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trimmed cards
I first want to say I am not a dealer, I am a collector. I have bought many
times from Small Traditions auctions as well as other auctions and have had many cards graded by PSA. I happen to have a number of postcards that have been graded by PSA and of course, I could never get a 10, only the dealers it seemed to me. Recently Traditions had a 74/75, not sure which PSA 10 George Brett postcard up for sale, which took my 9 down in value, and in fact maybe 2. Now I read that they might have been trimmed. This is so funny because you won't believe how many cards I have received back from PSA with "evidence of trimming" when I bought them in the pack and never from a dealer so I knew they weren't trimmed. I recently battled with them over a Jetter they said was trimmed, which I had broken out of the pack years back. They finally slabbed it and graded it "authentic". I heard later that that whole group of cards might have all been smaller then PSA standards, but Small Traditions had a PSA 10. |
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For a high end item I will pay $50-$100 to ship. For a $25 item, I'm not even bidding when shipping is $25-$35. This may be one reason some cards may get the eyeballs, but not the bids. |
and it replaces the "no buyer's premium" as a revenue stream.
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According to a post today on Blowout, the Small Traditions website is permanently gone.
Anyone who didn't follow all the outed cards on Blowout, here's a link. Some stunners here. https://www.blowoutforums.com/showthread.php?t=1345291 |
I wonder if he's actually in legal trouble or if he simply failed to succeed in running his own auction site. I'm guessing it's the latter since his eBay store is still fairly active with recent sales.
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I don't think he took his website down because of what BODA did. He can make more money selling his cards through other auction sites.
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I feel pretty confident that when PWCC launches its' new platform, we will see an avalanche of PSA graded cards on offer and undoubtedly some will have been messed with. But if you offer them, they will come.
As big as Ebay is, I am sure they miss the revenue PWCC provided, and it obvious that vintage, maybe outside of Probstein, has dried up on Ebay. The simplest solution, of course, is to stop buying any PSA graded cards and move to SGC or Beckett. That is wishful thinking. |
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It's more fun to join the psa bashing band wagon |
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Though plausible, I highly doubt this is some new development in the FBI's ferocious pursuit of card trimmers. |
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One thing is certain though. The premise of the email was clearly bullshit. eBay has never given two shits about shill bidding in the past. This was most likely about something other than cracking down on shill bidding. Perhaps the FBI was breathing down their neck and the legal team felt they had to make a drastic move to cover their asses. Or perhaps they wanted to damage the brand of a soon-to-be competitor who was already on their way out the door. I think those are the two most plausible scenarios. Time will tell. If it is cracking down on shill bidding though, surely that will become apparent via further actions against shill bidding. And if it's the FBI breathing down their neck, that will become apparent once all these indictments start rolling in (any day now... any day now...). But if neither of those things happens, then the scale begins to tip quite heavily toward them just trying to damage the brand of a competitor. Stay tuned, IMO. |
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This notion that PWCC was or is a threat to eBay's business is absurd. eBay does not only sell sports memorabilia and the sports memorabilia it does sell makes up a fraction of it's entire revenue. There is no competing with eBay. It's like saying Yahoo is competing with Google. They both exist, but they're not in competition with each other.
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I'm sure there is more to the story but it will have nothing to do with this idea that PWCC was starting a competing platform and eBay booted them before they could be bankrupted by it.
