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-   -   1952 Bowman Stan Musial PSA 10 on eBay :o (http://www.net54baseball.com/showthread.php?t=253426)

MULLINS5 06-08-2019 04:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PiratesWS1979 (Post 1886828)
The marks that were supposedly removed are actually common attributes of the ’52 Bowman Musial.
Has anybody ever thought that it may have actually bumped to a “10” and was photoshopped when auctioned?

The buyer was on here so maybe he can shed some more light on this.

Hopefully this is the case and there are far less trimmed/altered cards then thought and is just a “camera trick”.

sorry for the poor images

http://www.net54baseball.com/picture...ictureid=27005
http://www.net54baseball.com/picture...ictureid=27004

Zero chance it simply bumped. Those marks, while common, were removed and touched up. Card fibers on the reverse prove they are the same card.

conor912 06-08-2019 04:53 PM

I don't know the OP, though he seems like a good guy and I sincerely hope he gets the restitution he's looking for. That said, it's impossible to convince me that he and his ilk aren't the source of this entire problem. Of course not knowingly, but the happy willingness to spend $22k more on a 10 than a 9 is ultimately what is being taken advantage here. It wouldn't be entirely fair to put this squarely on the guys with deep pockets, as no one deserves to get ripped off, regardless of their financial standing. However, they do have a seat at the table which, like or not, is what money buys you in this country. I just wish enough of them would be willing to take their money off the table to make a difference.

PiratesWS1979 06-08-2019 04:58 PM

Actually, there’s a good chance it bumped to a 10, and was photoshopped for resale and not altered.

Hasn’t anyone ever received a card that wasn’t quite the same as the scan? Even from PWCC?
Of course, doesn’t mean it’s trimmed/altered

Before I grab my pitchfork and torch I’d like to hear from the owner to see if the marks are there.

Peter_Spaeth 06-08-2019 05:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PiratesWS1979 (Post 1886876)
Actually, there’s a good chance it bumped to a 10, and was photoshopped for resale and not altered.

Hasn’t anyone ever received a card that wasn’t quite the same as the scan? Even from PWCC?
Of course, doesn’t mean it’s trimmed/altered

Before I grab my pitchfork and torch I’d like to hear from the owner to see if the marks are there.

He has indicated he is attempting to return it. If it was just a bump, don't you think Brent would have told him that? And would have urged him to compare the card in hand with the 9 scan?

Dpeck100 06-08-2019 05:04 PM

If it was an in the holder bump the cert would be the same. Out of the holder re grade for a bump is definitely possible.

PiratesWS1979 06-08-2019 05:21 PM

I he's returning it, that's good enough.

japhi 06-08-2019 05:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Peter_Spaeth (Post 1886803)
Look what he DID do in this case, why speculate? There are before and after pics on BO. I give up, Dave and I seem to be the only ones posting who understand this in context.

I agree with you and would add his risk is much less then the 9 to altered value delta. If PSA kills it, it goes to SGC then BVG then back to PSA. Guy has altered thousands of cards and has enough data to know what his chance is of it slipping through, somewhere. He knows they consistently miss these types of alterations. I mean these guys are getting 52 mantles through, its incompetence at the TPG IMO

Steve D 06-08-2019 05:41 PM

Regarding the '52 Musial:

Here's a picture of the card from Heritage Auctions (it is from their April 2009 Signature Auction, where it sold for $1,673):

https://dyn1.heritagestatic.com/lf?s...oduct.chain%5D

Now, here's the image of the card, apparently from September 2017:

https://img.auctiva.com/imgdata/3/9/...30283230_o.jpg

Finally, here's the image of the card as a PSA 10:

https://img.auctiva.com/imgdata/3/9/...30283221_o.jpg

So, if it was worked on before PSA graded it a 9, this work was done before April 2009, as that is when it was auctioned as a PSA 9 by Heritage.

Steve

japhi 06-08-2019 05:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by swarmee (Post 1886852)
Actually, at a 9, it probably still goes higher after the touchups. He's made a lot of profit on cards that stayed the same technical grade if you check the thread on Blowout, just by improving the centering or eye appeal.

