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Archive 03-16-2008 06:59 PM

The Depression of 2008
 
Posted By: <b>boxingcardman</b><p>You don't need a study to prove that smaller classes work. The free market that you bootstrapping types are so fond of citing to justify not spending more money on anything that might force you to (horror of horrors) pay more taxes has already proven it. If those big class public institutions generated the same results as small class private schools why would all of us smart, wealthy parents waste hundreds of thousands of dollars a year on private schools? And why would those of us who are making policy in those schools not buy a few more desks and jack up enrollment 50%? Because we know it degrades the result.<br /><br />I love the raw spending across nationalities argument because it is such a crock of crap. You cannot compare the raw spending here with the raw spending in other countries unless you adjust for social differences reflected in how the costs are accounted for. Blaming the unions is a typical canard that misleadingly ignores differences between countries. Your point is that the countries that are kicking our asses spend less per pupil, yet you ignore the fact that many have far stronger union presences than we do. I would suggest that a good deal of the explanation for that number lies in the fact that a big chunk of the cost of union workers here is the benefits package that is a public cost in other countries. Health care, for example, is a benefit here that the workers have to fight to get but is a publicly funded right in every civilized country. Add that to the cost of schooling in those countries and take it away from the costs columns for the unions here. Ditto a strong retirement system and a strong social safety net. These items add thousands of dollars in costs to every car we turn out by the calculations of the automobile companies themselves; don't you think the same is true of education costs?<br /><br />Sic Gorgiamus Allos Subjectatos Nunc

Archive 03-16-2008 10:24 PM

The Depression of 2008
 
Posted By: <b>Mark Evans</b><p>Perhaps Democratic ticket will be Gore & Obama. Superdelegates, being career politicians and thus spineless, might choose to punt in order to avoid alienating half the party. Enter former nominee who most Dems believe deserved to win in 2000 and who has since picked up the Nobel peace prize to reel in the majority of independents. Beats McCain like a bad step-child.<br /><br />I can only afford $10 one time, my best chance to pick up a CJ Jackson sad to say. Hope to see all at the National. Mark

Archive 03-16-2008 10:33 PM

The Depression of 2008
 
Posted By: <b>Frank Wakefield</b><p>Well the Fed's interest cut seems to bode ill for the markets.<br /><br />And it seems to me that whether it is Hillary or Obama, a party nomination for either will fractionalize the party so that neither could defeat McCain. I hope he finds an expeditious and affordable way out of Iraq. There is some merit to being in Afghanistan; but not Iraq.

Archive 03-17-2008 03:12 AM

The Depression of 2008
 
Posted By: <b>LetsGoBucs</b><p>I love the raw spending across nationalities argument because it is such a crock of crap. You cannot compare the raw spending here with the raw spending in other countries unless you adjust for social differences reflected in how the costs are accounted for. <br />----------------<br /><br />I believe that the OECD does just that and thats one of its purposes and they do it for a number of areas. Since it is a multigovernment agency funded by member states I don't think it has much of a political axe to grind. I would freely admit I didn't go through the methodology used for their bi-yearly study.<br /><br />While there are social differences that cuts both ways. Yes there are more unions across all industries in Europe, but they have also learned how to handle them better. In Europe, it is very difficult (and costly) to eliminate a group or location of workers - and I know this firsthand. But it is very easy to remove a low performer. Our teacher's union has made it virtually impossible to simply fire a poor teacher and they fight any efforts to put in place mechanisms to even identify poor teachers. I'm not a union hater, but the teacher's union is one that I have lost respect for over the years. <br /><br />

Archive 03-17-2008 06:02 AM

The Depression of 2008
 
Posted By: <b>Cy</b><p>I am a professor at a Community College in Virginia and I am amazed at how some people here and out side the board view education. Someone brought up the point that a religious schools out score public schools by a wide margin. The should score better. My college has an open door policy. That means that anyone can come to my school and we have to teach him. Could this school compete with Harvard with its entrance requirements? That is the same thing with religious schools vs public schools.<br /><br />The parents of the children that are going to religious schools are paying a hefty tuition to send them there. Don't you think that these parents will have more hands on help with their children since their investment is higher? Of course they will. Piggybacking on Ken Cohen's remark, having parents involved does absolutely wonders for the child's educational development. Plus, in many cases, these private schools are getting the cream of the crop to work with, rather than a grand mixture of abilities. So this comparison is truly apples and oranges.<br /><br />I have had an evil thought that Warren Buffet or Bill Gates would pay the tuition of twenty inner-city troubled youths and send them to one of these private schools so that half of the class is made up from these children. Then let's see what happens to the dynamics. Plus in a public school you cannot kick a student out for misbehaving as you can in a private school. So to reflect on my point, if the private school doesn't do better with their grades, then something is drastically wrong with the private school.<br /><br />The other point that is brought up is that the teacher unions are telling us what to do about education. Who should we ask, coal miners? And before people start saying that teachers have their own agenda to support themselves, I will counter that you don't know many teachers. Pre-college teachers work hard and usually are underpaid and they still strive to enhance the lives of their students. Not allowing major input from teachers in the educational system would be absurd. These teachers are constantly striving to better themselves so that they can help the students. And before I get bombarded again with people trying to contradict me, let me ask you this. If the government gave $100 million to teachers to better the schools or to oil men to better oil, in which case do you think the money would be spent more wisely to help the public? Teachers on a whole work hard to do the best that they can to help their students. If you truly disagree with that, then I will wager that you don't know too many teachers.<br /><br />Sincerely,<br /><br />Cy<br />

Archive 03-17-2008 06:08 AM

The Depression of 2008
 
Posted By: <b>Joe D.</b><p>so out of the kindness of my heart.... I will be trading cash for Wagners.<br /><br />c'mon Leon - you know which one I want!<br /><br /><br />

Archive 03-17-2008 07:02 AM

The Depression of 2008
 
Posted By: <b>Frank Wakefield</b><p>I agree with most of what Cy says, it is an unfair comparison. <br /><br />Still, tenure is one problem with our public schools. That needs to be reworked so that the problem of ineffective teachers can be addressed.<br /><br />I taught college once, it is 'outscore', not 'out score'.