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Me thinks because psa gets the most money hands down, people would try them first. The crap that doesnt pass filters down to sgc and the like and aome BIG ones have been outed |
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Don't forget, if PWCC can sell on their own platform they cut out Ebay fees. They can probably pass some portion of that fee reduction on as savings to their consignors/customers and lure away product from Ebay. And regardless of whether you like them or not, if PWCC can lure away the product, the buyers will follow. That could become a blueprint for other big Ebay sellers in different categories to possibly observe and mimic, a trend Ebay would not care to see start. Pure speculation though, but plausible. |
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No design, no maintenance, no hosting and on and on. |
PWCC business is a rounding error to ebay
Just to make sure we all understand the scale.
ebay had $5.3 billion of revenue the first half of this year and $1.5 billion of operating income. PWCC's contribution to ebay's revenue was about $0.007 billion and maybe $0.002 billion to income*. A drop in the bucket. *PWCC reported $150 million of sales for the first half of 2021. ebay was charging PWCC fees of less than 5%, according to ebay, which would about $7 million at the most, and probably a lot less. At a 28% average margin to revenue, ebay's operating income on PWCC business would have been about $2 million (or $0.002 billion). Bottom line: ebay doesn't give a flying fig about PWCC. |
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I work for a company that has a similar grip on a different market like eBay has in theirs (and our market cap is triple that of eBay's). There are a handful of other companies that try to do what we do, but none of them come even remotely close to our capabilities and volume. We are orders of magnitude larger than all of our competitors combined. But I promise you, we definitely care what they're doing and we pay close attention to all of them. Only a fool wouldn't. Say what you want about PWCC, but scandals aside, one thing is certain. They've built a remarkable brand in this hobby in a fairly short amount of time. They have catapulted themselves to the very top of the sports card industry, and the owners are extremely driven and creative. Perhaps all these rumors about them are true, in which case they'll burn down in flames. But if they're not true, then I wouldn't want to bet against them. They took consignments to a new level. They invented the vault. They launched a premier auction platform and broke records right out of the gate. They've built arguably the best database for card sales that exists online, and they're launching a new platform to compete against eBay with lower tier cards next month. They continue to innovate more and more every year. People like that don't just stop creating new products and expanding. They don't just suddenly become content. They are greedy. They are driven by the desire to succeed and will pursue it at any cost. Today, it's sports cards, but tomorrow it might be sports cards and comics, and the next day it's cards, comics, Pokémon, video games, and coins. I promise you, eBay execs aren't stupid. They see the threat for what it is, and it's not just a few million dollars per year in lost revenue. I'll make a prediction. Come back and visit this thread in 5 years. Either they'll be in jail, or they'll be a huge competitor to eBay in this space within 5 years, and they will have already expanded into other collectibles markets by then as well, and will continue to develop more tools and resources for the market and their customers as well. |
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The majority of our revenue comes from a take rate on the GMV of transactions closed on our Marketplace and StubHub platforms. |
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I think people have been trying to point out that a seller's individual gross revenue is not the revenue eBay generates. So if someone is doing a hundred million in sales eBay's revenue lives in the eBay fees generated by those sales. They are not equal and eBay's revenue is dependent on hundreds of thousands of sellers and not any one.
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And contrary to what you think eBay cares about what they actually care about is that PWCC, who is still under a federal investigation, had been engaged in shill bidding and the impact that would have on them should they continue to look the other way. I doubt it was a very timely or difficult decision to cut ties and make that very public announcement. |
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To walk away from that email and assume that eBay meant anything other than people who consigned with PWCC would be jumping to conclusions based on assumptions. If that is in fact who eBay was referring to when they said "individuals associated with", then I think what they did should be criminal and that it should be considered trade libel. I'm also of the belief, based on my experiences with eBay and the experiences of several of my friends who have worked there (some of whom were executives) that this is most likely what happened. |
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And you know how some people/consignors can be when it comes to even a slight increase in costs, they immediately start looking for a cheaper alternative. I don't know if Probstein has the same sweet deal PWCC did regarding Ebay fees. But if PWCC does end up having to charge more to their consignors going forward to cover the operating costs of their own online platform, couldn't this possibly cause some PWCC longtime consignors to maybe start consigning to Probstein, or others who sell on Ebay, instead? That's why I was thinking PWCC may have figured out a way to operate their own platform at a more reasonable cost than Ebay. I know it isn't cheap to operate their own platform, but PWCC is not ignorant when it comes to running their business. Of course they weren't expecting the boot from Ebay, so maybe that has screwed up their plans on how they were going to run their new platform more than we'll ever likely know. Will be curious to see how PWCC's new platform will actually operate. Will it be like Ebay auctions or more like an online store with mostly BIN pricing, does anybody really know yet? I guess time will tell. |
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PWCC would also have more control over their platform, who is on, and what information is available especially closing prices.