Yes, his auction partner throws a HE sticker on it and rally’s his big time buyers to run up the price, with Moser playing shill. Even a 9 likely ends with big profit. Thats a big part of the racket, the auctioneer is not impartial. He is coaching buyers, would be fascinating to see the bid history on the cards Moser buys vs those he sells, and analyze for bid history / retractions etc

Steve D 06-08-2019 06:04 PM

I just noticed something:

If you look at the scan of the PSA 9 from 10 years ago (Heritage), the white spot on Stan's left sleeve is NOT there. This matches with the PSA 10 scan.

So, on the scan from 2017 of the reholdered PSA 9, the visible white spot must simply be a speck of dust either on the slab, or on the scanner.

It would be interesting to know if the black dot in the left upper front border of the card is actually there on the PSA 10. Some scanners, depending on the setting, are known to automatically take out extraneous dots, due to their auto-correct functions.

Steve

sportscardtheory 06-08-2019 06:14 PM

Edit - didn't realize what happened here.

PiratesWS1979 06-08-2019 06:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Steve D (Post 1886898)
I just noticed something:

If you look at the scan of the PSA 9 from 10 years ago (Heritage), the white spot on Stan's left sleeve is NOT there. This matches with the PSA 10 scan.

So, on the scan from 2017 of the reholdered PSA 9, the visible white spot must simply be a speck of dust either on the slab, or on the scanner.

It would be interesting to know if the black dot in the left upper front border of the card is actually there on the PSA 10. Some scanners, depending on the setting, are known to automatically take out extraneous dots, due to their auto-correct functions.

Steve

Here's 3.5X, the black dot is barely visible while there's and extra one lower

http://www.net54baseball.com/picture...ictureid=27012

Bicem 06-08-2019 06:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by conor912 (Post 1886874)
I don't know the OP, though he seems like a good guy and I sincerely hope he gets the restitution he's looking for. That said, it's impossible to convince me that he and his ilk aren't the source of this entire problem. Of course not knowingly, but the happy willingness to spend $22k more on a 10 than a 9 is ultimately what is being taken advantage here. It wouldn't be entirely fair to put this squarely on the guys with deep pockets, as no one deserves to get ripped off, regardless of their financial standing. However, they do have a seat at the table which, like or not, is what money buys you in this country. I just wish enough of them would be willing to take their money off the table to make a difference.

Well said, agreed completely.

PiratesWS1979 06-08-2019 06:32 PM

Add Inventory Results
Edit Recently Added Items
You submitted 1 item.
Cert Number 08168192 is already registered by another member.

If it is two different cards, PSA really needs to contact the owner, if they haven't already, to see if it's still owned. I'm still holding out hope!!

steve B 06-08-2019 06:53 PM

A slightly better image of the PSA10

https://forums.collectors.com/discus...sa-gem-mint-10

swarmee 06-08-2019 06:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PiratesWS1979 (Post 1886909)
Cert Number 08168192 is already registered by another member.

There are a lot of dead cert numbers still clogging up pop reports and set registries. That's one reason I recommended they delete both the before and after certs.

Bram99 06-08-2019 10:37 PM

What I mean
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Peter_Spaeth (Post 1886791)
It's a 3K card or whatever it is. It's meaningless to a guy making the kind of money he makes from altering cards. Huge upside, trivial downside. I think you're way off the mark here implicating PSA. This isn't a collector to whom the card means something. It's a piece of paper to him. It's a risk reward calculation to him plain and simple. Nothing else to see here.

Is there could be a grader inside. Not saying PSA actively complicit but I would expect a guy who is actively doctoring cards wouldn't take such a risk of loss. I was talking about the Musial and it appears the jump is price is much more than $3k if it got a 10, which it did.

midwaylandscaping 06-08-2019 10:46 PM

PSA needs some heat on their A $$. They are either willfully and blissfully ignorant in their grading to let so many big time, big dollar cards that are fraudulent hop-skip-jump through the grading process -or- they , or more specifically a couple of rogue graders, are complicit in this whole mess.

I'll sign that comment and add contact info if need be as I will stand behind my comment and feelings on the matter and don't give a Sh*t. $25k of fraud on the Musial, that was already a great card!!. That's outrageous and every collector who loves this hobby should be completely furious with this. :mad::mad::mad::mad::mad::mad:

David Riley
(843) 631-7436 home
(843) 499-4859 tmobile
2072 N Main Street suite D
summerville , sc 29486

perezfan 06-08-2019 11:48 PM

VERY well said!

pokerplyr80 06-09-2019 10:59 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by midwaylandscaping (Post 1886960)
PSA needs some heat on their A $$. They are either willfully and blissfully ignorant in their grading to let so many big time, big dollar cards that are fraudulent hop-skip-jump through the grading process -or- they , or more specifically a couple of rogue graders, are complicit in this whole mess.

