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-   -   World Series Predictions? (http://www.net54baseball.com/showthread.php?t=354506)

bk400 10-29-2024 10:12 PM

Well, at least I'll have one more baseball game to watch before I have to sit through 9 more weeks of Giants football.

Balticfox 10-29-2024 10:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by samosa4u (Post 2471195)
LOL! Did you guys see what those two Yankees fans did to Mookie in the 1st inning?

Everybody else in the country was saying "Well what do you expect from Yankee fans?" Certainly not decorum.

:rolleyes:

D. Bergin 10-30-2024 08:10 AM

Couple of dudebro idiots. Claimed they were "Playing D" in their area. If so, they played terrible "D". Don't think I've ever seen a fan grab somebody's glove before. They're lucky they didn't injure him in the process, the way his arm was extended.

D. Bergin 10-30-2024 08:13 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by bk400 (Post 2471202)
Well, at least I'll have one more baseball game to watch before I have to sit through 9 more weeks of Giants football.

I'm in the same boat.

On the other hand, I did just finish watching "The Comeback" on Netflix. Be nice if they could replicate what the Red Sox did to them 20 years ago. Huge long shot, I know.

Peter_Spaeth 10-30-2024 09:43 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by D. Bergin (Post 2471258)
I'm in the same boat.

On the other hand, I did just finish watching "The Comeback" on Netflix. Be nice if they could replicate what the Red Sox did to them 20 years ago. Huge long shot, I know.

Aren't the chances of winning three games in a row one in eight, assuming roughly even odds for each game? Of course this may be complicated by the fact that one loss ends it, but not sure the odds are THAT long.

D. Bergin 10-30-2024 10:03 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Peter_Spaeth (Post 2471288)
Aren't the chances of winning three games in a row one in eight, assuming roughly even odds for each game? Of course this may be complicated by the fact that one loss ends it, but not sure the odds are THAT long.


Well, it's 4 games in a row in total (not willing to remove that from the odds just because they got one of those out of the way), and as far as I know, the only team that's ever come back from a 3-0 deficit, is that Red Sox team against the Yankees.

I wish I could be more optimistic. Maybe Judge will break out of his slump....but Betts and Ohtani could also start lighting it up at any time.

As a cynical New York fan, I believe they are just one Gleyber Torres single off the wall, that he inexplicably thought was an upper deck Home Run away (or Clay Holmes in a high leverage situation) from blowing this series.

I'm not normally one to nit-pick stuff like this, but feel like I'm the only one who noticed he was barely out of the batters box last night, when his 3 run opposite field HR, landed just over the wall into the 1st row seats......which BTW, is pretty typical Gleyber behavior.

I mean, I don't care if you stop and stare and throw a giant bat flip at a no-doubter 30 rows up.....but Gleyber man...you ain't Barry Bonds or Aaron Judge. You might have a little bit of pop for a 2nd Baseman, but you haven't hit many "no-doubters" in your career.....especially to the opposite field.

:confused:

Peter_Spaeth 10-30-2024 10:08 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by D. Bergin (Post 2471298)
Well, it's 4 games in a row in total (not willing to remove that from the odds just because they got one of those out of the way), and as far as I know, the only team that's ever come back from a 3-0 deficit, is that Red Sox team against the Yankees.

I wish I could be more optimistic. Maybe Judge will break out of his slump....but Betts and Ohtani could also start lighting it up at any time.

As a cynical New York fan, I believe they are just one Gleyber Torres single off the wall, that he inexplicably thought was an upper deck Home Run away (or Clay Holmes in a high leverage situation) from blowing this series.

I'm not normally one to nit-pick stuff like this, but feel like I'm the only one who noticed he was barely out of the batters box last night, when his 3 run opposite field HR, landed just over the wall into the 1st row seats......which BTW, is pretty typical Gleyber behavior.

I mean, I don't care if you stop and stare and throw a giant bat flip at a no-doubter 30 rows up.....but Gleyber man...you ain't Barry Bonds or Aaron Judge. You might have a little bit of pop for a 2nd Baseman, but you haven't hit many "no-doubters" in your career.....especially to the opposite field.

:confused:

The results of past coin flips do not affect the odds of the next one. As I understand it, we calculate the odds going forwards.

