Thread: New card
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  #29  
Old 06-23-2019, 06:40 PM
griffon512 griffon512 is online now
James
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Join Date: Jan 2010
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There's close to a 100% chance a competent grader will determine the card is what it is -- fake. There's around a 95% chance an incompetent grader will determine the card is what it is. In the very off-chance you get a numeric grade your card will be worth around $3,000. In the very high chance they determine it's not real the card will still be worth what it is now, around $3 for a mediocre fake of a high value card. You can calculate the expected value and make the choice on what to do next.

Outside of any debate on whether the card is fake or not, sometimes it's best to lean most on common sense in future questionable purchases. What are the chances that a dealer who knows enough to be aware of an iconic set/player like T206/Cobb will not bother to spend 30 seconds on the Internet to find out: 1) that it is not a T206?; 2) that if it was a T206 or E102, it would be worth around 20x what he sold it to you for in very low grade condition?

I don't mean this post to sound critical, just trying to help going forward.

Last edited by griffon512; 06-23-2019 at 07:56 PM.
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