Archive 03-17-2008 08:00 AM

The Depression of 2008
 
Posted By: <b>Frank Wakefield</b><p>No posts on this in close to an hour...<br /><br />You guys must be watching the market. I went to bed having watched the CNBC folks in Australia and India, where markets were down, and the openings in Germany and England weren't looking very promising either.<br /><br />It is a good time to buy baseball cards if you're paying for them with Euro's. Anyone ever list an eBay auction in a foreign currency, ie on other than their own?

Archive 03-17-2008 08:18 AM

The Depression of 2008
 
Posted By: <b>Steve</b><p>Plus in a public school you cannot kick a student out for misbehaving as you can in a private school.<br /><br /><br />Oh yes they can. <br /><br /><br />Steve

Archive 03-17-2008 08:37 AM

The Depression of 2008
 
Posted By: <b>Dave Hornish</b><p>Actually, I don't think there is any evidence religious based schools do better than public schools K-12. I believe the results have been remarkably similar as has been reported in a number of non-biased studies. If you compare all private schools to all public schools then I believe private institutions have the edge. There is also the issue in religious schools of science education, which can vary greatly depending upon the worldview of the institution as a number of them do not teach evolution.<br /><br />Here's a question: Is the No Child Left Behind act helping or hindering education in this country?

Archive 03-17-2008 08:42 AM

The Depression of 2008
 
Posted By: <b>Jeff Lichtman</b><p>You've got to give Jim Cranell credit -- while Lehman Bros tumbles to a 5 year low and questions are raised about its ability to continue in existence, all of his comrades probably have zillions in Lehman stock. Jim's got a PSA slabbed cushion! And the guys at Lehman probably thought he was crazy!

Archive 03-17-2008 09:01 AM

The Depression of 2008
 
Posted By: <b>Paul Moss</b><p>Lehman had better survive otherwise I might be minus a future son-in-law <img src="/images/sad.gif" height=14 width=14>

Archive 03-17-2008 09:03 AM

The Depression of 2008
 
Posted By: <b>Jeff Lichtman</b><p>Paul, think of the bright side -- you'll have the opportunity to spend a lot more time with him!

Archive 03-17-2008 09:34 AM

The Depression of 2008
 
Posted By: <b>andy</b><p>These unfair comparisons are why my state, Iowa, ranks high in sat testing. The schools around here use the act for testing so only students wanting to go to a coast school are taking the sat at all and creating an unrealistic curve in sat testing scores.

Archive 03-17-2008 09:49 AM

The Depression of 2008
 
Posted By: <b>JimCrandell</b><p>Paul,<br /><br />I can't marry your daughter--I'm already happily married. Sorry if I might have misled you.<br /><br />Jeff,<br /><br />My net worth has taken a huge hit these past few days--keepin' my fingers crossed--lucky I have my AAA-rated PSA-card collection to fall back on.

Archive 03-17-2008 10:16 AM

The Depression of 2008
 
Posted By: <b>Jeff Lichtman</b><p>Jim, for another $5 per slab PSA will make it a AAAA-rated collection. <img src="/images/happy.gif" height=14 width=14>

Archive 03-17-2008 10:22 AM

The Depression of 2008
 
Posted By: <b>CoreyRS.hanus</b><p>I happen to agree with much of what Cy says, with one important exception. That pertains to the teachers' unions. IMO, the single worst thing to ever happen to public education is the tenure system. PERIOD!!! And I say that not only from sending three kids to public school, but also from knowledge of the inner workings of the system. My wife you see for many years was a tenured middle school teacher. She received tenure when she was in her middle 20's. What that meant is short of some EGREGIOUS transgression, she had a job for life, regardless how much she cared about her students or regardless how much effort she put into her classes.<br /><br />I always thought the concept of tenure in education originated out of concern that professors should not be punished for their views and indeed should be encouraged to think and publish creatively and without fear of retribution for out-of-the-box ideas. After all, weren't some of the greatest ideas in human history greeted as little more than heresy when they were first announced? But what the dickens does this have to do with elementary, middle school and even high school education? How many other efficient professions have a system where as a practical matter a person is awarded with a job for life after 2-3 years of work? Such a system makes mockery of the whole concept of human incentive--to advance you have to continually perform and prove you belong. Any system that functions on a different concept is doomed to inefficiency and complacency. I believe there are a myriad of examples in the socialist and communist world to attest this view.<br /><br />As/more important than smaller class size or parental involvement with their kids' education is that in private schools (and again I say this from experience because I went to one) (and I imagine too with parochial schools though not having gone to one I can't speak from experience), is that if a teacher doesn't perform, he/she is out on his/her ass. Parents whose tuition dollars fund the majority of the school budget will insist on nothing less.<br /><br />My views about this matter are hardly an extreme opinion. Many others feel the way I do. In fact, what do you think led to the creation of the charter school concept? And why do you think the teachers' unions regard themselves in a life or death struggle with them? Charter schools too are predicated on the notion of accountability for their teachers; become lax or mess up and you're out. No wonder the teachers' unions feel so threatened.<br /><br />I am at the point that with at least one of my kids we are seriously considering sending her to private school. It is not because of smaller class size, or that we have some great desire to spend our hard-earned dollars on tuition, or that we do not go to a good school district. But simply because we are getting fed up with too many teachers who simply don't care, have no economic motivation to care, and frankly who have no business being in the profession of educating our children.