I'll sign that comment and add contact info if need be as I will stand behind my comment and feelings on the matter and don't give a Sh*t. $25k of fraud on the Musial, that was already a great card!!. That's outrageous and every collector who loves this hobby should be completely furious with this. :mad::mad::mad::mad::mad::mad:

David Riley
(843) 631-7436 home
(843) 499-4859 tmobile
2072 N Main Street suite D
summerville , sc 29486

I do not see enough evidence to be convinced any fraud was committed in this case. Definitive statements like this are not fair to the owner of this card, or to the owners of some of the other cards in question. It may turn out this card was altered and it might not. But just as in more serious real life situations a false allegation can do more damage than can be fixed if it's later determined there was no evidence to support the charge.

Imagine if you spent a few thousand, or tens of thousands on one of the cards listed on these threads and it turns out nothing was done to the card. How difficult do you think it will be to sell it down the road?

Fuddjcal 06-09-2019 11:16 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Batpig (Post 1764484)
Funny, if someone had posted that thing raw on here asking for opinions, I'd have said fake without thinking twice.

and purchased from PWCC I say the same thing, probably fake:)

Fuddjcal 06-09-2019 11:19 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Peter_Spaeth (Post 1764592)

Four fake corners gets preferential treatment? The hell you say...:eek:

Fballguy 06-09-2019 11:38 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by UFFDAH (Post 1766830)
Ultimately it doesn't matter to me what T205 GB thinks of this card or any other card. I'm not saying that as an attack just that it doesn't matter to me and I stay the course on what works successfully for me.

My confidence lies in PSA and PWCC who have earned my and many other collectors trust. I review most of my PWCC card targets including the Musial with Brent before I pull the trigger with a bid and have the utmost trust in his opinion. My best bump of a PWCC purchase is a 58' Jim Brown from an 8 to an 8.5 so my confidence and trust is VERY HIGH.

Anyways it will be a great card and a mini Mona Lisa. I love that its Musial, I love the image, the color, clarity, centering, edges, corners etc. The back is icing on the cake. It will be an appreciated card and feel fortunate to be able to buy it.

I'm way behind in reading this thread. Saw the subject line and thought of opening a few times but never did. Until this morning...over coffee...I decided to dig in. And it's at this post, that I will take intermission...as I surely need a beer and bucket of popcorn for everything that comes next. And unfortunately, I just ate breakfast. Until tonight...

perezfan 06-09-2019 11:39 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pokerplyr80 (Post 1887062)
I do not see enough evidence to be convinced any fraud was committed in this case. Definitive statements like this are not fair to the owner of this card, or to the owners of some of the other cards in question. It may turn out this card was altered and it might not. But just as in more serious real life situations a false allegation can do more damage than can be fixed if it's later determined there was no evidence to support the charge.

Imagine if you spent a few thousand, or tens of thousands on one of the cards listed on these threads and it turns out nothing was done to the card. How difficult do you think it will be to sell it down the road?

Pretty damned easy, as long as it still resides in a PSA holder, and is presented to the collecting herd of sheep via auction or on eBay.

Fballguy 06-09-2019 11:51 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Anish (Post 1886738)
I guess being smarter than a coyote or deer doesn’t make you smart enough to detect a scam

Smarter than a deer without a gun anyway.

Fballguy 06-09-2019 11:53 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by steve B (Post 1886757)
So it's being returned?

Where does it eventually end up?
With PWCC?
With PSA?
With the card doctor?

If it simply all gets returned, I believe it will simply either get reslabbed after a crackout still a 10 but with a new cert number. Or gets a slight ding, and gets reslabbed as a 9 again with a new number, and we start all over again.

I'm guessing it's much easier to deconstruct a perfect card. Keep your eyes peeled for a PSA 8.

japhi 06-09-2019 12:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pokerplyr80 (Post 1887062)
I do not see enough evidence to be convinced any fraud was committed in this case. Definitive statements like this are not fair to the owner of this card, or to the owners of some of the other cards in question. It may turn out this card was altered and it might not. But just as in more serious real life situations a false allegation can do more damage than can be fixed if it's later determined there was no evidence to support the charge.

