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  #1  
Old 12-23-2012, 12:05 AM
Pup6913
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Last edited by Pup6913; 12-24-2012 at 12:20 PM.
  #2  
Old 12-23-2012, 08:54 AM
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Joshua
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Disclaimer...I am currently laid up sick and medicated but...

I am confused by your list...are you saying that these cards were replaced by the minor leaguers? Or are these included on the sheet with the minor league cards? Nearly none of these cards are shortprinted...in fact, some of these are the most common cards in the set. Unless we are saying that the minor league cards were printed first and then these cards replaced them and were double printed.

For several years my theory has held that the following 12 shortprints were either replaced by the minor leaguers or replaced the minor league cards. I feel but cannot prove definitively that these cards were printed first and then the minor league cards were inserted after and printed in slightly greater numbers (the cards that Andrew listed are some of the most common in the set and might have been double printed with the SPs and minor leaguers).

The following cards are the ones missing both the PB and Hassan 649 backs that the minor league cards own and I feel were replaced on those sheets before printing. I think I made this list about 10 years ago as well but it might have changed as my back checklist became more complete (although I do not think it changed much).

Chase left ear
Donahue
Grant
Joss
Karger
Kleinow
Raymond
Suggs
Turner
Wagner
Walsh
Wilhelm

All this is just conjecture though as without first hand knowledge that is all we can work with.

Joshua
  #3  
Old 12-23-2012, 09:01 AM
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Fell better Josh!
  #4  
Old 12-23-2012, 10:21 AM
Pup6913
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...

Last edited by Pup6913; 12-24-2012 at 12:14 PM.
  #5  
Old 12-23-2012, 11:42 AM
obcmac obcmac is offline
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I think focusing on the backs while ignoring total population numbers, is a flawed approach. There are clear sps that are shown in both populations and known historically. I think the printing arrangement is complex though.

If you look at the total populations, I agree there are 12 short prints who were replaced by ml'ers. Exactly 12. Then there is another class of tougher commons printed in the same quantities as the ml'ers, suggesting the were introduced with them. I think the front variations and alternate poses (all one ear varieties etc) were introduced at the 65% mark as t202 design and production were ramping up. Double prints on the short printed series confuses everything though. I speculate the pose variations were double printed along with some other cards including the rare variations at the end of the print run.

Obviously the best approach matches populations with back theories.

Discussion welcome...I'm just putting ideas out there.
  #6  
Old 12-23-2012, 11:44 AM
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Joshua
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I am feeling a bit better so here goes...

Still confused as to how you know they have less PB backs printed. Did you find records of print runs? Also, It makes more sense that they would not switch in the middle of a print run. It would be more cost effective to switch out the cards when they switch to different advertising.

The twelve I selected are the few that are missing both PB and Hassan 649 backs and are the few in the set that are missing both. There are a few of the odder variations that are missing them but those are things like the Hobby no stats, etc.

I will tell you that the cards you listed are more likely to have appeared on the sheets with the minor league cards AND the SPs that I listed as they are some of the most common cards in the set. Miller, Doyle, Titus, Mattern, and Oakes are in my top 5 easiest T205s to acquire. Only Wallace no cap is SP in your list and I believe that is like the Hobby no stats mentioned above.

I know there are others who have looked at this set...maybe we are both wrong...but I really feel that when it comes to the minor leaguers in the set. I think I have it close to being correct.

One other thing...while I feel that most of the set was produced in 1911, I know the minor leaguers were printed later (early to mid-1911). One reason for this is Hick Cady card. It speaks of his being traded (sold) to the Red Sox. This transaction happened in January of 1912 (mentions as such on the back of his t205).

Joshua

Last edited by Wite3; 12-23-2012 at 11:45 AM. Reason: spelling due to RISE (Robitussin induced spelling errors)
  #7  
Old 12-23-2012, 12:15 PM
Pup6913
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...