Archive 03-17-2008 10:29 AM

The Depression of 2008
 
Posted By: <b>JimCrandell</b><p>Jeff,<br /><br />I am still losing some of these 55 psa 8s at very high numbers. I am down to 18 upgrades of PSA 7s I think and occasionally I win one at 6-700 but I am losing some--most recently Hal Smith(I think) at over $1,500.<br /><br />As long as my average conversion of 8s to 8.5 or 9 exceeds Vic Davalillo's career batting average I will be happy--if it gets down near the Mendoza line then not so much.<br /><br />

Archive 03-17-2008 10:42 AM

The Depression of 2008
 
Posted By: <b>Jeff Lichtman</b><p>Jim, at the very least you could have sponsored the Vic Davalillo page on baseball-reference.com. And throw Mario Mendoza a bone while you're at it as well!

Archive 03-17-2008 10:42 AM

The Depression of 2008
 
Posted By: <b>David Atkatz</b><p>"I think at the end of the day the swing voters will make their decision on two factors--1)The economy which may be improving or may be in the doldrums and 2)Who is best suited to be commander in chief--on this it is no contest--Obama cannot hold a candle to McCain."<br /><br />Why?<br />Because he was a fighter pilot and spent years in a bamboo cage?<br />His decisions vis a vis Iraq have certainly shown poor judgment.<br /><br />

Archive 03-17-2008 10:50 AM

The Depression of 2008
 
Posted By: <b>Jeff Lichtman</b><p>David, McCain, right or wrong, has been given credit for the 'surge' -- and the results of the surge have allowed for a higher approval rating of the war in a very long time. And unlike Obama, McCain doesn't have to explain why until Friday he had in his campaign a racist, hate-mongerer who married him, baptized his kids, spent 20 years as his preacher, was a trusted advisor and recipient of over $20K in funds, and who provided the title of his book. I think a lot of the moderate whites who had given Obama the benefit of the doubt are seriously re-thinking their support, especially after Obama claimed he didn't know about the lion-share of Rev. Wright's statements even though the rest of the world apparently did.

Archive 03-17-2008 11:28 AM

The Depression of 2008
 
Posted By: <b>leon</b><p>Rev.Wright= racist idiot= bad Obama...... wait until it's proven that Obama was in the church audience when he said he wasn't.....regardless, to approve of what that idiot said, at any time, is agreeing with pure racisim....This will hurt Obama's ratings..... He can't run the other way fast enough.....

Archive 03-17-2008 11:55 AM

The Depression of 2008
 
Posted By: <b>Anonymous</b><p>Get a wooden closepin, unslab your cards and place them in the <br />spokes of your mountain bike. Cause that's about how valuable <br />cards are going to be for the next 8 years.<br /><br />matt m

Archive 03-17-2008 11:56 AM

The Depression of 2008
 
Posted By: <b>Ted Zanidakis</b><p>Once again I agree with you, this time regarding public education......<br /><br />I went to NJ public schools back in the Paleolithic era (1940's to late '50s) and we had class sizes of 30-40 students. The course<br /> curricula was tough, we had very few failing students, and the drop-out rate was virtually zero. I recently attended my 50th HS<br /> reunion and was delightfully surprised to see how many of my classmates were College educated and very successful. I am sure<br /> this example is typical of many public schools back then in this country. Here are the prime reasons that I see for this success.<br /><br />Stable families with a Father and a Mother<br /><br />Higher quality Teachers than we have nowadays (no tenure)<br /><br />Solid "Reading-wRriting-and-aRithmetic"....and, none of the "politically-left (or correct)" B-S being taught<br /><br />Tough School Administrators......(lawyers, psychologists, union officials, etc. need not apply)<br /><br />And, as a consequence, significantly less cost per student<br /><br /><br />Well, those days are gone and there are too many obstacles in the way in trying to restore the Public School System back to the<br /> way it was prior to the mid-1960's. If we could, the US will be able to reduce the need to hire Doctors, Engineers, Mathematicians,<br /> and Scientists from other countries. The "out-sourcing" of these Hi-Tech jobs has become necessary in recent years, because our<br /> education systems (K-12 and College) are sorely lacking. Yet, the same people who are in these education systems are the ones<br /> who are most critical of this "out-sourcing"......it's a vicious cycle.<br /><br />COREY<br /><br />My Grandson, Ron, was struggling in one of the better known public HS system's in Maine. His pre-HS grades were excellent; there-<br />fore, Ron's HS performance was puzzling. So, my daughter paid $30K/year and transferred him to a Private school in Lake Placid, NY<br />for his junior and senior years. Ron graduated with a B+ average, and is doing great at the Univ. of Maine. <br /><br />T-Rex TED <br /><br /> <br />

Archive 03-17-2008 12:03 PM

The Depression of 2008
 
Posted By: <b>Jeff Lichtman</b><p>Ted, I agree with all your comments. I think the problem today is not so much the difference in schools from back then but the differnece in society and family structure.

Archive 03-17-2008 12:10 PM

The Depression of 2008
 
Posted By: <b>Fred C</b><p>Concur - <br /><br />How many stay at home moms are there these days?