Imagine if you spent a few thousand, or tens of thousands on one of the cards listed on these threads and it turns out nothing was done to the card. How difficult do you think it will be to sell it down the road?

Seriously? The card was sold twice by PWCC in the period of 7 months. First time to a proven card doctor and one of PWCC’s biggest buyers / consignors. Second time the card ends up in a 10 grade with what appear to be alterations. Or at minimum, photoshop scans. Buyer asks PWCC about the card and they claim NO knowledge on provenance. Buyer buys card and 2 weeks later send it back due to concerns.

Ya, nothing to see here, prob just a misunderstanding.

Peter_Spaeth 06-09-2019 12:49 PM

I thought he sent it back just recently, he bought it last year.

MULLINS5 06-09-2019 01:27 PM

I want to know more about the restoration business Brent had/has. Is it a current business or something he ran in the past? All starting to make sense now.

Bored5000 06-09-2019 02:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MULLINS5 (Post 1887117)
I want to know more about the restoration business Brent had/has. Is it a current business or something he ran in the past? All starting to make sense now.

In the e-mail Betsy sent me, she wrote that PWCC is dealing first with the cards that are obviously trimmed, colored and had corners built up. If some cards were "clearly altered," why were the cards being sold without disclosing the information?

I am not an attorney, and I am not pretending to be one, but isn't that fraud?

Peter_Spaeth 06-09-2019 02:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bored5000 (Post 1887143)
In the e-mail Betsy sent me, she wrote that PWCC is dealing first with the cards that are obviously trimmed, colored and had corners built up. If such things were "obvious" why were the cards being sold without disclosing the information?

Every time either of them speaks.... but what she may mean is it's now obvious in light of the before and after pics which are not evidence.

Fuddjcal 06-09-2019 03:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Peter_Spaeth (Post 1886791)
It's a 3K card or whatever it is. It's meaningless to a guy making the kind of money he makes from altering cards. Huge upside, trivial downside. I think you're way off the mark here implicating PSA. This isn't a collector to whom the card means something. It's a piece of paper to him. It's a risk reward calculation to him plain and simple. Nothing else to see here.

and they will just keep submitting the same card time after time until they get the desired result. That's what they do, crack, flip, cut, soak, spoon, color, flip crack repeat...all day everyday for 15 years. Let that sink in

mark evans 06-09-2019 04:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Peter_Spaeth (Post 1886803)
Look what he DID do in this case, why speculate? There are before and after pics on BO. I give up, Dave and I seem to be the only ones posting who understand this in context.

I agree with Peter. I don't think this implicates PSA.

I agree with Barry on another point. The difference between a '9' and '10' is largely subjective, except maybe as to centering. Like Barry, I have never understood the enormous difference in values at the high end.

MULLINS5 06-09-2019 04:57 PM

Brent actually owned/owns a separate business restoring antiques.

Fballguy 06-09-2019 05:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by mark evans (Post 1887175)
I agree with Peter. I don't think this implicates PSA.

Except they're supposed to be experts at authentication.

mark evans 06-09-2019 06:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Fballguy (Post 1887182)
Except they're supposed to be experts at authentication.

True. I was speaking to the fraud. Hopefully, these recent disclosures will result in PSA and/or other services stepping up their game in identifying alterations.

Fballguy 06-09-2019 07:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by mark evans (Post 1887197)
True. I was speaking to the fraud. Hopefully, these recent disclosures will result in PSA and/or other services stepping up their game in identifying alterations.

Too little too late, isn't it? How many dollars have they taken for a service they weren't capable of delivering? It sounds like there are some VERY forgiving people on this forum.

perezfan 06-10-2019 12:07 PM

I don’t get the blind forgiveness either... other than they are already so monetarily invested in PSA slabs. Time for a new competent TPG to step forward. Or better yet, less emphasis on TPGs, period.

Peter_Spaeth 06-10-2019 12:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by perezfan (Post 1887428)
I don’t get it either.. other than they are already so monetarily invested in PSA slabs. Time for a new competent TPG to step forward. Or better yet, less emphasis on TPGs, period.

