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I don't like it when these sorts of lists are compiled with active players. The book on them is still being written, and all it takes is an injury or sudden drop-off to make the writer look foolish. If this was the early 1980s, the list would have Dale Murphy and Steve Garvey on there, and that would be a mistake.
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Do you realize you don't have to make 20-30 posts on here per day. Talk about counting numbers. Take a day off. EDITED TO ADD: Baseball is ALL about the numbers. When Aaron was sitting on 714, did you happen to see the crowd? Or Maris when he hit 61. Or Ricky when he broke the all time steals record. I don't think you are going to see anyone in the stands on the last day of the season watching the WAR numbers. I watch and see baseball with my eyes, not a calculator! Not to mention most of Trout numbers are done in meaningless games. Arn't you the same guy who criticized Kershaw's post season numbers. At least he's been in more than 3 playoffs losses Mr Wonderful has been. Hopefully now that he is the 2nd best player on his team the Angels could have their 2nd meaningful September in the last 20 years, so we can see what he can do when the pressure is on. If he's not on DL, yet again. |
A player should be ranked on what he has actually accomplished. Trout has performed at an exceptional level and is on pace for a very high all time ranking. He's also played 1,288 games. Would you take 1,288 games of Trout or 2,808 games of Frank Robinson? I think the answer is obvious. Trout could eventually be even higher than this list has him, but he doesn't deserve it at this point in time based on the reality of what has actually happened in the real world.
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So, yeah, absolutely he would have won it. |
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This is correct. |
I will start this by saying that this is in no way a knock on Satchel Paige and I post this with all due respect and only to open up a discussion.
Paige is clearly the most famous player who played primarily in the Negro Leagues. But now that we have statistics from those leagues, his seem very good but not extraordinary. The stats of Josh Gibson, Oscar Charleston, Buck Leonard, Bullet Rogan, Turkey Stearnes, Mule Suttles, Cristobal Torriente, and Cool Papa Bell (among others) not only live up to their reputations but in many ways far exceed them, while Paige's stats are fine but don't jump off the page (no pun intended). By any statistical evidence that I see, he is not the best Negro League player ever [actually I see now that Gibson was rated higher...but Charleston should be as well, and maybe some others.] Am I missing something in regard to his stats? Is it that we don't have complete data yet? That I am not interpreting his stats correctly? That a lot of his greatness came while pitching exhibition games? That the Negro Leagues were essentially hitter's leagues so the pitching stats are skewed? That shorter seasons are more conducive to impressive hitting stats than pitching stats? Or is it possible that anecdotal evidence and his reputation (in many ways self-created) are greater than his actual ranking as a player. Kind of like King Kelly being the most famous (along with Anson) 19th century player but not being the best. And that we are so used to just assuming he is one of the best players that when people make these lists, they list him that high without really thinking about it. Again, I say this in the spirit of discussion. I would like to stay on as many people's lawns as possible :). |
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Thanks, I will check this out. I was just going by my reaction when I went to the Baseball Reference pages of some Negro League greats. For the other guys, I was blown away with black ink, high averages, and other stats. I did not have the same reaction with Paige...but I may need to go a little deeper on him.
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So the Great White Dope comes in at #14 on ESPN's 2022 Fantasy Baseball rankings for his age 30 season, yet is #15 All Time.
https://www.espn.com/fantasy/basebal...s-leagues-2022 I highly doubt if there were Fantasy Baseball ranking going into any age 30 season on Ruth, Mays, Williams, Cobb, etc would ever have been below 1, 2 or 3....let alone 14! Probably for ANY season they played, 'cept maybe their last 1 or 2 to end their careers. Trout has 13 players ahead of him this year alone, again his age 30 season!!!! Yet he's 15th all time?????? He's barely 15th this year! Please. Just asinine. And to criticize Williams, who for 3 of his prime seasons went to WAR, and not the F--king stat, but to defend his country, gave up 3 of his best years, and later went back to fight in Korea. Ignorant! Just that you think Trout has had a better career then Williams, good lord. I'm done. I can't stoop to your level of stupidity. I've tried, I can't get there, you win. |
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OK you didn't "criticize", you compared or knocked his WS #'s. Don't do that. Do not compare him to Williams. Pick Josh Gibson or Bryce Harper. If you want to compare him to someone.
