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-   -   Ohtani CARDS are Mostly UNDERVALUED (http://www.net54baseball.com/showthread.php?t=352423)

jboosted92 08-24-2024 08:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SyrNy1960 (Post 2455699)
Great response. BigfootIsReal could learn a thing or two from you.


based on 100 replies...maybe it was CORRECT location... LOL

raulus 08-24-2024 08:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jboosted92 (Post 2456443)
i think just his base rookies, ungraded or PSA9 or below*

So what are his ungraded base rookies selling for these days? And what do you think they’re worth? Not being an Ohtani collector, I’m not familiar with the details here. I’m guessing that you think his PSA 10 rookies are not undervalued?

If you really think they’re undervalued, the obvious answer is to start buying and keep buying until you drive up the price to what you think they are worth.

Carter08 08-24-2024 09:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by raulus (Post 2456449)
So what are his ungraded base rookies selling for these days? And what do you think they’re worth? Not being an Ohtani collector, I’m not familiar with the details here. I’m guessing that you think his PSA 10 rookies are not undervalued?

If you really think they’re undervalued, the obvious answer is to start buying and keep buying until you drive up the price to what you think they are worth.

I would be very hesitant to buy anything Ohtani. The guy is objectively the best or second best player in baseball but will apparently have an odd amount of detractors.

doug.goodman 08-24-2024 10:53 PM

1 Attachment(s)
It's been awhile since there was a card in this thread, here are a few

frankbmd 08-25-2024 07:07 AM

I'm perfectly willing to concede the 20th century to Ruth, but so far I think Ohtani will be hard to beat in the 21st century. Comparing today's game with 1924 is more difficult than the most biased Ruthies and/or Ohtanies are willing to admit.

packs 08-25-2024 08:04 AM

I don’t think you’ll lose money buying Ohtani cards but I wouldn’t say he’s undervalued in the Ernie Banks sense.

I think you’d do well buying Aaron Judge too. It’s like watching an authentic Bonds up there.

SyrNy1960 08-25-2024 12:01 PM

Judge is freaking amazing! HR#50

GasHouseGang 08-25-2024 01:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by doug.goodman (Post 2456464)
It's been awhile since there was a card in this thread, here are a few

I sure like that Pujols card you slipped in there!

Snowman 08-25-2024 02:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by packs (Post 2456497)
I don’t think you’ll lose money buying Ohtani cards but I wouldn’t say he’s undervalued in the Ernie Banks sense.

I think you’d do well buying Aaron Judge too. It’s like watching an authentic Bonds up there.

There's a pretty wide gap between what Judge is doing and what Bonds did.

packs 08-25-2024 03:31 PM

I agree. Judge is an authentic player. His production is real.

SyrNy1960 08-25-2024 04:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by packs (Post 2456603)
I agree. Judge is an authentic player. His production is real.

Judge is a Beast!

1952boyntoncollector 08-25-2024 06:02 PM

what is a stolen base value versus the best
 
40 steals now is like 25 in the past? Ohtani amazing player but no way its the same 40 steals now than it was in the past....pitchers could hold ball for 15 secs and throw to first, bases are bigger... etc.

bk400 08-25-2024 07:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 1952boyntoncollector (Post 2456623)
40 steals now is like 25 in the past? Ohtani amazing player but no way its the same 40 steals now than it was in the past....pitchers could hold ball for 15 secs and throw to first, bases are bigger... etc.

I was wondering the same thing. But then I thought that it is quite possible that SB attempts are down significantly from the prime Rickey Henderson years, given that advanced analytics have taken over many aspects of the game. And those analytics have seemingly devalued the stolen base. So you've got to be a much more sure-footed base stealer before the manager will give you a green light to run today.

As an aside, one of the things that analytics has made less fun about baseball are reducing the frequency of things like stolen bases, hit-and-run plays, and suicide squeezes.

Carter08 08-25-2024 07:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by bk400 (Post 2456639)
I was wondering the same thing. But then I thought that it is quite possible that SB attempts are down significantly from the prime Rickey Henderson years, given that advanced analytics have taken over many aspects of the game. And those analytics have seemingly devalued the stolen base. So you've got to be a much more sure-footed base stealer before the manager will give you a green light to run today.

As an aside, one of the things that analytics has made less fun about baseball are reducing the frequency of things like stolen bases, hit-and-run plays, and suicide squeezes.

Agree that analytics has taken fun things about small ball, like bunts and stolen bases, from the game. Stolen bases are probably down also due to the fact that the pitcher is getting the ball to the plate faster than in the past and catcher can probably throw it a bit faster to second too.