Archive 03-17-2008 01:06 PM

The Depression of 2008
 
Posted By: <b>leon</b><p>When I got married (13 yrs ago tomorrow...please don't let me forget) one vow I had was to have my wife be a stay at home mom. So far we have been able to do that. We moved to an area where the classes are very small relative to other surrounding ISD's. Up until this year (5th grade) my little girl had less than 20 students in each class. The one 2 edged sword we have is that we are not racially diverse. There are about 550 students in her elementary and 1-2 black (or African American...whatever is politically correct) students. We have quite a few Hispanics but my little girl fails to understand how racially diverse America, let alone the world, really is....Sure, she reads about it but she doesn't live it so I am not sure she totally understands it.....We hope to keep her a child as long as we can. The other day my wife told me that my little girl's best friend, and class mate, had started her period.....I put my hands over my ears and went the other way.....My little girl won't be little forever....too bad.....sorry for the mumbling...I kind of got off track.......OK now....remember to do whatever you can to get the best cards and if you have to kill to get them then by all means do it. It's all about winning and who cares what it takes to get there!!!! (there, that was better)

Archive 03-17-2008 02:08 PM

The Depression of 2008
 
Posted By: <b>Ted Zanidakis</b><p>Yes, society and the family structure in America is very different than the 1950's. But, I strongly disagree with your comment:<br />"I think the problem today is not so much the difference in schools from back then"<br /><br />1st....the level of mathematics instruction was much better and we were heavy into problem-solving. At a HS level, we had<br /> to compose some serious term papers. Most of us were in strong competition to attain high grades; and, this was appreciated<br /> by having High Honor awards. None of this "let's not hurt the dear darling's self-esteem" by eliminating such awards.<br /><br />2nd....the class atmosphere was tolerant of an ethnic and religious mix. In Elizabeth (NJ) we had a veritable melting pot......<br />Irish, Germans, Poles, Jews, Italians, Blacks, Asians, Puerto Ricans, Cubans and we all respected each others views and we<br /> got along just great. Every Christmas everybody participated in the school Pageant. We not only had trips to the NY Museums,<br /> but trips to Yankee Stadium and the Polo Grounds. Now, many public schools across the country are eliminating their BaseBall<br /> programs. Replacing them with that dumb Euro-sport, Soccer.<br /><br />I could go on and on and on.....but, I'll spare you the rest.<br /><br /><br />Hope you are enjoying the Roller Coaster ride today......<br /><br />DOW<br /><br />10 AM.... -180<br /><br />11 AM.... +44<br /><br />2 PM...... -82<br /><br />4 PM......+21<br /><br />You, gotta LOVE the resiliency of the American economy.....don't ever sell it short.....think OPTIMISTIC.<br /><br />TED Z

Archive 03-17-2008 02:47 PM

The Depression of 2008
 
Posted By: <b>Joe Drouillard</b><p>Hello Everyone,<br /><br />I'm sorry, but I take exception to all of the teacher bashing in this thread. Teachers, like parents, policemen, and politicians, get a bad rap in the media. The media only reports the bad and never the good. <br /><br />Ten years ago I left the business world after twenty-three years to become a high school English teacher. I did so to make a difference in the lives of young people. I expected to find a lot of apathy at school, but I can honestly say that all of the teachers that I've worked with work hard and sincerely care about students. <br /><br />In addition, most students, contrary to popular oppinion, really want to learn. Yes, there are many changes in young people today. They have more distractions, they often come from broken homes, and they are influenced by a media that stresses the immediate gratification of desires. Still, when I'm with them it makes me smile to see how curious they are, how intelligent, how full of life. I feel proud of the job that I do. I believe we are educating kids to be future leaders.<br /><br /><br />Joe

Archive 03-17-2008 02:56 PM

The Depression of 2008
 
Posted By: <b>Dan Bretta</b><p>I personally abhor all organized religions as I think they are more divisive than anything else, and I'm perfectly capable of thinking for myself, but if you think Obama's guy is any worse than James Dobson advising GW Bush you're wrong and you should read this interesting article from one of the men who created the religious right.<br /><br /><a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.com/frank-schaeffer/obamas-minister-committe_b_91774.html" target="_new">http://www.huffingtonpost.com/frank-schaeffer/obamas-minister-committe_b_91774.html</a><br />

Archive 03-17-2008 03:31 PM

The Depression of 2008
 
Posted By: <b>leon</b><p>I sure hope you aren't defending Obama's idiot of a friend.....just because there is another idiot doesn't make that one ok.....He's a racist idiot...end of discussion.....best regards

Archive 03-17-2008 03:39 PM

The Depression of 2008
 
Posted By: <b>CoreyRS.hanus</b><p>Joe,<br /><br />I agree that there are many excellent tenured teachers in public education, teachers whose main motivation is not to pick up a pay check but to make a difference in children's lives. But the flip side is that there are also a number of teachers who teach with a fraction of the enthusiasm they originally had. Teachers are human like all of us and take away the need to continually prove your worth and you become complacent. Not all react this way, I agree, but too many do. What's broken then is the system, not the participants in it. I would think that those motivated teachers who teach because they care about their students are exactly those who would care least about and be least threatened by a change in the tenure system. What would be so terrible if tenure is granted for only, say, ten years, after which a teacher has to earn it again to stay on for another ten years? Yes people will say that tenure may be subsequently denied not because of poor job performance but in order to bring in younger less expensive teachers. And I'm not saying there is not merit to those concerns and that perhaps safeguards will need to be put in to guard against that. But the alternative would be a continuation of the current system, which I vigorously opine brings more abuse and has more pitfalls than something along the lines of what I described.