First, if Williams plays for the Red Sox those 3 years, he ABSOLUTELY wins the World Series at least 2 of those years. I think the Red Sox w/Williams (and in his prime) would take down those powerhouse St L Browns fairly easily. 2nd, back to Trout. He's NEVER led the league in: Hits Home Runs Triples Doubles Batting Average RBIs (he led once in 11 years) SBs (he led once in 11 years) He's never been in a World Series He's never won a Playoff game (0 for 3) He's batted .083 in Post Season play. I'm sorry those numbers don't crack the Top 30 players of All Time. Trout does everything very good, but nothing Great. And to be Great you need to do something Great, lead in HR's, lead in Stolen Bases, lead in RBI's, lead in Batting Average, lead in something, take you team to the Playoffs consistently. He's done none of that. He's a mere poster boy for auction house hype, and looks the part, but unfortunately just doesn't have the numbers. The REAL numbers. And I don't care about WAR and who he's replacing. The Angels need to worry more about who's replacing him, not who he is replacing, he's hurt so often lately they need to find a better replacement player. WAR-MT. He played at a time where for the most part there were not a lot of great players until recently. Now there is an influx of young talent that has pushed Trout back to #14 on 2022 rankings, and are just as talented as he was. We just need a few years to let that young talent play out. So all that lack of achieving doesn't get in the Top 30 All Time. Williams was a true beast and probably the GREATEST pure hitter of all time, please don't compare the 2, even if it's just post season numbers because there too, Ted at least made it to a WS.......let's see if Trout can get out of the "Wild Card" round. Then we'll talk. Or get back to me in 10 years................................and Williams will still win that battle. |
I would rank Williams in the top 5. I don't disagree with you at all about him. Our only disagreement is on Trout and my point there is that, in the first decade of his career, pretty much from the start (and yes, he was injured most of last year), he's been easily the best player in baseball and you'll be hard pressed to find many who would disagree. 3 MVPs and 4 2nds attest to that. Not many guys can make that claim about a decade.
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I know Harper. Pujols and Cabrera were already on their downswings by then. Trout is a very good player, but way over-hyped, and benefited from lack of other Top players when he was playing. I mean he's beating Cano, Brantley, Donaldson, Nelson Cruz out for the MVP, c'mon. And if you say Betts & Altuve.....I'll say ok, I'd probably take both over Trout......I like their jewelry too. Trout ain't Top 30 all time, sorry. And looking again at the list not probably not Top 40. So answer the question. Is he too high (or low) ranked at 15? Where would you put him? |
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What two years? 1943 when they trailed the Yankees by 29 games? 1944 when they trailed the Browns (who lost to the Cardinals in the WS 4-2) by 12 games? 1945 when they trailed the Tigers by 17.5 games. |
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Second, as to where I would rank him, I acknowledged he's getting a bit of a boost for projected future performance. If his career ended today, would I rank him 15? No. But based on his dominance over the 2010s, MVPs, advanced metrics, probably 25 or so. Betts or Altuve over Trout? No way lol. |
The nice thing about this Trout debate is that we will actually get an answer as his career unfolds. He's already set the base, but can he get completely healthy and return to many more stellar years, or do nagging injuries and ever increasing age start to take their toll on him now. Time will tell.
