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Posted By: jay behrens

The truth of stats is that 27-32 are peak performance years. Jeter is on the down side of his career and will not be posting similar numbers until the day he retires, unless he finds the miracle that Bonds found. HRs won't taper off too badly, but SBs will decline very rapidly. Then there is the chance that some freak accdent may occur, ala Puckett getting beaned. IF he stays healthy, I'd be very surpised to see him end his career with 300 HRs and 400 SBs, even if he plays for 10 more years he needs to average 11 HRs and 18 SBs to reach those marks. For a player of his type, the SBs are pretty much out of reach and he may need all 10 years to get the HRs.

Jay

I love pinatas. You get to beat the crap of something and get rewarded with candy.