Archive 03-17-2008 03:42 PM

The Depression of 2008
 
Posted By: <b>Dave Hornish</b><p>Dan:<br /><br />I could not agree more; excellent article. I have been making this point about W and many other so called Republicans in various conversations even before the Obama controversy came up. The hijacking of the Republican party by the religious right is one of the great outrages of our time.

Archive 03-17-2008 03:43 PM

The Depression of 2008
 
Posted By: <b>James Feagin</b><p>Dan,<br /><br /> There are many churches that do not advocate a "Christian Right" agenda from the pulpit. My Christian faith has stated repeatedly that church is not to be used as a political forum, refuses to endorse any candidate, and while advocating that we vote, never has told us who to vote for. I think to lump all, or even the majority of American Christianity with the "religious right" is dangerous.

Archive 03-17-2008 03:45 PM

The Depression of 2008
 
Posted By: <b>James Feagin</b><p>Dave---Agreed<br /><br />The "religious/evangelical right" has also hijacked the image of the Christian faith as well.

Archive 03-17-2008 03:47 PM

The Depression of 2008
 
Posted By: <b>Dan Bretta</b><p>Leon, read my post carefully....I abhor all organized religion. I think Obama's guy is a flipping idiot. As bad as James Dobson, Pat Robertson and the rest of the haters. I can just sense the hypocrisy going on right now with those tearing down Obama's relationship with his minister and having no problem with a guy like James Dobson advising the current president. I kind of like the separation of church and state idea....today's politicians have been eroding that line for decades now and it needs to stop. Obama should have kicked this guy to the curb 20 years ago if he was preaching that hatred back then.

Archive 03-17-2008 03:48 PM

The Depression of 2008
 
Posted By: <b>Dave Hornish</b><p>James:<br /><br />Agree on the latter point as well. Truly a sad situation all around.

Archive 03-17-2008 03:52 PM

The Depression of 2008
 
Posted By: <b>Dan Bretta</b><p>James, I am sorry and you're right I should not lump all of them together...I attended a Lutheran church when I was younger and I don't recall any intolerance at all. When I went to college I got involved with the Baptist Student Union and I won't go into details here, but that's as close to being a cult as it comes, and their intolerance was unbelievable.

Archive 03-17-2008 04:06 PM

The Depression of 2008
 
Posted By: <b>Kenneth A. Cohen</b><p>What's so disappointing to me about Obama now is his disingenuous lieing maintaining that he was unaware of any such pronouncements by his spirtuial advisor of 20 plus years. He has revealed himself as just another slimy politician believing himself capable of easily hoodwinking a gullible electorate with smooth talk. He self righteously eshews the race card now but, by lieing in bed with his preacher in order to establish his local political cred, availed himself of it over many years. It's a long time between now and November and anything can happen -but he should be toast.

Archive 03-17-2008 04:06 PM

The Depression of 2008
 
Posted By: <b>James Feagin</b><p>Dan,<br /><br />My perspective is different as a devout Christian and former missionary. The "Christian Coalition" does not like my faith and members of some of their churches went out of their way to intimidate, harass and even threaten violence on us. I will not judge the beautiful tenants of faith that many organized Christian churches teach on the few maladjusted folks who seek to enforce their way of life. <br /><br />

Archive 03-17-2008 04:06 PM

The Depression of 2008
 
Posted By: <b>Jeff Lichtman</b><p>Dan, I agree with much of what you say. I suppose the part that just makes me sick about Obama -- a guy that I have publicly praised -- is that he has the gall to claim he was unaware of most of the insane rantings of his preacher. Obama should have just told the truth and apologized for putting a maniac like this in his campagin as one of his most trusted advisors. I was deeply disappointed in finding out that Obama is just like every other politician after seeing his BS spin on TV.

Archive 03-17-2008 04:07 PM

The Depression of 2008
 
Posted By: <b>leon</b><p>Thanks for the clarification. We are in agreement...completely. Although I was raised in the Jewish faith I sort of have my own ideas which I won't go into here. Whoever says that state and religion should always be seperate is correct, imo. Also, to the point about which Corey is making. I agree with that also...however to Cy's point too..I have met many of my little girl's teachers and I don't see a bit of apathy in them. They are really good...again, though, I do believe our little school district is different than most.... best regards

Archive 03-17-2008 04:14 PM

The Depression of 2008
 
Posted By: <b>John S</b><p>Wow...this thread has ADHD.<br /><br />Teaching is not the same as it was in the 50's. We tend to romanticize the past. Education has changed. Teachers are expected to not only instruct students but are accountable for their students' performances on standardized tests, accomodating muliple levels of instruction within the same classroom (IEP's); not to mention the multiple personal issues (products of the 21st century) that many students bring into the classroom. There probably were not too many teachers in the 50's that had to attend innervetion meetings for a students before school, work with a counselor to infiltrate a drug ring within their classroom, attend multiple IEP meetings in a week, and continue to be expected to perform at the same level as the smiling faced instructor of Wally and Beaver.<br /><br />In my building we have 50 teachers. There are a handful of rotten ones (and most systems including mine do purge these individuals), a handful of awesome ones, and the rest of us who truly make a concerted effort to inspire our students on a daily basis.<br /><br />As others have stated, teachers haven't changed, it is the society and educational system that has changed. The average career of a high school teacher is around six years. Burnout is incredible as the responsibilities far exceed the compensation. I have been teaching high school juniors and seniors for the last twelve years. I love my job as do most of my colleagues. I have tenure but am evaluated every three years. Tenure within most high school systems does not carry the same weight as in colleges/universities. The tenure system is used within my school mostly to establish seniorty amongst the staff in case reductions occur.