Just as the stock market moves or not in response to new information, this market either will or won't respond as it collectively deems the new information important. Nobody is coerced here, it's the aggregate of thousands of individual decisions. We'll see. Given the low entry barriers, theory at least would dictate that if there is a significant opportunity for a new grader, someone will make a go for it.

luciobar1980 06-10-2019 12:31 PM

For the record, I am the OP of THIS thread and was simply pointing out what I thought was amazing card. :p I see people referencing the "OP" but I believe /hope they are referring to a different thread.

mark evans 06-10-2019 12:45 PM

I think I need to clarify that my comments weren't meant to excuse PSA's failure to identify alterations, but rather that I did not see evidence of fraudulent activity. The company should, of course, be held accountable to meet whatever guarantees it has made with regard to its services.

Republicaninmass 06-10-2019 01:43 PM

The edge had a questionable trim in the 9 holder to begin with

Peter_Spaeth 06-10-2019 01:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by luciobar1980 (Post 1887448)
For the record, I am the OP of THIS thread and was simply pointing out what I thought was amazing card. :p I see people referencing the "OP" but I believe /hope they are referring to a different thread.

Yah, they mean the guy who bought the card.

oldjudge 06-10-2019 05:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Peter_Spaeth (Post 1887431)
Just as the stock market moves or not in response to new information, this market either will or won't respond as it collectively deems the new information important. Nobody is coerced here, it's the aggregate of thousands of individual decisions. We'll see. Given the low entry barriers, theory at least would dictate that if there is a significant opportunity for a new grader, someone will make a go for it.

Unless they can offer a better alternative to the PSA registry, it would be foolish for a new grading company to start up. The registry is what drives everything.

Peter_Spaeth 06-10-2019 06:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by oldjudge (Post 1887559)
Unless they can offer a better alternative to the PSA registry, it would be foolish for a new grading company to start up. The registry is what drives everything.

I imagine there are tons of collectors who don't have any registry presence. Yes, a competitive advantage for PSA to be sure, but not insurmountable.

Dpeck100 06-10-2019 06:57 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Peter_Spaeth (Post 1887589)
I imagine there are tons of collectors who don't have any registry presence. Yes, a competitive advantage for PSA to be sure, but not insurmountable.

A good friend of mine has a really great wrestling card collection and is working on high grade Wrestling All Stars sets and he isn't remotely worried about the registry. That said the scarcity of the cards can drive market behavior.

No one is taking on PSA unless they were to get shut down. In order to use another grader for the majority of your collection you want their grades to be the most coveted. It is too great of feat to get the market to switch.

New grading companies certainly would be welcomed because competition forces companies to get better but the landscape is very well defined.

Peter_Spaeth 06-10-2019 06:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dpeck100 (Post 1887599)
A good friend of mine has a really great wrestling card collection and is working on high grade Wrestling All Stars sets and he isn't remotely worried about the registry. That said the scarcity of the cards can drive market behavior.

No one is taking on PSA unless they were to get shut down. In order to use another grader for the majority of your collection you want their grades to be the most coveted. It is too great of feat to get the market to switch.

New grading companies certainly would be welcomed because competition forces companies to get better but the landscape is very well defined.

If people completely lose faith in PSA's ability to detect alteration, and many are close right now I think, that would offset the registry to a great extent in my opinion. Cards on which people spend 4 and 5 figures are being outed by the hour by three guys behind a keyboard. Imagine the real scope of this.

Dpeck100 06-10-2019 07:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Peter_Spaeth (Post 1887601)
If people completely lose faith in PSA's ability to detect alteration, and many are close right now I think, that would offset the registry to a great extent in my opinion.

One of the comments you have made is that many collectors are so heavily invested in PSA that they have no incentive to change or appear concerned about recent findings. I think this is true and reinforces my belief the risks are too high for collectors to run from their PSA collections.

Peter_Spaeth 06-10-2019 07:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dpeck100 (Post 1887603)
One of the comments you have made is that many collectors are so heavily invested in PSA that they have no incentive to change or appear concerned about recent findings. I think this is true and reinforces my belief the risks are too high for collectors to run from their PSA collections.

Maybe. I am not sure what to think at this point honestly, I'm bouncing around from hour to hour on what I think will happen. After I see another disastrous card I start thinking people have to care at some point; then later I think well maybe not just too many people invested in the status quo.

Dpeck100 06-10-2019 07:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Peter_Spaeth (Post 1887604)
Maybe. I am not sure what to think at this point honestly, I'm bouncing around from day to day on what I think will happen.


