Well, it's already that time of year...the Baseball HOF will release its list of new inductees in less than a week. I know there will be lots of diatribe, analytics being thrown around and people saying that "their guy" was snubbed.
But my question is.... How much of a drop-off typically occurs in the final week of voting? I know that traditionally the voting percentages dip significantly in this final week. I just don't recall how much... 75% is the threshold for induction.
As of this writing, Beltre is looking like a lock at 98.8%. Mauer and Helton are both looking pretty good at 82.5%. Billy Wagner appears to be hanging on at 79.5%, but he may be vulnerable. Sheffield (74.7%), Andruw Jones (71,7%) and Beltran (66.3%) look like they'll probably fall short. Utley, A-Rod, Manny and the rest of the field appear to have no shot this year.
So is it just Wagner and Sheffield that are on the bubble? Wagner is in his 9th year of eligibility and it's Sheffield's last shot. Eager to hear others' thoughts...
Here's the easy-to-read recap...
http://www.bbhoftracker.com/
And the full tracker...
https://onedrive.live.com/view.aspx?...GrU1OUsbz4WHyU