Archive 03-17-2008 04:19 PM

The Depression of 2008
 
Posted By: <b>Kenneth A. Cohen</b><p>John S,<br /><br />You crossed the line when you brought Miss Landers into the argument. She was perfect!

Archive 03-17-2008 04:52 PM

The Depression of 2008
 
Posted By: <b>Steve</b><p>Well, those days are gone and there are too many obstacles in the way in trying to restore the Public School System back to the<br />way it was prior to the mid-1960's.<br /><br />////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////<br /><br /><br /> That was around the same time we instituted liberalized education.<br /><br /><br />Steve<br /><br />

Archive 03-17-2008 05:18 PM

The Depression of 2008
 
Posted By: <b>Rich Klein</b><p>While the Dow made a nice comeback -- both the NASDAQ and the S&P 500 ended up down by a decent amount. <br /><br />The Dow was boosted by a very strong JP Morgan performance and who can blame them -- they bought a property which a few months ago had a stock value of 50X what they paid last night. That would be like today being able to buy raw 49 Bowman High #s in ex or better for like $5 or so. <br /><br />Getting back on financial subject.<br /><br />As for teachers; both my parents were educators and my wife is a teacher. Like many other discussions, there is no right or wrong -- just a whole bunch of things in the middle<br /><br />Regards<br />Rich

Archive 03-17-2008 08:25 PM

The Depression of 2008
 
Posted By: <b>Ted Zanidakis</b><p>The Dow is the main index in this aspect of the market and it "survived" for another day. I fully appreciate the agony of "crashing"<br /> stocks. Not too long ago my AT&T and LUCENT stocks were $80 apiece.....now AT&T is $35 and LUCENT is $2 (or $4). That's the<br /> risks you take when you do not "diversify". Anyhow, the Stock Market will gradually recover....but, will the DOW reach 14K again ?<br /> Perhaps, not for some time, as there always is a certain amount of nervousness in the Stock market during a national election year.<br /> This was true in 1992 and in 2000, as we led up to the Prez. elections.<br /><br />Teaching is a worthy profession and I applaud all who labor in it. However professionally one tries to carry out their task nowadays,<br /> they are very limited by the bureaucracy that they work under. Most teachers are probably underpaid for what they have to put<br /> up with, from the student's end and their management on the other end. I once taught, so I do have the background to know of<br />what I am speaking of.<br /><br />Regards,<br />TED Z

Archive 03-18-2008 10:47 AM

The Depression of 2008
 
Posted By: <b>Cat</b><p>Card values seem to be materially unaffected SO FAR....at least to the point of no downturn but my instinct is that card prices overall have been pretty flat in the last roughly 18 months. <br /><br />I always believed that "dealers" propped up card values beyond market realities. But once dealer inventories failed to turnover then dealer money would get sunk into existing inventories and that money would no longer support certain bottom floors of card prices. I search on the "dealers" who sale on EBay and many are not moving much right now although I am not sure we have reached the dealer saturation point quite yet. The market sentiment as it pertains to cards still seems pretty upbeat. The last few auctions have had strong prices. I do see the overall sentiment changing a little though, so perhaps we will see a change in prices in the upcoming auctions. REA has a lot of very good stuff and Mastro is already bragging about their June auction. Will there be money abundant enough to chase these cards to healthy prices? We'll see.

Archive 03-18-2008 12:20 PM

The Depression of 2008
 
Posted By: <b>boxingcardman</b><p>Great stuff will always sell, as will rarities. When I batten down the hatches I stop buying the run of the mill cards I can find any time and focus only on the difficult items I have been chasing for a long time. I'll skip the T206's I would like to own and focus on the difficult Exhibits instead. I figure I can always go back and fill in the easy cards but I might not see the tough stuff for some time, if at all. <br><br>Sic Gorgiamus Allos Subjectatos Nunc

Archive 03-18-2008 01:23 PM

The Depression of 2008
 
Posted By: <b>JimB</b><p>People sure like to hear themselves talk, even when they don't have much worth saying. The vast majority here, on both sides, seem incredibly uninformed. <br /><br /> But for me, the funniest of all was the claim that the media is to blame for the disaster that has been the Bush presidency. I agree that they have been complicit and should be roundly condemned for that, but to claim the media, and not the current adminsitration, are the primary reason our country's current failures domestically and abroad, is the height of narrow thinking.<br />JimB<br /><br /><br />Maybe the best advice here was to read Alexis de Tocqueville's Democracy in America. Thanks Brian. Democracy only works with an informed populace that has the ability to think critically. Thus, our problem.

Archive 03-18-2008 01:52 PM

The Depression of 2008
 
Posted By: <b>Charlie Barokas</b><p>Jeff,<br /><br />Do we still have a bet? I feel bad for those that panicked and sold yesterday am. <br /><br />CB

Archive 03-18-2008 02:10 PM

The Depression of 2008
 
Posted By: <b>Brian Weisner</b><p><br /><br /> Hi Jim,<br /> Thanks.... I didn't think anyone was going to respond to my suggestion. I was going to suggest the Federalist Papers, but I figured most had read them by now. Be well Brian<br /><br /><br />PS Anyone who hasn't read Democracy in America should really pick up a copy...

Archive 03-18-2008 02:11 PM

The Depression of 2008
 
Posted By: <b>Jeff Lichtman</b><p>Yeah, Charlie, I throw in the towel! The market's response today has caused me to rethink my entire position. All is rosy, the subprime mortgage problems are gone and even Bear Stearns employees are buying their third and fourth homes today. <br /><br />In all seriousness, I don't think today means anything long term -- which is why I mentioned to you previously that a one-week window was meaningnless.

