I think that even though the piece could have been a lot more thorough in its analysis, especially with regards to pre-war cards, that the general premise might be true.
I think there are a lot more guys 30-60 years old collecting cards than 10-30 years old. In 20-30 years the collecting community will begin to lose a large percentage of collectors to old age for the first time, as the generation who are in their 70s/80's now did not have a lot of collectors either. For the first time the # of collectors is likely to decrease, and in 20 or so years that decrease is likely to be dramatic.
Supply stays the same, demand goes down = lower prices. Gee I wish I were 20. I think there will be a lot of bargains in the future.
|