G1911 08-25-2024 11:19 PM

He's probably the most recognizable name of any active baseball player in the world, is considered the best player the last few years by anyone who isn't a Yankees fan, outsells pretty much every other veteran player and the player he is most often compared to is the one and only Babe Ruth. How can he possibly be undervalued? He doesn't need to get more pumped up hype to make money off his cards.

JustinD 08-26-2024 07:59 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Carter08 (Post 2456458)
I would be very hesitant to buy anything Ohtani. The guy is objectively the best or second best player in baseball but will apparently have an odd amount of detractors.

This is definitely an issue, I don’t understand it personally but it is an obvious situation. The guy could turn water to wine and a bunch would jump his case for something.

I think it has a lot to do with language barrier and him not being a common public figure out there and doing talk shows and such. The same was common with Miguel Cabrera in his prime. He really had little interest in learning English and he didn’t care to deal with the public off the field. Judge has bit of that “all-American kid” aura and like Jeter he will get fans just for that.

packs 08-26-2024 08:25 AM

I've heard that argument made before but when I think of Jeter I mostly think of a stone. The guy didn't say a lot, didn't reveal a lot about himself, and wasn't really out there bringing attention to himself either.

Trout doesn't put himself out there either. I don't think it has anything to do with language. It's personality.

brad31 08-26-2024 08:44 AM

Agree Ohtani will be hard to beat as the best player in the 21st Century if he stays healthy as a hitter. If he doesn’t pitch there is no reason to think he stays at DH. He is a phenomenal athlete and could easily learn to play a position once he is allowed to throw again.

I think he pitches again. If he has say 5 more seasons as a pitcher and hitter and pitches like he did before - his value is so far above the next guy you simply cannot compare. We are witnessing an all-timer and really should enjoy it as long as we can. Unlikely we live to see another player like him.

Centauri 08-26-2024 08:49 AM

Some crusty old heads who don’t want their guy’s unique place taken away. But if you are not making an effort to watch Ohtani play, you are missing out. He is elite at pitching and hitting, and there only been one other player with that ability in MLB history. He is not dabbling into pitching, it’s not a circus sideshow. He is the real deal from both sides. Enjoy it while it lasts, don’t miss out.

bk400 08-26-2024 09:43 AM

Regardless of what Ohtani does going forward on the field, his most enduring legacy will likely be to change what Americans and Japanese think is possible with respect to baseball athletes. He's changed the paradigm.

I hope to see a lot of Ohtani wannabes come through the youth / HS / minor league ranks.

seanofjapan 08-26-2024 12:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 1952boyntoncollector (Post 2456623)
40 steals now is like 25 in the past? Ohtani amazing player but no way its the same 40 steals now than it was in the past....pitchers could hold ball for 15 secs and throw to first, bases are bigger... etc.

Hard disagree about discounting Ohtani’s SB numbers like that.

When Canseco was the first to go 40-40 you had guys like Rickey, Tim Raines and Vince Coleman routinely stealing 90 to 100 bases a year or more. Canseco’s 40 wasn’t even good enough to crack the top 10 back then, while Ohtani is currently 2nd in MLB.

JustinD 08-26-2024 12:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by bk400 (Post 2456716)
Regardless of what Ohtani does going forward on the field, his most enduring legacy will likely be to change what Americans and Japanese think is possible with respect to baseball athletes. He's changed the paradigm.

I hope to see a lot of Ohtani wannabes come through the youth / HS / minor league ranks.

Keep an eye out for Roki Sasaki as the next big thing coming from Japan. Who knows what will happen but he has been something else for his age.

Exhibitman 08-26-2024 04:07 PM

One further bit of statistical perspective: Only three players (minimum 500 plate appearances) have finished a season with an OPS+ above 230: Barry Bonds (2001, 2002, 2003 and 2004), Babe Ruth (1920, 1921 and 1923) and Ted Williams (1941 and 1957). Ohtani currently sits at 175.

Oh, and Greg is right. on both points: "[1] He's probably the most recognizable name of any active baseball player in the world, is considered the best player the last few years by anyone who isn't a Yankees fan, outsells pretty much every other veteran player and the player he is most often compared to is the one and only Babe Ruth. How can he possibly be undervalued? [2] He doesn't need to get more pumped up hype to make money off his cards."