Archive 03-18-2008 02:24 PM

The Depression of 2008
 
Posted By: <b>Fred C</b><p>Jim,<br /><br />"Democracy only works with an informed populace that has the ability to think critically"<br /><br />So, our problem is:<br /><br />We are not an informed populace?<br />We don't have the ability to think, critically?<br /><br />The answer to the first question has got to be that there's just entirely TOO MUCH INFORMATION to process. I couldn't imagine trying to read and understand all of the different issues that surround us. That's why we vote in politicians. They are supposed to take their constituency into account when they make their decisions? About the only constiuents they listen to are the ones that line their pockets. Ok, that was a bit ignorant and not totally true.<br /><br />Second point - I think that a lot of it boils down to people not thinking, let alone think critically. Could you imagine having people in power that are objective when they make decisions? Wow, what a concept. Where would we be today if we had objective thinkers in power rather than... <br /><br />I think we need to redefine the meaning of democracy. Maybe make it autonomous. Have it become artificially intelligent and have it objectively make our decisions for us. Sounds like a good book to write. Maybe I can see if George Aldous Bradbury exists and ask that person to write the book.. now, would that book be a comedy or a tragedy?<br /><br /> <br />

Archive 03-18-2008 02:52 PM

The Depression of 2008
 
Posted By: <b>Pennsylvania Ted</b><p>Hey guys, there is no way to predict the Stock Market.....Dow jumped +420 today. Do you recall the last time it jumped +420 ?<br />Yes, yes....just a week ago when Wall Street apparently reacted to Spitzer's demise. It's an election year, anything can happen.<br /><br />Regarding the "sub-prime" problem, the latest numbers on foreclosures is 900,000. The normal average every year is 550,000 fore-<br />closures. When you compare these numbers with 100 MILLION to 150 MILLION active mortgages, the 900K is less than 1%. Is this<br /> "crises" overblown, or what ? ?

Archive 03-18-2008 02:55 PM

The Depression of 2008
 
Posted By: <b>Charlie Barokas</b><p>Jeff,<br /><br />I stand by my predictions that the market was a "buy" Monday morning and not a "sell"...also that Financial stocks will be higher six Month's from Monday.<br /><br />CB

Archive 03-18-2008 02:56 PM

The Depression of 2008
 
Posted By: <b>Tom Boblitt</b><p>as the saying goes........I love 'ya man..........but what did Spitzer's demise have to do with the Street?<br /><br />

Archive 03-18-2008 02:56 PM

The Depression of 2008
 
Posted By: <b>Tom Boblitt</b><p>Was Bear Stearns a buy on Friday after dropping 40-50% to the 30 range?<br />

Archive 03-18-2008 02:57 PM

The Depression of 2008
 
Posted By: <b>Rob D.</b><p>Citing a large, one-day advance (or decline) in the stock market as a sign of the economy's strength (or weakness) is akin to using an unseasonably cold (or hot) day in February as proof that global warming doesn't (or does) exist.

Archive 03-18-2008 03:03 PM

The Depression of 2008
 
Posted By: <b>Pennsylvania Ted</b><p>My buddies in Wall Street told me that there was a sense of euphoria and it helped boost "buying" in the Market that day.<br /> It was a secondary factor. I don't recall what was the primary factor to boost the Dow +419 pts. that day.

Archive 03-18-2008 03:16 PM

The Depression of 2008
 
Posted By: <b>Dan Bretta</b><p>If all it takes is a sense of euphoria to make the market go up then someone needs to slip those traders some X just before the markets open.

Archive 03-18-2008 03:18 PM

The Depression of 2008
 
Posted By: <b>Anthony S.</b><p>Dan,<br /><br />If there's a publicly traded company that produces both pacifiers and Dr. Suess "Cat in the Hat" hats they'd make a killing under your scenario.

Archive 03-18-2008 03:43 PM

The Depression of 2008
 
Posted By: <b>Fred C</b><p>News flash everyone -<br /><br />THE FED CUT THE INTEREST RATE BY 3/4 of a point! The cut brings the rate to its lowest point since 2004 (about the time when real estate started to hit the peak). <br /><br />Usually, there's a market increase when the fed cuts rates by large amounts such as this. That makes money really cheap. The key interest rate sits at 2.25%.<br /><br />It will be interersting to see just how long the dow stays above 12K.<br />

Archive 03-18-2008 03:49 PM

The Depression of 2008
 
Posted By: <b>Charlie Barokas</b><p>Tom,<br /><br />Friday was never apart of our discussion on Sunday. The discussion was about Monday morning....many board members suggested the world would come to an end this week in the stock market...I took the other side of that extreme pessimism. I stated the market would be up for the week. So far we are up 440 Dow points for the week.<br /><br />CB

Archive 03-18-2008 04:19 PM

The Depression of 2008
 
Posted By: <b>Jeff Lichtman</b><p>If I recall, Bear's CEO on Weds said that everything was peachy keen and rumors of their demise were absurd. By Friday they were kaput. I think the subprime mess has just begun with Bear's destruction -- and today was probably just a dead cat bounce.

Archive 03-18-2008 04:29 PM

The Depression of 2008
 
Posted By: <b>Patrick McHugh</b><p>Today was a great day to sell the market at the close. The tsunami of forclosures has only just begun. The fed is doing anything to bail out the wall street boys but the fact is the average person can not afford to buy a house at todays prices. Home values need to fall another 25 percent. The only thing the rate cuts do for the average guy(like me) is make my grocery bill go up and 4 dollar gas is coming. Just wait for the spring home selling season there will be so many units on the market and no buyers. Market will probably finish the year down about 20 percent.