I don't play in the really expensive segment of the market but I am someone who has submitted a lot of cards that are in my own collection and so the game doesn't stop just because of a bad call.

I have tried to track down cards in a specific grade for years and you need people to get totally turned off from graded cards to have things change significantly.

What else do many of us have to do? We like to collect cards and so grading creates challenges that are really tough and make trying to keep searching worth while. You can still rip packs for the price range of cards I collect and so hunting in many cases is still possible. Grading is the final step in the process for me. I got to catch the fish first and then go to the weigh station. If it doesn't get the grade I want I generally keep it and just keep trying.

Peter_Spaeth 06-10-2019 07:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dpeck100 (Post 1887608)
I don't play in the really expensive segment of the market but I am someone who has submitted a lot of cards that are in my own collection and so the game doesn't stop just because of a bad call.

I have tried to track down cards in a specific grade for years and you need people to get totally turned off from graded cards to have things change significantly.

What else do many of us have to do? We like to collect cards and so grading creates challenges that are really tough and make trying to keep searching worth while. You can still rip packs for the price range of cards I collect and so hunting in many cases is still possible. Grading is the final step in the process for me. I got to catch the fish first and then go to the weigh station. If it doesn't get the grade I want I generally keep it and just keep trying.

I can't even remember the last time I opened a pack. Having known about this fraud for years I've been pretty diligent and follow a number of rules but even then there is only so much you can do.

Dpeck100 06-10-2019 07:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Peter_Spaeth (Post 1887609)
I can't even remember the last time I opened a pack. Having known about this fraud for years I've been pretty diligent and follow a number of rules but even then there is only so much you can do.

I have never been able to keep one pack sealed I have bought in the last ten years.

So many times I said I am going to keep this one sealed and cave pretty quickly.

When it goes your way it is ridiculously fun. I ripped a 1985 Topps WWF rack box and it was amazing. I bought a few packs as a kid but any money I could get my hands on was going to 85 Topps baseball instead looking for a Dwight Gooden so it was incredible to get to tear through a box. I self subbed a Hogan Yellow 10 and a Roddy Piper too. This keeps people like me addicted.

Peter_Spaeth 06-10-2019 07:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dpeck100 (Post 1887610)
I have never been able to keep one pack sealed I have bought in the last ten years.

So many times I said I am going to keep this one sealed and cave pretty quickly.

When it goes your way it is ridiculously fun. I ripped a 1985 Topps WWF rack box and it was amazing. I bought a few packs as a kid but any money I could get my hands on was going to 85 Topps baseball instead looking for a Dwight Gooden so it was incredible to get to tear through a box. I self subbed a Hogan Yellow 10 and a Roddy Piper too. This keeps people like me addicted.

Yeah for many of us of course packs are where it all started. As pure as it gets. The closest I have come in some time was breaking my own rule and buying a raw card from a seller I normally am very cautious with -- a fairly pricey Brady rookie. Huge scan, I just couldn't see any possible issue with it. Submitted it and sure enough got a 10.

Dpeck100 06-10-2019 07:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Peter_Spaeth (Post 1887613)
Yeah for many of us of course packs are where it all started. As pure as it gets. The closest I have come in some time was breaking my own rule and buying a raw card from a seller I normally am very cautious with -- a fairly pricey Brady rookie. Huge scan, I just couldn't see any possible issue with it. Submitted it and sure enough got a 10.

I bet you were excited when you saw the screen. :)

Peter_Spaeth 06-10-2019 07:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dpeck100 (Post 1887614)
I bet you were excited when you saw the screen. :)

I think I waited for the box. But yeah. I mean the whole thing on one level is absurd, it's now worth 6x or more what I paid.

MULLINS5 06-10-2019 07:29 PM

I was going to start building high graded PSA vintage (1910/1911, PSA 8+ 1951 Parkies, etc) sets this year but nope, can't do it with all that's going on. No way. I'm doing these raw and in binders instead and that's coming from a loyal PSA customer of 15 years.

I am invested emotionally in a PSA/DNA set (signed79.com) and will finish getting that upgraded and slabbed, but no more PSA projects for now.

Dpeck100 06-10-2019 07:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Peter_Spaeth (Post 1887615)
I think I waited for the box. But yeah. I mean the whole thing on one level is absurd, it's now worth 6x or more what I paid.