D. Bergin 10-30-2024 10:38 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Peter_Spaeth (Post 2471300)
The results of past coin flips do not affect the odds of the next one. As I understand it, we calculate the odds going forwards.

I don't quite see these games as coin flips, especially with 2 of them in Los Angeles, and the Dodgers resting their best relievers during Game 4.


Even if it was the same as flipping a coin, and you ignore the previous "heads" flip, 12.5% odds are still a pretty big long shot to me.

I hope I'm wrong.

Peter_Spaeth 10-30-2024 10:49 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by D. Bergin (Post 2471316)
I don't quite see these games as coin flips, especially with 2 of them in Los Angeles, and the Dodgers resting their best relievers during Game 4.


Even if it was the same as flipping a coin, and you ignore the previous "heads" flip, 12.5% odds are still a pretty big long shot to me.

I hope I'm wrong.

Sure, but when you said huge long shot, it sounded like you were thinking 1 in 100 or worse.

D. Bergin 10-30-2024 10:59 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Peter_Spaeth (Post 2471321)
Sure, but when you said huge long shot, it sounded like you were thinking 1 in 100 or worse.

Well, based on past Playoff History, the actual results have been 1 in 40. Maybe that means the Yankees are due to bring those odds back into a realistic figure.

I hope you're right. Following this team all year, they just don't seem built for it.

D. Bergin 10-30-2024 11:00 AM

Thanks for trying to keep me optimistic BTW! :D:D

1952boyntoncollector 10-30-2024 12:15 PM

down 3-1 in best of 7 right now yankees are +550 to win the next 3 on hard rock bet..

dolphins 100-1 to win superbowl right now i think are much better odds.

BobbyStrawberry 10-30-2024 12:23 PM

Yankees have by far their best starting pitcher going tonight. If they can get this one I think we'll all start feeling those 2004 ALCS vibes

John1941 10-30-2024 06:51 PM

Aaron Judge is looking like Aaron Judge again. Very very happy to be proved wrong here.

bk400 10-30-2024 06:56 PM

Collars tightening in LA

Snapolit1 10-30-2024 07:04 PM

Somehow I think Roberts may be wearing "bullpen game in the WS" for a longtime. What a dumbass decision.

jayshum 10-30-2024 07:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Snapolit1 (Post 2471552)
Somehow I think Roberts may be wearing "bullpen game in the WS" for a longtime. What a dumbass decision.

Who would you have started instead? They did the same thing against the Mets because they really only have 3 starters right now.

Peter_Spaeth 10-30-2024 07:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jayshum (Post 2471553)
Who would you have started instead? They did the same thing against the Mets because they really only have 3 starters right now.

Any one of the journeymen middle relievers with some real experience would have made more sense. No way to know if it mattered of course, but still.

TUM301 10-30-2024 07:56 PM

Wow, what a friggin inning for the Yanks. OUCH

jayshum 10-30-2024 08:00 PM

The starter (opener) for the Dodgers gave up 1 run in 2 innings. It was the second pitcher who gave up 4 in 1 inning, but he had only given up 1 run in 6 postseason outings so hard to question bringing him in. I still don't know what the Dodgers could have done differently considering their starting pitching situation.

bk400 10-30-2024 08:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TUM301 (Post 2471561)
Wow, what a friggin inning for the Yanks. OUCH

I hope for Gerrit Cole's sake that the Yankees win this game. Guys named Mookie hitting to first base...

If the Dodgers win, they will be showing that clip of Mookie sprinting full speed to first base at every youth baseball clinic going forward.

SyrNy1960 10-30-2024 08:05 PM

5 unearned runs. Judge dropped a routine fly ball. Volpe error at 3rd. Cole doesn't cover first, player safe.

samosa4u 10-30-2024 08:11 PM

Man, WTF just happened??? Yanks were up by 5 and I went upstairs to put my baby to sleep and then I come back down, and it's tied!!!

John1941 10-30-2024 08:35 PM

Inning from hell, as my dad put it.

If the Yankees had just executed fundamentals none of that would have happened. Horrible. If they lose because of that - it would be the cap to a heartbreaker.

BobbyStrawberry 10-30-2024 08:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by samosa4u (Post 2471576)
Man, WTF just happened??? Yanks were up by 5 and I went upstairs to put my baby to sleep and then I come back down, and it's tied!!!

Same here - I took a shower and did a double take at the score.