Archive 03-18-2008 04:36 PM

The Depression of 2008
 
Posted By: <b>Tom Boblitt</b><p>I heard Cramer (Mad....not Seinfeld's) railing that you shouldn't take your money out of Bear Stearns. It was hilarious. From last week. Not a great call on that one, huh?<br /><br />

Archive 03-18-2008 04:37 PM

The Depression of 2008
 
Posted By: <b>Dan Bretta</b><p>Hey, somebody slip Lichtman and McHugh some X. STAT.

Archive 03-18-2008 04:42 PM

The Depression of 2008
 
Posted By: <b>John</b><p>I see what’s going on here Jeff is filling us with gloom and doom, then when were all down in the dumps he will snag up dozens if not hundreds of lots in REA for pennies on the dollar!<br /><br />This Lichtman guy is one shrude cookie! But trust me folks I have it on good authority from buddies within my cock fighting circle this guy can’t be trusted!<br />

Archive 03-18-2008 04:53 PM

The Depression of 2008
 
Posted By: <b>Joe D.</b><p>I think you pegged it!<br /><br />That Lichtman fella is up to shenannigans!

Archive 03-18-2008 05:01 PM

The Depression of 2008
 
Posted By: <b>leon</b><p>I doubt the economy will have an effect on the homes of cockfight brethren....<br /><br /><br /><img src="http://www.network54.com/Realm/tmp/1205880425.JPG"><br /><br />.like I have said, and studies prove, animal cruelty is only one step away from child porn and molestation. Here is an excerpt from a study I found....<br /><br />An even more disturbing fact is that there is a well recognized link between people who commit animal abuse and those who abuse children. A survey of pet-owning families with substantiated child abuse and neglect found that animals were abused in 88% of homes where child physical abuse was present. Eric Smith, a young 12-year old boy, strangled his neighbor's cat with a garden hose. A year later, at age 13, he murdered a 4-year old boy. Jeffery Dahmer and David Berkowitz both tortured and killed animals when they were children, and then went on to become well-known serial killers as adults. The evidence of the connections between animal and human abuse is hard to deny.<br /><br />...I guess it takes all kinds....<br /><br /><br />

Archive 03-18-2008 05:02 PM

The Depression of 2008
 
Posted By: <b>Matt</b><p>Tom - Jon Stewart was having a good time with that Cramer sound byte.

Archive 03-18-2008 05:05 PM

The Depression of 2008
 
Posted By: <b>John</b><p>And to think Joe; Jeff would have gotten away with it if it wasn’t for us…<br /><br /><img src="http://photos.imageevent.com/piojohn3/junkforumimages/websize/MeddlingKidsPosterper20forper20geekper20speak.jpg" ><br /><br />Leon, that was you outside my house (sorry World Headquarters) this afternoon with a camera?

Archive 03-18-2008 05:13 PM

The Depression of 2008
 
Posted By: <b>Fred C</b><p>Cramer is just great! He's always pushing something. In the recent past he was really pushing a telecomm company hard. The stock increased for a while (when he kept telling everyone buy, buy, buy) and now that stock is about 1/2 of where it was when he started pushing it really hard. Cramer's brilliant! Sometimes he's right and sometimes he's wrong. Kind of like Shaq throwing up free throws.<br /><br />Cramer would make a great carnival barker.

Archive 03-18-2008 05:25 PM

The Depression of 2008
 
Posted By: <b>Jeff Lichtman</b><p>Damn, you guys are on to me. Oh well. Did I mention that pork bellies are overpriced as well? (he said, hands rubbing together greedily)<br /><br />Leon, I know I'm just a city slicker but I'm fairly certain that your trailer there is a single-wide. And yes, animal molesters usually grow up to be child molesters. <br /><br />As for Cramer, if you took away the gains he generates in stocks by his flogging of the stock on TV -- and thereby inducing the viewers to drive the stock up -- he easily underperforms the S & P. In sum, a gorilla throwing darts at the stock table could pick as well as he does.<br /><br />

Archive 03-18-2008 05:32 PM

The Depression of 2008
 
Posted By: <b>Anthony S.</b><p>For those who haven't seen the Jim Cramer clip...<br /><br /><a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o3FVBKic5Ek" target="_new" rel="nofollow">http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o3FVBKic5Ek</a>

Archive 03-18-2008 05:58 PM

The Depression of 2008
 
Posted By: <b>Fred C</b><p>Here's Cramer's response to his - don't sell Bear!<br /><br /><a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i0Y2_LS5mHQ" target="_new" rel="nofollow">http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i0Y2_LS5mHQ</a>

Archive 03-18-2008 07:21 PM

The Depression of 2008
 
Posted By: <b>Anonymous</b><p>Tom,<br /><br />With all due respect, you are wrong again. Cramer was referring to investment accounts and or prime brokerage accounts held/domiciled at Bear Stearns. He was not advocating to Buy or hold the stock. <br /><br />CB

Archive 03-18-2008 07:31 PM

The Depression of 2008
 
Posted By: <b>Steve</b><p>Charley<br /><br />Cramer's whole schtick is stocks.<br /><br />His BS explanation was well after BS folded.<br /><br />Steve

Archive 03-18-2008 07:41 PM

The Depression of 2008
 
Posted By: <b>Jeff Lichtman</b><p>Yeah, Charlie, I have to disagree with you on that one, too. Cramer was discussing the stock, not the investment accounts of Bear.


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