on Saturday - I logged in Sunday to place bids and start doing battle, and was met with " bidding closed" on every lot! It was an auction that had some key items I would have placed strong bids on! It took me weeks to psychologically recover from that! |
How crazy would it be to run an online auction closing like a live auction? Item 1 is scheduled to "close" at XX:XX but will remain open until there is no bid for 60 seconds, then on to lot 2.
Probably wouldn't work on an auction of 2700 items, but it would most closely mimic a "real" auction. |
Why not have a set time and why not allow snipes
Look, i may be a bit slow, but I don't understand why an auction house would NOT specify an end time and/or not allow snipes, other than to maximize price. I get it from a business perspective (on the surface at least), but I think that line of thinking is shortsighted. In my opinion, REA’s auction format will realize less than the maximum prices for certain individual items chased by a few people and in the long run hurt the auction house as a whole.
By not having an end time to an auction, it allows your bid to be shilled. Everyone hates to say it, but it does happen. Some people say just bid what you want to pay and don’t think about it. However, some people, including myself, have disposable income, but do not want to be cheated out of our hard-earned money. The fact that I can be shilled in this format puts a real bad taste in my mouth and I’m having a real tough time with it because there are some items that I hardly ever see, but I just refuse to be taken advantage of (unless I know it). That’s right. I don’t mind overpaying…but being cheated to overpaying…that’s a whole other matter in my opinion. Call it Texas Pride or whatever you call it where you are from. It’s why I don’t bid on a lot of ebay auctions or other auction houses. It sucks, but I’m completely fine with not having that card I always wanted if it means that the price I end up paying was influenced by an unknown and unwanted variable. I waited for years to get a 1980 Topps coin, but I recently was lucky enough to purchase a 1980 Topps coin (one on ebay -- buy it now)…I likely overpaid, but I can live with it because I decided what to pay and not some shill bidder. Not having snipes is the other thing that I don’t like. At least I don’t know how to snipe the auctions….maybe I can pay someone to write a program…ugh the time and hassle. Why not allow it? I guess I’m fine with not having snipes, but only if the auctions were staggered with real end times. But since they are not, it forces me to face my first issue. Leaving a bid out there that can be shilled. I’m really struggling with this one as there are a lot of items that I would like to bid on, but finding it hard to put myself out there to be screwed. Anyhow, that’s how I feel and just to be crystal clear, I am in no way saying REA is shilling their auctions or doing anything underhanded. I just happen to think the current format lends itself to abuse and I cannot get comfortable with it. The items in their auction are truly incredible and wish I could partake. |
Quote:
|
You should focus on card shows to buy. You won't get shilled.
Quote:
|
Why would how an auction ends have any impact on shilling. This is one of the dumber posts I have read recently. By this logic of a hard end time having less shilling would mean the eBay platform is less ripe for such an activity and we all know that is not true. Also worrying about Brian, Michael and team shilling shows me you don’t know these people as they are some of the most honest I have encountered. Not just in the hobby but in life. Like Brian has stated they actually researched these issues many of you are just guessing and supposing against actually researched information. You have got to love America in 2018 everyone with a keyboard and an opinion has become an expert (in their own mind of course).
|
Quote:
Sorry to go so far off topic, it's just a pet peeve of mine. :) |
Quote:
And of course there is only one answer for consignors - keep the auction open for the bidders that want to move the money around. |
"Pre bidding " has ended
The "auction" is today |
Whatever. . . everyone has an opinion. I just don't understand the basic premise that most buyers have some number to spend, say it's $2000, and if they get squeezed on some item at 11pm or 3 am then rush hysterically to deploy their money elsewhere, because it's literally burning a hole in their pocket and they'll be crushed if they don't get rid of it somehow. I hope that's not the way you guys act at restaurants. "Let's have another round of desserts and sambuca . . .no one is leaving this place until I get rid of every dollar in my wallet."
|
I agree
Quote:
+!000 I bid on what I want - till it goes beyond what I'm willing to spend. If I don't win, I have more money for the next thing I want when it comes around (not necessarily in the same auction)! There was 1 time I would have bid on an item based on the sale of a consignment (which didn't sell) - so I didn't bid. |
Any estimate of when the last auction ended ? Was it close to midnight ? Thanks
|
Helpful note: first round of bidding ends in a few minutes, at NOON, eastern time. I think Brian wrote that while the hard close is midnight they might well close somewhat before that. I don't have the times for last year's close.
Amazed the prices on quality cards for t206 HOFers continue to rise. And that general look and centering counts more than ever. |
Quote:
|
need 100k for a ruth RC---Sure!!!
Lets get 100 members to share and give 1k,,,yeah that might do it. :D I hold it and give out copies of it. Right now, I am so disgusted at myself. I had 1 bid that's all. I guess I got too damn picky these days. (Maybe I am looking for something that I can't have) |
Quote:
|
On a lighter side, did anybody on the Board get the T206 Gandil SGC 86?
|
Rea
Quote:
|
Quote:
|
Quote:
|
Quote:
|
????
Quote:
Steve, you might be slightly over thinking this. Why don’t you just put in the bid you are willing to pay and be happy with that? Then you don’t have to mindf$ck yourself everyday and twice on Sunday (REA). |
Quote:
|
Rea
Quote:
|
Quote:
EDIT: And if everything I wanted goes too high, I don't just randomly look for cheap lots to rid myself of unneeded money! |
Quote:
|
All times are GMT -6. The time now is 04:40 AM. |