Personally, I don't think you put someone on an all-time list until they're actually done putting all their time on the playing field in. Just like you don't put someone in the HOF till their career is actually over. It is already truly impossible to accurately compare and rate players from different times and eras against each other. But to then include comparisons of players for whom we don't yet have a complete picture of how their entire careers will actually turn out, that is just absurd. |
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Clemente And Kaline
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Brady is in a completely unique situation though, unlike Trout, Harper, and anyone else still playing in the midst of their careers. He has already achieved seasonal and all-time records and accomplishments that put him at or near the top. (I would argue there is another QB that could/should be in the conversation that virtually no one has ever given full and proper credit to as the GOAT, but should - Otto Graham!) Anyway, as others had already pointed out, despite his overall great numbers, Trout hasn't really ever led the majors in anything, except maybe MVP voting. And as was also pointed out by others, that is likely due to their not being a lot of really great talent in the majors over this past decade. Putting Trout on any all-time list without knowing how he'll finally end up is foolish. Wait till a player's career is done so when you compare them with others, you can properly compare their entire careers, not just one player's career against parts of another's. And if Brady is so unquestionably the GOAT, why didn't they just put him in Canton right after winning his 7th Super Bowl last year? |
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Not sure where this idea that Trout hasn't led the majors in anything is coming from. He's led the majors in runs 3 times, walks 1 time, OBP 3 times, slugging 2 times, and OPS 2 times. And he's led the AL in multiple categories multiple other times.
No, he's not leading the league in homers. But he's hitting 40+ when he's healthy. No, he's not leading in RBI (which is a dumb stat to worry about in the first place) but batting 1st or 2nd in the lineup for 3/4 of his career PROBABLY has something to do with that. Again, 1st or 2nd in MVP EVERY time he plays 120 games. Nobody else can say that. |
and....
Gold Glove awards: Betts - 4 Altuve - 1 (...and why I mention Altuve, the guy is like 5 feet tall, no one his size in the world can play like he does, plays tough as nails, if he was 6'2" Trout would be his bitch, and pretty much already is in that division....Astros own the Angels) Trout - 0 For every 1 leaping catch Trout makes he takes about 5 bad routes to balls and comes up empty. Don't managers & coaches vote for GG's. I believe they do. Too bad it wasn't Auction Houses and owners of his rookie card that voted, right Pete? |
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This is real WAR...and you said it: 29 12 17.5 His last year before he left they were 93-59 and the year he came back 104-50 and in the WS. Thanks for the assist Bob!!!!! 1942-93-59 (w/Williams) 1943-68-84 (w/o Williams) 1944-77-77 (w/o Williams) 1945-71-83 (w/o Williams) 1946-104-50 (w/Williams) and actually I'm not too good with math, but I'd say his WARII is about 30 each of those years....Wins w/Williams!!! |
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I have no real problem if others want to go ahead and already give him their rankings on the all-time greatest list, but realize his career is far from over and that what happens in the coming years can likely have a major impact on how he will be viewed and rated in the future. Especially given the injury question and how well he can come back and perform going forward. In his so far 11 year career, Trout has really only had what I'd call 8 regular, full seasons of play. In my personal thinking, I tend to discount, or completely ignore statistics and performances in such severely truncated seasons, regardless of the reason(s) why, because they do not represent a typical player's normal, full season of play and are therefore likely to misrepresent how they would typically perform. He technically has met the 10 year requirement for induction into Cooperstown, so if he were to never play another game, he will almost certainly get into the HOF, especially given his clean-cut, wholesome, all-American likeability, overall favor with the fans and the media, and complete lack of virtually any scandalous or illegal activities, or even rumors thereof. (This is the kind of guy Fathers want their sons to grow up to be, and Mothers want their daughters to grow up and marry.) But do those 8 really good years all by themselves truly propel him into the ranks of the greatest players of all-time, or are we getting into another one of those "peak performance" type of arguments, because that's what this is beginning to look and feel like. And that's when the arguments start to revolve around things like is 8 years enough compared and comparable to those who performed at a somewhat equally high level for say 10, 15, or even more years. And everyone has their own idea of what to them is enough time or years to qualify for such acceptance of a player's record to qualify them for consideration as an all-time great. And they are all completely arbitrary with absolutely no consensus on what is or isn't an appropriate peak period of time sufficient to afford such consideration for a player. I mean come on, if you're just going to look at peak performances then why aren't Maris, Vander Meer, and Larsen near the top of this list? Oh wait, what's that, they didn't perform at that high a level long enough to qualify. Okay, so what is long enough, one year, five years, ten, or maybe even more years? And why is what you think may be the proper length of time for such consideration make you believe it might be any better, accurate, or more appropriate than what anyone else may think? The simple answer is, it isn't! It's simply each person's own damn opinion. So to me, rather than just being arbitrary, I've always felt it best to simply wait till a player's career is