All of that would mean they could limit how much people examine the cards and bidding patterns. I don't think they would be a threat to Ebay even if they were successful, which is doubtful. Ebay has a fairly large direct competitor in stamps, the former Stampwants now HipStamp/HipPostcard which has been through a name change and been sold at least twice. It's mostly supported by several large dealers who are also on Ebay. |
Of course I don't know, but like Adam my assumption would be that a corporation with a 50 billion dollar market cap would have internal controls such that a statement accusing a customer of shill bidding to be widely disseminated would be subject to rigorous review.
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I would also have to assume eBay's move was with the FBI's "nudging" too. Highly doubt eBay was just now able to identify shill bidding with PWCC--whether it as by consignors, employees or both.
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I guess I'm wondering if a huge factor in all this is exactly what is in the terms of use (or whaver they call it) agreement all seller's have to agree to before selling on Ebay. I haven't seen their current rules of what Ebay sellers must agree to and abide by. Also, because of the size/volume of PWCC's sales on their platform and the special sweetheart deal they apparently gave them on fees, is it not possible that Ebay could have had a special operating deal in place with PWCC that goes beyond the standard terms of use agreement they give to everyone else to sign off on? If so, there could be something in it that specifically protects Ebay from trade libel for determining and doing what they did. I guess one way we may find out is if PWCC were to ever bring a lawsuit against Ebay for being booted off their site by them. But as others have speculated, I find it difficult to believe Ebay's lawyers weren't involved with this PWCC situation from start, and would be shocked if they hadn't already addressed this potential libel issue to make sure Ebay was protected in some way or manner. Again, I guess time will tell. |
Despite all of the variables and "theories" being bandied about here, one thing is certain...
Ebay felt that their liability/culpability in harboring a company involved with shill bidding, selling altered cards and undergoing FBI Investigation was far greater than any benefit they derived from the 5% commission. My belief is that they were tipped off, and chose to wash their hands of PWCC. Cutting off their association would be viewed as a positive, should PWCC eventually drag them into the mud of legal proceedings. Sure, eBay knew of the shill bidding much earlier in the game, so a tip-off or FBI intervention likely stimulated eBay to make its decision. |
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I think our disconnect comes from this statement here, where you wrote Quote:
There's a reason eBay's email was vaguely worded as to who actually committed the shill bidding. Perhaps I'm reading into it too much, but I don't think so. |
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+1,000 If PWCC does have anything even remotely not above board, they will not want to risk going to court and expose any of it. If they did, I can already picture FBI reps sitting in the front row at the trial taking notes. |
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I still would like to also see the actual terms of use agreement PWCC had with Ebay, and wonder if that could hold any clues or answers as to why Ebay said and did what they did in regards to PWCC. |
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For starters, maybe PWCC should not have placed themselves in the predicament they are now in--knee deep in fraud. Or do you see that as also someone else causing them all of this grief? So do you love PWCC that much or do you just like playing the contrarian? |
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scandal
If you nudge..you get the judge
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I'm not so sure they're good. :D |
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As far as whether or not I "love PWCC"; no, I definitely do not. I have zero cards in their vault, and despite having consigned hundreds of cards in the past, I've never once chosen PWCC to handle my consignments. If they happen to have a card that I want up for auction, I will bid on it because I want the card and don't care who it comes from. As far as my experiences go with them, they haven't been positive. I bought a high-grade vintage card from one of their auctions a couple years ago and after it arrived I noticed that it was clearly trimmed on the left edge. Irrefutably trimmed. It was sharp as a knife and lighter colored than the other 3 edges. I took close-up photos of the edges which clearly showed what I was describing and asked to return the card. They threatened to ban me from all future auctions. I wasn't happy. I've also recently had another major issue with a high-end purchase that was extremely frustrating to deal with. But I don't let those