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  #1  
Old 11-12-2018, 05:51 PM
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Default Ohtani ROY, really?????

I guess Ohtani makes sense as the ROY if you compare his 162 game average with Andujar's 162 game average. Based on the 162 game averages, Ohtani is just marginally better, as a DH.

However, Ohtani played in only 104 games.

I will agree that Ohtani is a better (seldom used, often injured) pitcher than Andujar.


IMO, this is the second time in 3 years an Angels player has robbed a more deserving player of a post season award.
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Old 11-12-2018, 06:29 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by savedfrommyspokes View Post
I guess Ohtani makes sense as the ROY if you compare his 162 game average with Andujar's 162 game average. Based on the 162 game averages, Ohtani is just marginally better, as a DH.

However, Ohtani played in only 104 games.

I will agree that Ohtani is a better (seldom used, often injured) pitcher than Andujar.


IMO, this is the second time in 3 years an Angels player has robbed a more deserving player of a post season award.
Who was the first? Trout/ Simmons?

- oh, and, technically it's a regular season award not a post-season award...no Angel would have or could have won one of those.
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Last edited by clydepepper; 11-12-2018 at 06:31 PM.
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Old 11-12-2018, 07:09 PM
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Originally Posted by clydepepper View Post
Who was the first? Trout/ Simmons?

- oh, and, technically it's a regular season award not a post-season award...no Angel would have or could have won one of those.
The MVP award for the 2016 "regular season", awarded following (post) the 2016 regular season, was to Trout instead of Betts....as a Yankee fan, it is exceedingly tough to admit that Betts was far more deserving than Trout that season.

For the Angels, yet another undeserving "regular" season award .

As you mention, if ROY was indeed a "post-season"/playoff award, Ohtani would not have been eligible since the Angels finished the season below .500 (80-82), just as they were also below .500 in 2016 when Trout was awarded the MVP.
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Old 11-12-2018, 07:04 PM
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Ohtani 3.9 WAR Andujar 2.2 WAR. Ohtani provided a lot more value, even though he played fewer games. Lest you think this is a new concept, Willie Mccovey won ROY even though he only played 52 games.
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Old 11-12-2018, 07:31 PM
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Ohtani 3.9 WAR Andujar 2.2 WAR. Ohtani provided a lot more value, even though he played fewer games. Lest you think this is a new concept, Willie Mccovey won ROY even though he only played 52 games.
I get McCovey....he was an unanimous choice for a reason, he was apparently the only rookie who had a great season that year, or in other words his partial season was better than any other rookies season. There were no votes for any other players for that season's ROY.

There were two Yankees, IMO more deserving of the award than Ohtani w/o considering WAR. But if WAR has to be considered:

Ohtani's WAR was for both his pitching and his batting....offensively his WAR 2.7 and defensively was -.7. Offensively Ohtani was behind both Andujar (4.6) and Torres (2.9). Defensively Torres was .5 and followed by Andujar at -2.2.

If Ohtani some how deserves the award for his pitching......

Last edited by savedfrommyspokes; 11-12-2018 at 07:42 PM.
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Old 11-13-2018, 04:07 AM
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Miguel Andujar had better stats and should have won it, but they say his poor fielding was the difference.
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Old 11-13-2018, 07:32 AM
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I agree the 15 errors and sub. 950 Fpct at third did not compliment his offensive achievements. Ohtani did not have many opportunities to make any fielding errors this season, as he had a total of 7 chances from the mound and none from the bench as he became just the second DH to win the ROY award.
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Old 11-13-2018, 07:39 AM
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Another thing to consider are that today's game is tilted towards power hitting and hitting in a lineup as loaded as the Yankees has advantages over lineups that are less so...like the Angels.



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Old 11-13-2018, 08:13 AM
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Originally Posted by savedfrommyspokes View Post
I get McCovey....he was an unanimous choice for a reason, he was apparently the only rookie who had a great season that year, or in other words his partial season was better than any other rookies season. There were no votes for any other players for that season's ROY.

There were two Yankees, IMO more deserving of the award than Ohtani w/o considering WAR. But if WAR has to be considered:

Ohtani's WAR was for both his pitching and his batting....offensively his WAR 2.7 and defensively was -.7. Offensively Ohtani was behind both Andujar (4.6) and Torres (2.9). Defensively Torres was .5 and followed by Andujar at -2.2.

If Ohtani some how deserves the award for his pitching......
Ohtani OPS+ 152 Andujar OPS+ 126. Ohtani was a much better hitter than Andujar. He just didn't get the at bats because the Angels saw the value of him pitching. Ohtani deserves the award because of his pitching and his superior hitting.