Lorewalker 08-26-2024 04:23 PM

I am not into the modern stuff and therefore not an expert but his cards are not in short supply in any grade (and if they were it would be a manufactured rarity) and therefore not seeing that the cards are undervalued. I suppose as he continues to dominate in MLB, the prices will rise but not sure there is a single person alive who is not aware of his stature in baseball.

Personally I would still take a Williams, Aaron, Mays, etc rookie over an Ohtani.

molenick 08-26-2024 09:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Exhibitman (Post 2456812)
One further bit of statistical perspective: Only three players (minimum 500 plate appearances) have finished a season with an OPS+ above 230: Barry Bonds (2001, 2002, 2003 and 2004), Babe Ruth (1920, 1921 and 1923) and Ted Williams (1941 and 1957). Ohtani currently sits at 175. "

Coincidentally, Judge's OPS+ was 230 before the start of today's game. I can't comment on card prices or quality of autographs, but I am glad to be able to witness two amazing seasons taking place in the same year.

Peter_Spaeth 08-26-2024 10:40 PM

Ohtani is amazing but before anyone starts comparing him to Ruth or waxes too poetic about his place in the pantheon, keep in mind his batting WAR is 26 and his pitching WAR is 15 for a total of 41.

Judge's WAR, just hitting, is over 50.

Deep breath. He has a long ways to go yet.

bk400 08-26-2024 11:07 PM

Well, I'm not convinced that aggregating Ohtani's hitting and pitching WAR to date is the best way to evaluate his place in modern baseball history.

Ohtani is analogous to a track and field athlete who wins the gold medal in both the 100 meter dash and the javelin in the 2028 Olympics. You only have to do that once to be in the Olympic pantheon.

Snowman 08-27-2024 02:33 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by packs (Post 2456603)
I agree. Judge is an authentic player. His production is real.

There's also a pretty wide gap between what Bonds did before he every even started taking steroids and what Judge is doing now.

Snowman 08-27-2024 02:45 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Peter_Spaeth (Post 2456919)
Ohtani is amazing but before anyone starts comparing him to Ruth or waxes too poetic about his place in the pantheon, keep in mind his batting WAR is 26 and his pitching WAR is 15 for a total of 41.

Judge's WAR, just hitting, is over 50.

Deep breath. He has a long ways to go yet.

Ohtanis value to a franchise is worth more than the sum of the parts.

packs 08-27-2024 06:33 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Snowman (Post 2456930)
There's also a pretty wide gap between what Bonds did before he every even started taking steroids and what Judge is doing now.

I agree. Judge is much better.

Peter_Spaeth 08-27-2024 08:24 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Snowman (Post 2456931)
Ohtanis value to a franchise is worth more than the sum of the parts.

Why? Surely it isn't because he creates one extra roster spot. How much value does the last player on a team add?

Peter_Spaeth 08-27-2024 08:26 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by bk400 (Post 2456921)
Well, I'm not convinced that aggregating Ohtani's hitting and pitching WAR to date is the best way to evaluate his place in modern baseball history.

Ohtani is analogous to a track and field athlete who wins the gold medal in both the 100 meter dash and the javelin in the 2028 Olympics. You only have to do that once to be in the Olympic pantheon.

I agree it's amazing, but isn't the ultimate question in baseball, what's his value?

Beercan collector 08-27-2024 08:39 AM

Disclaimer: I am not interested no back-and-forth cause I not that smart ,
But off the field there’s jersey sales , ticket sales , television viewership , luxury boxes etc .
.. Admittedly I don’t watch Dodgers games because of Ohtani I just to see Mike Schildt and the Padres beat them

packs 08-27-2024 08:42 AM

Ohtani is the largest presence in the two largest baseball markets in the world. I don't see how anyone could question why it's valuable for a franchise to have that player on their team.

Peter_Spaeth 08-27-2024 08:47 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by packs (Post 2456983)
Ohtani is the largest presence in the two largest baseball markets in the world. I don't see how anyone could question why it's valuable for a franchise to have that player on their team.

Sure, but franchise economics and baseball are two different things and I thought we were discussing baseball.

packs 08-27-2024 08:59 AM

I thought that what's you meant by his value. He's about to win his third MVP. I didn't think his value on the field was in question.

Peter_Spaeth 08-27-2024 09:01 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by packs (Post 2456988)
I thought that what's you meant by his value. He's about to win his third MVP. I didn't think his value on the field was in question.