experiences cloud my judgment about whether or not they have engaged in shill bidding. I believe it is in PWCC's best interest not to engage in shill bidding, and to furthermore prevent it to the extent they are capable. I do not believe that they shill bid, and am not capable of believing it without sufficient evidence. I believe they act in their best interests. This whole discussion reminds me of all the conspiracy theories about all of the online poker sites "stacking the deck" to increase the rake (the amount deducted from each pot that goes to the house). It was very easy to demonstrate that this was not happening and that it would be extremely stupid for them to even try, yet if you were to poll 100 random online poker players, you would probably find that at least 30% of them believed the decks were in fact stacked against them. |
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Point taken! :D We're just all speculating at this point. As time goes by and things happen (or not), we may eventually learn more facts and details we're only guessing about for now. |
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Oh yea, PWCC said "we dont need Ebay anymore".
But what about the millions of dollars in PWCC 'Ebay sales' you're quoting? Keep trying, you're not changing the PWCC sentiment here on N54. Just devil's advocate here with a lot of time on his hands |
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To me, "individuals associated with PWCC" does NOT plausibly mean people in an arms' length relationship such as consignors. And I don't think that was the intent. I think they meant a closer relationship than that. No inside knowledge, just my reading of the language.
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Do you mean the "marketplace"?
All the information I had seen had "buy it now" without mention of auctions |
I know there are very smart and successful people on Net54. And lots of valid points were mentioned. I don't have much to contribute by way of speculation. But....
My father worked for Marlboro cigarettes (a parent company that has gone by many names including Philip Morris, Philip Morris USA, and Altria). What I learned from decisions that were made by a mega company is that they are ruthless and willing to do anything to maintain or grow their share in their market regardless of legality. The small group of decision makers at the top of mega companies are willing to lose astonishing sums of money in lawsuits because of the POSSIBILITY of making even more money. Sometimes no amount of speculation will ever create a plausible reason for why a mega company chooses to do what they do. Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G930A using Tapatalk |
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funny that someone keeps waffling on their opinions
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Ok, they didnt already publically announce they had plans for one before Ebay canned their sketchy ass. This we can agree on. |
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Sometimes it seems like mega companies don't care about money, they are willing to tie up litigation in the courts for years and years instead of paying a settlement. They don't save any money and their lawyers just keep ringing up the billable hours. And then at other times, they are going after mom & pops because every dollar counts. |
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I think that sometimes businesses view spending all that time, expense, and effort as not frivilously just throwing money away, but more like paying for insurance. They go over the top against someone or some entity to send a message to everyone else out there to not even think about ever doing or saying anything to go against them. Because if they do, they'll stop at nothing to fight back and try to destroy whomever they feel posed a threat against them. |
A friend of mine at eBay told me that they are constantly trying to buy out their competition. Anytime a small online auction site makes a splash, eBay is there to buy them out, effectively playing whack-a-mole. They go to great lengths to ensure that not only are they the 'king of the hill', but that they have the only hill. Their business model is not particularly novel or complex. It is extremely vulnerable to competition. They fully realize this. Hence they attempt to buy out competitors before they can gain enough momentum. Just look through the list of acquisitions they've made over the years (and this list is not comprehensive. I know there are several more smaller acquisitions that aren't even listed here). They buy out other auction sites just so they can either shut them down or prevent them from growing into greater threats in the future. It is almost certainly the most important factor in keeping them in the position they're still in today. This is eBay's modus operandi. If they see you as competition, they will try to squash you or acquire you.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_o...itions_by_eBay |
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