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Old 10-13-2006, 11:05 AM
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Default 50 yrs ago I played Hooky & saw a Perfect Game

Posted By: Dave Rey

Frequency of perfect games in baseball history (roughly) = 1 per 31,873 regular season games.

That was figured by dividing the approximate number of games played by both leagues since 1901 (using a rough figuring) -- 478,092 games -- by the number of perfect games since 1901 -- 15.

Number of WS games played thus far in MLB history is 592.

If you assume that the historically-established likelihood of a pitcher achieving a perfect game are the same during a World Series game as they are during the regular season game, then we should see a perfect game in the WS again sometime about 5,284 years from now -- by the math...

Of course, next year five guys could, theoretically, throw perfect games, changing the math completely... In fact, just one person throwing a perfect game next year would have large impact on the math.

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