actually over so you have all the information and statistics in front of you to better weigh and compare against similar career information for others. But that's just me using using logical, common sense. Here's another way to look at it that I think the attorneys in the audience will appreciate. People are called to form juries so as to weigh facts and evidence to then make an unbiased decision, based on ALL the evidence and information made available and presented to them. They are questioned beforehand so as to determine that they in fact do NOT have any pre-formed or biased opinions prior to being selected for a jury that would impair their ability to be fair and impartial in rendering such a decision, and are normally immediately excused from that jury if it is found to not be the case. So how in Trout's case, where all the facts and evidence of his career performance are not yet known and available, could you possibly ever consider letting someone who already has a pre-formed opinion of him, based on only partial information and evidence from his career and statistics so far, be part of a jury now deciding if he's one of the all-time greats of baseball, and about where he should rank on that list? I'm not sure you can arguably find a more logical and higher standard than what I'm presenting for determining who maybe should or shouldn't be deciding Trout's place in baseball history, and for waiting till ALL the facts, evidence, and information about his career are available. But if others want to put down what is simply my opinion on this because I have higher standards and thinking, well..............that's on them! :) |
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2021 Angels record with and without Trout playing :
With Trout 17-19 .472 Without Trout 60-66 .476 |
There's an obvious way to rank active players without wishcasting on their future: rank them based on what they've done already.
Given what's he's done already, it's obvious that Trout isn't a top-20 player. I don't think I've seen anyone here disagree with that. ESPN's ranking is too high. (But then their list is terrible for lots of other reasons as well.) FWIW, he's 75th all-time in WAR. Sandwiched between Bobby Wallace and Paul Molitor. Subjectively, that feels about right. If he were to retire tomorrow, he'd be a deserving but not top-tier hall of famer. Now, that's probably not where he's going to end up. I'm still pretty confident that Trout will end up being a top-20 player. He's not there yet, and so shouldn't be ranked there yet. But from the fact that we don't know where he'll end up at the end of his career, it doesn't follow that we can't rank him now, given what he's already accomplished. (With the acknowledgement that the list will need to be revised in the future.) |
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And besides, with this crazy world we have today, you never know what's going to happen. So can you really just go and make your judgements of someone as it appears they're nearing the end of their career, sure, if you want to. As in the case of Pujols, I doubt anything detrimental to him or his career will come out at this point, and till he retires. But what if it suddenly was discovered that he'd been using corked bats throughout his career, or maybe he gets caught failing a drug test for PEDs. Or how about an informant comes forward with the evidence and revelation that during his time with the Cardinals, that team was involved in a cheating scheme/scandal on a par with what Altuve and the Astros had been doing, and Pujols was directly involved and taking full advantage of it for years. I honestly don't believe any of that would ever happen, but you never know 100% for sure. I figure if a player is getting that close to finally retiring, why be chomping at the bit to hurry up and judge/grade him? If he's that close, let him finish his career, and then do the assessment and ranking. Just makes the most sense to me. |
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Both have played exactly 11 years so let's compare Altuve career BA - .308 Trout career BA - .305 Altuve SBs - 261 Trout SBs - 203 Altuve Hits - 1777 Trout Hits - 1419 Altuve HRs - 164 Trout HRs - 310 - but lets not forget Jose is 5' 5" a buck 60 Trout 6' 2" 235 Altuve Walks - 443 Trout Walks - 865 (I like to call this, swing the fucking bat Mike!) Altuve K's - 753 Trout K's - 1215 (whoops, maybe take the walk Mike) So again, "no way?" Way. It's a lot closer than you think. And if you bring in the postseason, then I agree with you, "No way", No way I'd take Trout. Playoff Games Altuve - 79 Trout - 3 World Series Altuve - 3 Trout - 0 |
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And I'm not dismissing HR's and Walks, I listed them. Trout has more, just like Altuve has the better BA, more steals, more hits, and less K's. Cherry picking would be to leave them off and just pick every stat that Altuve is better then him at. And my original comment was I said "I might even take Altuve and Betts over Trout." Go back and read it Poster who's afraid to list their own name. Like Bob C and others have said these careers need to play out. I'm not the one anointing him the next Jesus Christ. Maybe if I saw more of him in the playoffs when I watch every pitch I might drool over him like you guys, but he's never there. |
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He also hasn't, you know, HAD AN ELECTRONIC CHEATING SYSTEM IN PLACE to boost his playoff performances. Ignoring that, let's look at other stats: Runs: Altuve - 883 Trout - 967 Triples: Altuve - 29 Trout - 49 OBP: Altuve - .360 Trout - .419 SLG: Altuve - .462 Trout - .583 OPS: Altuve - .821 Trout - 1.002 OPS+: Altuve - 125 Trout - 176 And one that surprised me a bit: GiDP (ground into double plays): Altuve - 158 Trout - 58 I'll take the guy that gets on base A LOT more often with A LOT more power all day, every day. Altuve's small lead in batting average is more than offset by the 100(!) extra outs he created through double plays. Jose is a great player, albeit one tarnished significantly by the cheating. He's a HOFer, without a doubt. But...he's not close to Trout. |
WAR. One is 76 and one is 41. Guess?