SyrNy1960 10-30-2024 09:15 PM

What a total self induced collapse 🤬

bk400 10-30-2024 10:03 PM

Mookie Betts, man. That guy is a closer.

It's cool when hustle, defense and fundamentals make the difference in big games.

D. Bergin 10-30-2024 10:21 PM

What a sh*tshow. Yanks didn't deserve to get any further in this series. :(

Mark17 10-30-2024 11:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by samosa4u (Post 2471576)
Man, WTF just happened??? Yanks were up by 5 and I went upstairs to put my baby to sleep and then I come back down, and it's tied!!!

Your avatar is quite appropriate with this post.

bk400 10-31-2024 01:31 AM

I thought it was interesting that when Volpe grounded out for the first out in the 9th, with the Yankees down 7-6, a couple of people left their seats behind home plate. Then, when Wells struck out, a whole bunch of people left.

So Verdugo, who represents the tying run, comes to plate with 2 outs in the 9th -- and people are leaving behind him.

I gotta say, that's pretty Bush League of Yankees fans. Those seats behind home plate run cost around $20,000 apparently, so probably the hedge fund bros, but still.

bk400 11-02-2024 08:32 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by D. Bergin (Post 2471258)
I'm in the same boat.

On the other hand, I did just finish watching "The Comeback" on Netflix. Be nice if they could replicate what the Red Sox did to them 20 years ago. Huge long shot, I know.

I just finished watching "The Comeback" also. I thought it was really well done.

I didn't realize that the 04 Red Sox were such a jolly bunch of miscreants.

Also reminded me of why A-Rod never really got popular in New York. I had forgotten how he slapped the ball out of Arroyo's glove.

Peter_Spaeth 11-02-2024 10:51 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by bk400 (Post 2472178)
I just finished watching "The Comeback" also. I thought it was really well done.

I didn't realize that the 04 Red Sox were such a jolly bunch of miscreants.

Also reminded me of why A-Rod never really got popular in New York. I had forgotten how he slapped the ball out of Arroyo's glove.

And then denied it, showing the umpire how it was supposedly part of his normal running motion.

frankbmd 11-02-2024 12:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by frankbmd (Post 2470282)
The first team to score 50 runs.

49 runs were scored by both teams.

Neither team scored more than 25, 1/2 of the necessary amount to receive my blessing.

I really am not a fan of either squad.

My prediction was accurate and I am not disappointed.:D

D. Bergin 11-02-2024 02:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by bk400 (Post 2472178)
I just finished watching "The Comeback" also. I thought it was really well done.

I didn't realize that the 04 Red Sox were such a jolly bunch of miscreants.

Also reminded me of why A-Rod never really got popular in New York. I had forgotten how he slapped the ball out of Arroyo's glove.

A-Rod was an unlikeable chode, but at least he played hard and smart and was always looking for some sort of an edge (insert PED joke here). Unlike this present team, which is mostly likeable but is filled with a bunch of guys who seem to stand in the batters box and stare at 330 foot fly balls and are constantly out of position defensively.

I have a hard time deciding whether to blame it on the mostly absent coaching (Pitching coach gets a pass here, he’s done wonders with what he was handed), or the players themselves, or just the general lack of leadership.

Peter_Spaeth 11-02-2024 05:56 PM

I have confirmed that not even Frank B. has used "chode" before.

clydepepper 11-03-2024 04:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by samosa4u (Post 2471576)
Man, WTF just happened??? Yanks were up by 5 and I went upstairs to put my baby to sleep and then I come back down, and it's tied!!!

Quote:

Originally Posted by BobbyStrawberry (Post 2471597)
Same here - I took a shower and did a double take at the score.

Nice to have you two stepping up and taking some of the blame.


Quote:

Originally Posted by bk400 (Post 2471678)
I thought it was interesting that when Volpe grounded out for the first out in the 9th, with the Yankees down 7-6, a couple of people left their seats behind home plate. Then, when Wells struck out, a whole bunch of people left.

So Verdugo, who represents the tying run, comes to plate with 2 outs in the 9th -- and people are leaving behind him.

I gotta say, that's pretty Bush League of Yankees fans. Those seats behind home plate run cost around $20,000 apparently, so probably the hedge fund bros, but still.

They all probably had babies to put to sleep or showers to take.

LOL


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