Just another reason people get addicted.

I love collecting but I have made no bones about the fact that when I send in cards for grading I want to increase their value. The potential margins are shocking in cards. Find me a stock you can magically make worth six times what you paid. Obviously that can't be done and so this kind of massive escalation in price that takes place in every segment gets money chasing cards.

Tom Brady has proven to be a total blue chip investment. His cards are like Amazon shares and when they came public there was little fanfare but have done nothing but go up over time. Incredible.

oldjudge 06-11-2019 12:42 AM

This won’t shake anyone major player out of the registry. I think this incident just points out that PSA needs to add graders and improve inspection methods. I have no doubt that they will do this and they will come out of this a stronger company with improved grading procedures.

glynparson 06-11-2019 05:23 AM

This is what i believe as well
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by oldjudge (Post 1887655)
This won’t shake anyone major player out of the registry. I think this incident just points out that PSA needs to add graders and improve inspection methods. I have no doubt that they will do this and they will come out of this a stronger company with improved grading procedures.

I agree with Jay 100% on this.

Bpm0014 06-11-2019 07:08 AM

He only has to make it work 1 time in 8 for this to pay off.

"Pot odds..."

sportscardtheory 06-11-2019 08:30 AM

Some rose-colored glasses up in here. The core reason for PSA and BGS' existance is keeping their customers safe from fraud. lol 'This is fine' comes to mind. As if these companies will police themselves.

oldjudge 06-11-2019 02:17 PM

You get a flu shot every year to minimize your chance of getting the flu. You don't smoke (hopefully) to minimize your chance of getting heart and respiratory disease. You wear a seat belt to minimize your chance of getting killed in an auto accident. Nothing completely eliminates bad outcomes; you can, however, reduce the probability of them happening. Grading cards substantially reduces the chance of getting doctored cards; it does not eliminate it. Procedures will improve over time to reduce the probability of getting a doctored card still further. However, like in the prior examples, the probability will never go to zero. If you can live with that great. If not, you will never be happy.

Peter_Spaeth 06-11-2019 02:36 PM

Jay perhaps but they've been doing this for 28 years now. What's your basis for thinking things are improving? For me these revelations are confirming my wildest fears.

Promethius88 06-11-2019 03:00 PM

What is really being overlooked here, imo, is how good is the work that is being done? Nobody has answered this question no matter how many times I have asked it. It is pretty easy, in most cases, from what I have seen to tell the alterations from before and after pics. But what about cards that have never been previously holdered or cards that have never been sold online to have an electronic footprint? Is the work so good that it can't be reasonably detected by the advanced collector or by TPG's? I'm not interested in another response that "Oh the TPG's are the professionals and should be able to....". Yeah, I get that, but would this work be undetectable by 99.9% of people without before and after pics??

drcy 06-11-2019 03:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Promethius88 (Post 1887862)
What is really being overlooked here, imo, is how good is the work that is being done? Nobody has answered this question no matter how many times I have asked it. It is pretty easy, in most cases, from what I have seen to tell the alterations from before and after pics. But what about cards that have never been previously holdered or cards that have never been sold online to have an electronic footprint? Is the work so good that it can't be reasonably detected by the advanced collector or by TPG's? I'm not interested in another response that "Oh the TPG's are the professionals and should be able to....". Yeah, I get that, but would this work be undetectable by 99.9% of people without before and after pics??

And it's a good question. I've never seen one of the cards in question in person.

Peter_Spaeth 06-11-2019 03:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Promethius88 (Post 1887862)
What is really being overlooked here, imo, is how good is the work that is being done? Nobody has answered this question no matter how many times I have asked it. It is pretty easy, in most cases, from what I have seen to tell the alterations from before and after pics. But what about cards that have never been previously holdered or cards that have never been sold online to have an electronic footprint? Is the work so good that it can't be reasonably detected by the advanced collector or by TPG's? I'm not interested in another response that "Oh the TPG's are the professionals and should be able to....". Yeah, I get that, but would this work be undetectable by 99.9% of people without before and after pics??

I have posted several times that in my opinion, at least some of the work is very very difficult to detect given the level of review. This isn't crime lab review by any means.

oldjudge 06-11-2019 05:15 PM

Peter- First, I think grading has gotten marginally more accurate over time. I also think that because of the current situation, really a wake up call, PSA, if they are smart, will try to upgrade their procedures. I know if I was running the company that is what I would be doing. It's a public company. If management doesn't do this the board ought to step in and find management who will.

