with modern HOF/All Star players, the typical cycle for changes in their card (mainly higher end rookie cards) values goes as follows
-if they are a top prospect, the value of their cards are high as they move up and make their mlb debut
-unless they do what mike trout/harper/strasburg did after their debuts, you should see their cards regress downwards, even if they have initial success in the majors
-card values remain fairly steady throughout their careers - peaking only if they break records/reach milestones.
-lead up to retirement and post retirement, you'll see a spike in their cards
-card values remain steady until a spike leading up to and post HOF induction. the value regresses back down thereafter.
i think jeter rookies might regress downwards a bit in retirement just because there has been so much hype around it, but move back up once he gets in the Hall.
|