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Old 12-17-2006, 01:53 AM
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Default Caramel card scarcity

Posted By: Richard

"Some have said they think there are 50-250 of a certain player for some E sets, but I believe there are far more of each player because the sets are so small. For example if there are 250 of a certain E95 card that would only be 6,250 total E95s out there. If there are 4,000 of a certain T206 card, thats would be 2,000,000 total cards. There is no way a E95 is 300+ times rarer than the same player in a T206 set. That would be like seeing 300 T206 (red) Cobbs for every E95 Cobb.

I think there is more like 1,000 of each E95 card (20 per State, ie. 20 E95 Cobbs in Ohio), and if thats true it would still make E95's roughly 40X scarcer than a T206 card (based on 1,000,000 total T206 cards/2,000 ea. common)."

Frank - I don't quite follow your logic.

If there are 250 of each E95 and 4000 of each T206, then there would be 1 E95 Cobb for every 16 T206 Red Port Cobb. The ratio is 1:16, not 1:300

If there were 1000 of each E95 and 2000 of each T206, then the ratio would be 1 E95 Cobb for every 2 T206 Red Port Cobbs. 1:2

Clearly there are far more than 2 red ports for every E95 Cobb. There are clearly even more than 16 red ports for every E95 cobb.

Please correct me if I am missing something.

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