One has a 181 point lead in OPS. That's right 181. Guess? One has an MVP. One has 3 plus 4 second places. Guess? Paul, you're really on a limb of your own making here. I like Altuve, I think he is obviously on track for the Hall, but he's not in the same discussion as Trout. |
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..... not a whole lot......thanks though I'm done with this. Check your own posts in this thread. I'll give ya 3 hours to do that. Early on you listed all the overrated guys in your view (post #98), yet didn't list Trout, then after I spoke my peace, you moved him down 10 spots to 25 (post #25). I have him more around 40, but I'm just glad you admit he's overrated. My work is done here. |
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As for Trout's ranking, yeah, I wouldn't put him top 20 right now either. It's clearly based on future projections and I'm not comfortable with that. If you did that and were making a list in 1965, Sandy Koufax would've been an easy top 10 pick. Instead, of course, he was retired a year later. But I'm also not going to sit here and criticize the guy because he's been stuck with lousy teammates (seriously - the best pitcher he's played with is either Jered Weaver or a freaking DH). The year they made the playoffs, they had 2 guys hit 20 homers - Trout and the corpse of Albert Pujols. One year, they had 2 guys in the starting lineup who hit under .190. Another year (2019), they were 2-2/3 innings from becoming the first team in history to have no pitchers throw 100 innings in a season. So, yeah, Trout went 1 for 12 in 3 games in the playoffs. It happens. Jose Altuve, the gold standard held up earlier in the thread, had a stretch of 3 games where he went 0 for 17. He had another of 0 for 10. He also had back-to-back 1 for 13 stretches for a total of 2 for 26. But, yeah, let's kill Trout because he had a very brief cold streak, one that is perfectly normal among every player who has ever held a bat. |
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For the record, I'm not dissing Trout, I'm just waiting till he finishes his career before even thinking about where he belongs on an all-time list. Everything you said I don't disagree with at all. It wasn't me saying anything about Trout's playoff history, or blaming him for who else they have onthe team. Just making sure you weren't directing some of your comebacks at me. LOL :) |
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I think you and I are on the same page with regard to Trout. |
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1) Yes. Cherry picked. Let's use slugging, OBP, OPS. My stats are cherry picked too. That's how it works when we selectively choose the ones we like. 2) Yes, you are dismissing walks (the word I actually used in reference to walks was 'criticized'). You did indeed list them, which I did not dispute. You did so with the note of "(I like to call this, swing the fucking bat Mike!)" 3) Yes, I read your original comment. I do not agree with it. 4) I don't see anyone anointing him the next Jesus Christ. I also have said he is way overrated on this list. 5) I'll post yet again that my name has nothing whatsoever to do with claims of fact. An argument holds weight on the logical merit of the argument itself and not by virtue of the authority of the person stating it. An appeal to authority or person is a fallacy. If you'd like to bash my person instead, DM me and I'll give you my email with my name in it. |
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