Peter_Spaeth 06-11-2019 05:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by oldjudge (Post 1887891)
Peter- First, I think grading has gotten marginally more accurate over time. I also think that because of the current situation, really a wake up call, PSA, if they are smart, will try to upgrade their procedures. I know if I was running the company that is what I would be doing. It's a public company. If management doesn't do this the board ought to step in and find management who will.

I think their grading may have improved, but I have no confidence that their authentication has. Big difference. Their corporate culture over the years does not give me much confidence that they will do anything more than close ranks, maintain their usual secrecy, do damage control, and try to shift blame and responsibility to others. And above all else, minimize by whatever means necessary the hit to that guarantee. So far their response has been a page out of that playbook. We will see and I hope you are right.

darwinbulldog 06-11-2019 07:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by oldjudge (Post 1887848)
You get a flu shot every year to minimize your chance of getting the flu. You don't smoke (hopefully) to minimize your chance of getting heart and respiratory disease. You wear a seat belt to minimize your chance of getting killed in an auto accident. Nothing completely eliminates bad outcomes; you can, however, reduce the probability of them happening. Grading cards substantially reduces the chance of getting doctored cards; it does not eliminate it. Procedures will improve over time to reduce the probability of getting a doctored card still further. However, like in the prior examples, the probability will never go to zero. If you can live with that great. If not, you will never be happy.

Procedures will also improve over time to increase the probability of getting a doctored card past the graders. But everything happening now is small potatoes compared to what eventually kills off the TPG business and probably the hobby itself -- AI and 3D printing technology advanced enough to fabricate new "old" cards identical to the actual old cards. It's not as though the molecules that make up a T206 Wagner are particularly scarce on our planet. At that point though I guess we'll have bigger problems to worry about.

Steve D 06-11-2019 07:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by oldjudge (Post 1887848)
You get a flu shot every year to minimize your chance of getting the flu. You don't smoke (hopefully) to minimize your chance of getting heart and respiratory disease. You wear a seat belt to minimize your chance of getting killed in an auto accident. Nothing completely eliminates bad outcomes; you can, however, reduce the probability of them happening. Grading cards substantially reduces the chance of getting doctored cards; it does not eliminate it. Procedures will improve over time to reduce the probability of getting a doctored card still further. However, like in the prior examples, the probability will never go to zero. If you can live with that great. If not, you will never be happy.


Nail Squarely Hit!

Steve

Republicaninmass 06-11-2019 08:22 PM

The recoloring seems pretty evident, even to the naked eye in the scans. Maybe because it was pointed out?

steve B 06-12-2019 09:15 AM

That's entirely possible. If you know where to look, you'll be able to see it every time.

I'd really like to get one of these cards in hand to see how good the alterations are and if I can tell.

I will say that if the time allowed for inspection is under 1-2 minutes, the work doesn't have to be all that good.
Given a bit more time, and even pretty good alterations should be detectable without much technology. And given a very good amount of time and some specific info on that particular issue, there should be almost no undetectable alterations.

Fballguy 06-12-2019 09:28 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by oldjudge (Post 1887848)
You get a flu shot every year to minimize your chance of getting the flu. You don't smoke (hopefully) to minimize your chance of getting heart and respiratory disease. You wear a seat belt to minimize your chance of getting killed in an auto accident. Nothing completely eliminates bad outcomes; you can, however, reduce the probability of them happening. Grading cards substantially reduces the chance of getting doctored cards; it does not eliminate it. Procedures will improve over time to reduce the probability of getting a doctored card still further. However, like in the prior examples, the probability will never go to zero. If you can live with that great. If not, you will never be happy.

Present, ever growing list of doctored cards, notwithstanding...

justlookingforyourinput 06-14-2019 03:17 PM

Not sure if anyone read this ..

https://www.nytimes.com/2019/06/14/y...fraud.amp.html


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swarmee 06-22-2019 03:17 PM

How was this resolved? It looked like you might have gotten hit with other Mosered cards, right? Did they inform you of all the cards you bought from all the possible known scammers when you contacted them?
Thanks!

justlookingforyourinput 07-18-2019 01:05 PM

https://beta.washingtonpost.com/spor...outputType=amp


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