It's not at all in question. The issue is how great is that value in overall context. People speak of him as though he's possibly the best player ever. With a combined 41 WAR, that seems way premature to me.

bnorth 08-27-2024 09:04 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Peter_Spaeth (Post 2456989)
It's not at all in question. The issue is how great is that value in overall context. People speak of him as though he's possibly the best player ever. With a combined 41 WAR, that seems way premature to me.

We always need they hype. It is what drives almost everything in life and absolutely everything in our hobby and baseball in general. Nobody ever lives up to the hype and Mike Trout is about over so they had to move on.:D

packs 08-27-2024 10:12 AM

The list of three time MVPs is small and aside from Trout, who is active, and Bonds and Arod who had their own issues we're familiar with, the rest of the list were first ballot HOFers. Good company to be in.

I agree he's unlikely to hit major milestones like 500 homers or 3,000 hits, or 300 wins / 5,000 strike outs, but I think most modern pitchers will also struggle to reach those milestones and most modern hitters won't win three MVPs.

calvindog 08-27-2024 05:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by packs (Post 2457006)
The list of three time MVPs is small and aside from Trout, who is active, and Bonds and Arod who had their own issues we're familiar with, the rest of the list were first ballot HOFers. Good company to be in.

I agree he's unlikely to hit major milestones like 500 homers or 3,000 hits, or 300 wins / 5,000 strike outs, but I think most modern pitchers will also struggle to reach those milestones and most modern hitters won't win three MVPs.

He’s about to win his third MVP and he’s just entering his prime. He’s poised to be at least a 45-45 player during the year he’s rehabbing from Tommy John surgery. Oh and he’s an ace pitcher and the best two way player since Babe Ruth. Yes, he’s one of the greatest players in the past 50 years.

Carter08 08-27-2024 05:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by calvindog (Post 2457107)
He’s about to win his third MVP and he’s just entering his prime. He’s poised to be at least a 45-45 player during the year he’s rehabbing from Tommy John surgery. Oh and he’s an ace pitcher and the best two way player since Babe Ruth. Yes, he’s one of the greatest players in the past 50 years.

Agree

Aquarian Sports Cards 08-27-2024 06:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by calvindog (Post 2457107)
He’s about to win his third MVP and he’s just entering his prime. He’s poised to be at least a 45-45 player during the year he’s rehabbing from Tommy John surgery. Oh and he’s an ace pitcher and the best two way player since Babe Ruth. Yes, he’s one of the greatest players in the past 50 years.

I would argue he's in the middle of his prime (28 - 32 for most baseball players) otherwise I would agree.

bk400 08-28-2024 11:09 PM

When it comes to the Dodgers, I'm more of a box score follower, but I couldn't help but see the footage from the 10-hour wait to get into Dodger Stadium for...the bobblehead day featuring Ohtani...and his puppy? Who "threw" out the first pitch. With Ohtani as the catcher.

Can you imagine Nolan Ryan out there on the mound with a puppy? Or Ichiro?

Ohtani is like the dorkiest dude, but people absolutely love him. Maybe it's because he's so dorky that they love him. He's like the anti-celebrity sportsman.

And, to add to the dork factor, it seems like he's also a card collector -- perhaps from his NPB days. (Which suggests he's a collector of Japanese cards.)

https://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/...ard-deal-topps

bk400 08-29-2024 09:49 AM

https://www.ebay.com/itm/40514044786...mis&media=COPY

Sharing with no additional commentary.

Aquarian Sports Cards 08-29-2024 12:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by bk400 (Post 2457471)
https://www.ebay.com/itm/40514044786...mis&media=COPY

Sharing with no additional commentary.

I'll add some commentary:

https://www.ebay.com/itm/2024-TOPPS-....m43663.l10137

calvindog 08-29-2024 03:10 PM

That's some expensive orange on the bottom.

bk400 08-29-2024 04:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by calvindog (Post 2457579)
That's some expensive orange on the bottom.

Yes, no doubt. Topps Now cards were kind of cool -- and some of them still have great photos and commemorate noteworthy events -- but let's just say I've become quite cynical about the vast majority of them.

Wynn0013 08-29-2024 05:22 PM

There are a lot of base cards printed, but you should do OK from a population standpoint if you stick with rookie auto's, early topps golds and blacks for low number, and topps (super short prints) or opening day (short print) photo variations.

Peter_Spaeth 08-29-2024 05:31 PM

1 Attachment(s)
I generally like the Topps Heritage cards. I thought this Ohtani, numbered to "only" 999, was fairly inexpensive but then again I don't know the market.

Wynn0013 08-29-2024 05:36 PM

Cool card Peter! Absolutely, there are still good options.


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