Originally Posted by obcbobd (Post 2281339)

Short term, I don't see prices falling much. The guy who bought a Ruth for $10k as an investment is not going to sell it at a big loss. He will sit on the card.

Eventually, he, or his heirs, will sell for whatever they can get. But that may be a ways off.

Originally Posted by raulus (Post 2281341)

Plus from what I hear from reports about card shows, the average collector isn't keeping themselves in tip top physical shape, which is often not an effective strategy for maximizing longevity.

Originally Posted by obcbobd (Post 2281339)

Short term, I don't see prices falling much. The guy who bought a Ruth for $10k as an investment is not going to sell it at a big loss. He will sit on the card.

Eventually, he, or his heirs, will sell for whatever they can get. But that may be a ways off.

Originally Posted by Exhibitman (Post 2279813)

My prediction:

https://photos.imageevent.com/exhibi...ns/Clubber.jpg

That said, remember this:

https://www.pgmcapital.com/wp-conten...on-streets.jpg

Originally Posted by paleocards (Post 2280131)

i track sold prices on ebay and ahs for all of my "blue chips" (see the other active thread for "blue chip" def'n - haha). Here's some of the average annual sale data i've collected:

T206 tris speaker psa 5 (although this one doesn't go back to the 2008 recession, it's the oldest pre-war in my collection with these data collected)
2010 avg: $914.38
2011 avg: $780.40
2012 avg: $935.75
2013 avg: $1,147.82
2014 avg: $1,068.84
2015 avg: $1,092.89
2016 avg: $1,201.60
2017 avg: $1,183.66
2018 avg: $1,245.96
2019 avg: $2,944.19
2020 avg: $2,007.92
2021 avg: $3,065.00
2022 avg: $3,961.97

1954 #10 jackie robinson psa 8
2007 avg: $813.07
2008 avg: $903.90
2009 avg: $782.68
2010 avg: $773.74
2011 avg: $1,108.24
2012 avg: $1,009.19
2013 avg: $1,176.84
2014 avg: $1,257.32
2015 avg: $1,448.63
2016 avg: $1,624.36
2017 avg: $1,687.01
2018 avg: $1,944.51
2019 avg: $2,660.84
2020 avg: $3,509.34
2021 avg: $7,301.32
2022 avg: $7,883.44

1955 topps #123 sandy koufax rc psa 7
2008 avg: $882.62
2009 avg: $909.13
2010 avg: $850.15
2011 avg: $915.60
2012 avg: $1,034.23
2013 avg: $1,285.43
2014 avg: $1,249.50
2015 avg: $1,690.90
2016 avg: $3,639.44
2017 avg: $2,632.69
2018 avg: $2,615.77
2019 avg: $2,553.74
2020 avg: $3,357.98
2021 avg: $8,282.95
2022 avg: $7,081.04

1959 topps #514 bob gibson rc psa 8
2005 avg: $667.04
2006 avg: $619.34
2007 avg: $672.12
2008 avg: $765.71
2009 avg: $854.03
2010 avg: $780.13
2011 avg: $817.88
2012 avg: $838.16
2013 avg: $933.05
2014 avg: $1,262.72
2015 avg: $1,486.38
2016 avg: $2,279.96
2017 avg: $2,018.58
2018 avg: $2,070.23
2019 avg: $2,178.16
2020 avg: $2,749.59
2021 avg: $6,292.13
2022 avg: $6,281.35

the take-away from these data for me are that blue chip baseball cards are a good (long-term) investment. There seems to be a consistent dip in sale prices in the year or two post-recession (2009, 2010) but they all re-gained those losses and continued to appreciate. And of course, the last two years' gains have been unprecedented.

Originally Posted by Leon (Post 2279985)

I agree about staying to the basics for a financial investment. That said, that isn't always my objective. My objective is to get cards I think are cool and want in my collection. Esoteric cards are not necessarily the way to long term financial success, but they are fun nonetheless.

One for fun and one of the basics (if you will).

https://luckeycards.com/pdunc1936krogerbreadriddle.jpg
https://luckeycards.com/r319ruth2.jpg