Last edited by Pup6913; 12-24-2012 at 12:15 PM.
  #8  
Old 12-23-2012, 12:30 PM
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Joshua
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The moveable type might have been easy to switch but the front part, most likely not. Someone with more experience on printing than I would know better.

I do not think he was just talking about pop reports or grading companies. But even if we were...flaws and all, more Millers have been graded than Grants...do you really think that people hoarding them would not have them graded to maximize their "investment"?

The traditional SPs in the set are there because the numbers bear out the rarities of these cards. You essentially ignored my points about collections, hobby publications, historical sales, auctions, etc.

And, if you really want to belabor the point...I have 13 Doyles I will sell you at Suggs prices right now.

Joshua
  #9  
Old 12-23-2012, 01:13 PM
Pup6913
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..

Last edited by Pup6913; 12-24-2012 at 12:15 PM.
  #10  
Old 12-23-2012, 02:38 PM
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Joshua
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Now I am really confused...super prints? Never really heard of that with T205s...If you want to use SP, most of use think of that as single print=rare.

Suggs is tough. You cannot just go by pop reports.

I also think you just managed to insult many collectors. I consider myself a smart collector and often make my collection public. Leon, Pat, Bill, and many many others who have historically had top tier and rare collections often make them available for others to see. I know there are some that have held them back (Keith!) but for the most part, over the past few decades, most of us are pretty up front.

Your posts are confusing...granted, I might be sick and just not understanding but from the two or three emails and PMs I have gotten in the last hour I am not alone in my confusion.

I still maintain that it is impossible to know print runs and to determine scarcity on advertising backs is nearly impossible. Determining the matrix of the cards on the sheets is just as tough. I am not trying to be difficult, I just want to understand.

Joshua
  #11  
Old 12-23-2012, 05:22 PM
Pup6913
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..

Last edited by Pup6913; 12-24-2012 at 12:15 PM.
  #12  
Old 12-23-2012, 06:13 PM
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Geno W@gn&r
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Default Settle the issue

Just settle it...Andrew can send Joshua a Suggs, and Joshua can send Andrew a Doyle. If that's not fair based on what I've read, then I guess I'm not reading it right...

Take Care,
Geno
  #13  
Old 12-23-2012, 07:05 PM
obcmac obcmac is offline
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I'm typing on a phone, so I can't be as thorough as I'd like, but how about we start out with what we know, rather than debate explanations.

1. Some cards appear in lower quantities
2. The group of 12 minor leaguers appear to be in this group.
3. Another grouping of cards appear to be a bit tougher than the minor leaguers. Traditionally these are called sps, though the exact composition of the group is up in the air.

Observations
1. If you add the populations is the PSA report...the minor leaguers plus the totals generally associated with sps, you get the population totals similar to a large group of the most common cards.

2. We know joss passed away before printing, and according to josh, minor league team appearance indicates, mls appear late in the print run. This also suggests possible insertion of ml'ers.

Speculations
1. The ml'ers replacing the sps is one explanation of the reason that adding the two groups together produces the total observed in the common commons.
2. The population of ml'ers also appears to be similar to a grouping of less common commons...indicating they might be in the same print run.


Wild speculations
Two print runs...a big run and a little run
Big run...big run is divided with ml'ers replacing sps. Little run included the tough commons and tougher cards including Walsh and joss. All alternate views were also included (one ears, partial b, and both fords for example)

Alternative wild speculation...t207s have 3 pretty distinct classes, easy recruit, tough recruit, and broadleaf class. Maybe t205s follow the same pattern.

I know josh is a dedicated t205 expert...and Andrew has researched this a lot too. I'd love to hear more observation, then some theories that explain them.

Mac
  #14  
Old 12-23-2012, 08:00 PM
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maybe we can take the info from what we have. Josh made a list, RE backs, and had a card count of 22,000 cards. Ill assume not only you counted the backs, but I would think maybe you also kept a count of who was on the fronts? Maybe..

If so, I think that would begin to lead us in the right direction.
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