It is a catch 22. If Ohtani wasn't such a good pitcher, he would have gotten more at bats and put up better counting stats. When Ohtani became a regular DH, he hit .328/.423/.672/1.083 in August. In September. 310/.371/.632/1.003. Andujar had 0 months of 1+ OPS and only 1 month of even .9 OPS. The voters saw that Ohtani was the superior hitter who also brought value as a pitcher with a 126 ERA+ and 11 K/9. He had a historic season and that is why he got 25 of 30 votes.
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Old 11-13-2018, 08:37 AM
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Originally Posted by rats60 View Post
Ohtani OPS+ 152 Andujar OPS+ 126. Ohtani was a much better hitter than Andujar. He just didn't get the at bats because the Angels saw the value of him pitching. Ohtani deserves the award because of his pitching and his superior hitting.

It is a catch 22. If Ohtani wasn't such a good pitcher, he would have gotten more at bats and put up better counting stats. When Ohtani became a regular DH, he hit .328/.423/.672/1.083 in August. In September. 310/.371/.632/1.003. Andujar had 0 months of 1+ OPS and only 1 month of even .9 OPS. The voters saw that Ohtani was the superior hitter who also brought value as a pitcher with a 126 ERA+ and 11 K/9. He had a historic season and that is why he got 25 of 30 votes.
No doubt once Ohtani was moved up in the line up for the last two months of the season he hit well as he was seeing better pitches to hit and was not being pitched around.

I guess my whole point behind this thread was that there appears to be some sort of bias by the voters...if Ohtani wins ROY in '18 with the abbreviated (but solid) stats he put up how in the world does Sanchez not win in '16 (over an 11-7 pitcher) with stats quite similar to Ohtani ?
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Old 11-13-2018, 10:45 AM
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Originally Posted by savedfrommyspokes View Post
No doubt once Ohtani was moved up in the line up for the last two months of the season he hit well as he was seeing better pitches to hit and was not being pitched around.

I guess my whole point behind this thread was that there appears to be some sort of bias by the voters...if Ohtani wins ROY in '18 with the abbreviated (but solid) stats he put up how in the world does Sanchez not win in '16 (over an 11-7 pitcher) with stats quite similar to Ohtani ?
Ohtani's best month was August when Trout was on the DL most of the month. They were in the line up together for only the last 7 games of the month. Justin Upton, a .257 hitter with an OPS+ 122 wasn't providing protection for him either as Ohtani hit behind him the whole month of August. Hit hit ahead of Trout once all season. When he started hitting ahead of Upton some in September, his stats were slightly worse.

These are the OPS+ of the other hitters in the Angels every day line up, 71, 92, 95, 109, 62, 80. Their main reserves were all below 100. The Angels line up was pretty much garbage outside of Trout and Upton. Ohtani wasn't getting better pitches because of where he hit. Gregorious had an OPS+ of 120. 5 of the other 8 Yankees regulars had an OPS+ of 118 or above and 3 reserves were above 100. Andujar had much more protection in the Yankees line up no matter where he he than Ohtani did, even the few game that Upton hit behind him. Nice theory, but it doesn't hold water.

A better theory is that Ohtani batted in 34 of the Angels first 85 games and 70 of their last 77 games. So when he became an every day player, he got in a rhythm and produced better numbers. The bottom line is that he was a much better hitter over the whole season, even though he was a part time hitter for more than half of the season.

As far as 2016 AL ROY, Fulmer 5.2 WAR Sanchez 3.0 WAR. You may not like it, but we are in the era of advanced stats and voters are using them when voting for awards.

Last edited by rats60; 11-13-2018 at 10:54 AM.
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Old 11-13-2018, 11:19 AM
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I knew Ohtani was going to win ROY as soon as the talking heads started talking about combining his pitching and hitting WAR.

I mean Andujar had more doubles then Ohtani had total extra base hits.

Lack of walks was the biggest thing that hurt Andujar on his overall hitting metrics compared to Ohtani.

Andujar got absolutely throttled by his defensive WAR unfortunately. Who knew how much things had changed. Back in 1978 Butch Hobson committed 43 errors and held an .899 FP and he got docked -1.00 on his defensive WAR.

Andujar commits 15 errors with a .948 FP and he gets docked -2.2.

Ohtani got docked 0 WAR points for playing absolutely no defense. I guess no defense is better then below average defense.

I question how valuable a two way star is, when you have to find somebody to replace him in the lineup 60 games a year due to injuries, limitations on his schedule, lack of an actual position, and an inevitable Tommy John surgery.

He's a hell of a talent, but having to constantly construct your team baseball strategy around his availability seems pretty silly to me.

Ultimately however, ROY really doesn't mean a whole lot. It's just a title. Hell, Walt Weiss won the award once upon a time, simply on his defense. Barring injuries, Gleyber Torres likely becomes the most valuable player of the 3 guys in the AL running this year.
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